Record vs. Spread/ML: 104-103 (+115$) Record vs. O/U: 99-90 (+1030$) Record vs. Parlay: 2-2 (-40$) Record vs. NCAAB: 16-9 (+735$) =============================================================
Perfect 3-0 in the NBA...2 straight perfect days there...fell back a little bit in the CBB games. Either way, finally back into a nice groove.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
OVERALL RECORD: 205-195 (+1105$)
Record vs. Spread/ML: 104-103 (+115$) Record vs. O/U: 99-90 (+1030$) Record vs. Parlay: 2-2 (-40$) Record vs. NCAAB: 16-9 (+735$) =============================================================
Perfect 3-0 in the NBA...2 straight perfect days there...fell back a little bit in the CBB games. Either way, finally back into a nice groove.
VCU's run is impressive, and the way they dismantled Akron was impressive as well...but the way to beat tough defensive pressure is with great point guard play, and the Wolverines have that. I do think it will be close the whole way, but Michigan should be able to move on.
Gonzaga got their scare out of the way early on...now it's time to play like a number 1 seed. Would have leaned towards them on the spread as well, but with the favorable price for a parlay, I'm rolling with this one.
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College...
Michigan ML Gonzaga ML
(2 to win 2.2)
VCU's run is impressive, and the way they dismantled Akron was impressive as well...but the way to beat tough defensive pressure is with great point guard play, and the Wolverines have that. I do think it will be close the whole way, but Michigan should be able to move on.
Gonzaga got their scare out of the way early on...now it's time to play like a number 1 seed. Would have leaned towards them on the spread as well, but with the favorable price for a parlay, I'm rolling with this one.
Tough line here in this one...the Bulls have been a mess for the most part and the Pacers have been playing well. Indy coming in on a b2b for this one, which is the only thing I can see justifying this spread. If anything in this game I would lean towards the OVER because of the faster pace lately from the Pacers.
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Indiana vs. Chicago -
Tough line here in this one...the Bulls have been a mess for the most part and the Pacers have been playing well. Indy coming in on a b2b for this one, which is the only thing I can see justifying this spread. If anything in this game I would lean towards the OVER because of the faster pace lately from the Pacers.
Initially would lean towards the Celtics, but with some hesitation. Marat Kogut and Zach Zarba are reffing this game, and there aren't two guys in the NBA that hate home teams covering more than them. Celtics on a B2B and getting desperate...Grizzlies should be able to absolutely dominate them inside however. Tough to tell this one.
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Boston vs. Memphis -
Initially would lean towards the Celtics, but with some hesitation. Marat Kogut and Zach Zarba are reffing this game, and there aren't two guys in the NBA that hate home teams covering more than them. Celtics on a B2B and getting desperate...Grizzlies should be able to absolutely dominate them inside however. Tough to tell this one.
Small lean on the Kings on this one...classic look ahead situation. Denver sneaked by the Sixers thanks to a choke job the other night...first game out of the state of California in quite a while for the Kings. Might not have the guts to pull the trigger here though because it is still the Kings, and there are so many things I don't like about them...at the top of the list is their road record.
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Sacramento vs. Denver -
Small lean on the Kings on this one...classic look ahead situation. Denver sneaked by the Sixers thanks to a choke job the other night...first game out of the state of California in quite a while for the Kings. Might not have the guts to pull the trigger here though because it is still the Kings, and there are so many things I don't like about them...at the top of the list is their road record.
Initial lean here would be for the OVER. Nets offense has been doing fantastic on this road trip so far. Clippers looking to find some consistency after they have alternated wins in the past couple weeks. Spread does seem to favor the Nets a little bit, but they are on my shlt list and will have to do a lot more than a couple road wins to get off that.
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Brooklyn vs. LA Clippers -
Initial lean here would be for the OVER. Nets offense has been doing fantastic on this road trip so far. Clippers looking to find some consistency after they have alternated wins in the past couple weeks. Spread does seem to favor the Nets a little bit, but they are on my shlt list and will have to do a lot more than a couple road wins to get off that.
Lean here is on the Wizards once again. It seems as though people just don't learn very well. Majority of the public was on the Lakers last night, Wizards win SU....majority of the public is on the Warriors tonight as well. The Wizards are the best team in the league ATS this season, but yet continue to get no support.
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Washington vs. Golden State -
Lean here is on the Wizards once again. It seems as though people just don't learn very well. Majority of the public was on the Lakers last night, Wizards win SU....majority of the public is on the Warriors tonight as well. The Wizards are the best team in the league ATS this season, but yet continue to get no support.
If Memphis covers, the Celtics weren't able to stop them offensively and the Grizz should get up to about 96-99 points. If Boston covers, the C's were able to get some offensive opportunities and pressure the Grizz on that end of the court. Without Courtney Lee in the game, Conley should be able to get inside and run the offense. Bradley won't play the whole game. I still lean towards Celtics losing and covering...both teams in the low 90's Prediction: Grizzlies 93 Celtics 90
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Boston vs. Memphis OVER 176.5 (1.1 to win 1)
If Memphis covers, the Celtics weren't able to stop them offensively and the Grizz should get up to about 96-99 points. If Boston covers, the C's were able to get some offensive opportunities and pressure the Grizz on that end of the court. Without Courtney Lee in the game, Conley should be able to get inside and run the offense. Bradley won't play the whole game. I still lean towards Celtics losing and covering...both teams in the low 90's Prediction: Grizzlies 93 Celtics 90
Knicks won by 5 in Toronto, with Rudy happy playing. Now it's in New York with no Rudy happy? I gotta believe in the Knicks with a rejuvenated Melo to get another big win tonight. Only thing that gives me a little hesitation is that they look forward to their matchup with the Celtics in a couple days. Prediction: Knicks 104 Raptors 91
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New York Knicks -6.5 (1.1 to win 1)
Knicks won by 5 in Toronto, with Rudy happy playing. Now it's in New York with no Rudy happy? I gotta believe in the Knicks with a rejuvenated Melo to get another big win tonight. Only thing that gives me a little hesitation is that they look forward to their matchup with the Celtics in a couple days. Prediction: Knicks 104 Raptors 91
Louisville beat Mizzou by 23 early in the season...Colorado State beat Mizzou by 12...add in the pressure of the tourney and I'll use that comparison to fuel this one. Prediction: Louisville 76 Colorado State 58
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Louisville -10.5 (1.1 to win 1)
Louisville beat Mizzou by 23 early in the season...Colorado State beat Mizzou by 12...add in the pressure of the tourney and I'll use that comparison to fuel this one. Prediction: Louisville 76 Colorado State 58
with you on IND/CHI over. despite both being defensive teams and holding many other orgs in the league to low point totals, this factor seems to allude their own matchups.
also agree on NYK -6.5. b2b games NYK goes with the momentum, snagging the win at TOR. Their game today should prove much easier with Rudy G ay (not happy lol) out and the raptors on the road, where they are significantly worse than at home.
agree on WAS +8.5 way too many pts to give the wizards w the way martell webster has been playing. not to mention the wizards put up their 2nd best avgs on AF and AA with 0 days rest, while GSW puts up their worst on 2 days rest. though both GSW and WAS has a winning record ATS at home/away respectively, GSW ATS record v B500 opponents is abysmal.
agree on MEM win SU but BOS to cover +8
disagree on the over...4/5 aint bad tho! ;D
also would bet totals on bkn @ lac. bkn matches up well, but lac comes 100% and def learns from their mistakes. IMO they are the only team that have been playing 'playoff bball' since before the all-star break even.
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with you on IND/CHI over. despite both being defensive teams and holding many other orgs in the league to low point totals, this factor seems to allude their own matchups.
also agree on NYK -6.5. b2b games NYK goes with the momentum, snagging the win at TOR. Their game today should prove much easier with Rudy G ay (not happy lol) out and the raptors on the road, where they are significantly worse than at home.
agree on WAS +8.5 way too many pts to give the wizards w the way martell webster has been playing. not to mention the wizards put up their 2nd best avgs on AF and AA with 0 days rest, while GSW puts up their worst on 2 days rest. though both GSW and WAS has a winning record ATS at home/away respectively, GSW ATS record v B500 opponents is abysmal.
agree on MEM win SU but BOS to cover +8
disagree on the over...4/5 aint bad tho! ;D
also would bet totals on bkn @ lac. bkn matches up well, but lac comes 100% and def learns from their mistakes. IMO they are the only team that have been playing 'playoff bball' since before the all-star break even.
Turn it on to the C's pregame and find out KG is out...I knew Lee was out...the only way that hurts is the Celtics offense...Jordan Crawford will have to go nuts!
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Turn it on to the C's pregame and find out KG is out...I knew Lee was out...the only way that hurts is the Celtics offense...Jordan Crawford will have to go nuts!
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