This list changes each day as the old day rolls-off and a new day is added. (12/23 - 1/6)
Tied for 2nd
Dallas / Memphis / Sacramento / New Orleans
No lead is safe with these clowns in the game.
This doesn't mean they lose all the time. It just means, for the game they are playing, whoever is winning early, has a good chance of losing in the end.
And, for the team with the most unreliable outcomes...
Milwaukee Bucks
I thought IND would be in there, but they are not too bad.
The most reliable teams are...
MIA ORL CHA HOU DEN OKC MIN
Of course, if you put a reliable team against MIL, expect crazy outcomes.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This list changes each day as the old day rolls-off and a new day is added. (12/23 - 1/6)
Tied for 2nd
Dallas / Memphis / Sacramento / New Orleans
No lead is safe with these clowns in the game.
This doesn't mean they lose all the time. It just means, for the game they are playing, whoever is winning early, has a good chance of losing in the end.
And, for the team with the most unreliable outcomes...
Milwaukee Bucks
I thought IND would be in there, but they are not too bad.
The most reliable teams are...
MIA ORL CHA HOU DEN OKC MIN
Of course, if you put a reliable team against MIL, expect crazy outcomes.
An average NBA team blew an early lead about once (1 time) in the last 2-week span.
In a game with BOS, the team leading blew 2 leads during that time. One was the nationally-televised TNT BOS/NYK game. Lost a 16 point lead at halftime. The other was the nationally-televised ABC game on Christmas, when BOS played, you got it, MIL. Lost a 15-point lead at halftime.
MIL has a rate 500% higher than the NBA average.
Correction: OKC is not one of the most reliable.
For MIAORLCHAHOUDENMIN, every game they played, the team that took the early lead, won the game.
The Southwest and Central Divisions are the worst for blowing leads.
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More stats...
An average NBA team blew an early lead about once (1 time) in the last 2-week span.
In a game with BOS, the team leading blew 2 leads during that time. One was the nationally-televised TNT BOS/NYK game. Lost a 16 point lead at halftime. The other was the nationally-televised ABC game on Christmas, when BOS played, you got it, MIL. Lost a 15-point lead at halftime.
MIL has a rate 500% higher than the NBA average.
Correction: OKC is not one of the most reliable.
For MIAORLCHAHOUDENMIN, every game they played, the team that took the early lead, won the game.
The Southwest and Central Divisions are the worst for blowing leads.
This is for a 2-week span. MEM and DAL were in games where leads were blown left and right at the end of December. Since the new year, neither team has been in a game with a blown lead. If they keep like this, both teams will revert back to league averages in a few days.
@Greengrass
If you had bet NYK +1450 in the 3Q, you wouldn't need that parlay.
After that game, I caught the trend with the GSW/NOP game. When GSW went ahead and NOP went + ML, I started loading on NOP.
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@JackSmack
@Greengrass
This is for a 2-week span. MEM and DAL were in games where leads were blown left and right at the end of December. Since the new year, neither team has been in a game with a blown lead. If they keep like this, both teams will revert back to league averages in a few days.
@Greengrass
If you had bet NYK +1450 in the 3Q, you wouldn't need that parlay.
After that game, I caught the trend with the GSW/NOP game. When GSW went ahead and NOP went + ML, I started loading on NOP.
Yesterday was an off night and needed to scratch and itch. If you had taken whoever, plus whatever you wouldn't need this thread. Live betting isn't my thing...yet. Although I did catch Brooklyn +500 against Indiana on Wednesday, when they look like shit, Irvin came back, most thought they would lose...etc etc. But, Indiana is not a good team.
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@ParlayBuster
Yesterday was an off night and needed to scratch and itch. If you had taken whoever, plus whatever you wouldn't need this thread. Live betting isn't my thing...yet. Although I did catch Brooklyn +500 against Indiana on Wednesday, when they look like shit, Irvin came back, most thought they would lose...etc etc. But, Indiana is not a good team.
never seen nash yell as aggressive as he did last night. clearly a frustrating night playing kd 17 straight minutes in the 2nd half, it looked like he is losing the team/felt in over his head.nash is a passive player and has the brains clearly, but coaching is sometimes just sitting there and lettting the players work out some issues.
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never seen nash yell as aggressive as he did last night. clearly a frustrating night playing kd 17 straight minutes in the 2nd half, it looked like he is losing the team/felt in over his head.nash is a passive player and has the brains clearly, but coaching is sometimes just sitting there and lettting the players work out some issues.
Last night was a feat. Except for UTA/BKN, all the teams held their leads the entire game.
Out of 9 games, all 9 FAVORITES covered. 8 out of 9 games had NO LEAD CHANGES!
It was a SQUARE's paradise.
Not good for me, because I eat on lead changes. On to Saturday's action.
MEM and MIL are still very unreliable teams. MEM is 2x league average. MIL is 2.5x+ league average (still worst in the NBA). But, both dropped closer to the league average after Friday's action.
Everything else on the card today looks boring, except UTA/IND. Both teams are above league average. With UTA's lineup, I expect more blown leads and back-and-forth.
The rest of the games should follow Friday's dull, 'lead the whole game' pattern. At least, that's why my numbers show.
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Last night was a feat. Except for UTA/BKN, all the teams held their leads the entire game.
Out of 9 games, all 9 FAVORITES covered. 8 out of 9 games had NO LEAD CHANGES!
It was a SQUARE's paradise.
Not good for me, because I eat on lead changes. On to Saturday's action.
MEM and MIL are still very unreliable teams. MEM is 2x league average. MIL is 2.5x+ league average (still worst in the NBA). But, both dropped closer to the league average after Friday's action.
Everything else on the card today looks boring, except UTA/IND. Both teams are above league average. With UTA's lineup, I expect more blown leads and back-and-forth.
The rest of the games should follow Friday's dull, 'lead the whole game' pattern. At least, that's why my numbers show.
SAC is tied with BOS as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA (rolling 2 weeks). The difference is that SAC had all those games the end of 2021. OTOH, BOS just finished a wild series with NYK.
NOP, MEM, and LAC sit on a 2.25x league average. Teams don't hold leads in their games.
The most reliable teams are MIAORLCHAHOUDENMINPHOPOR. Once one side gets ahead, they stay ahead.
Everyone else is middle of the road.
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Heading into Sunday...
SAC is tied with BOS as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAMS in the NBA (rolling 2 weeks). The difference is that SAC had all those games the end of 2021. OTOH, BOS just finished a wild series with NYK.
NOP, MEM, and LAC sit on a 2.25x league average. Teams don't hold leads in their games.
The most reliable teams are MIAORLCHAHOUDENMINPHOPOR. Once one side gets ahead, they stay ahead.
It seems Monday was crazier than Sunday. Fewer games and the same number of blown leads. UTA blew it in the 2nd half, to the 2nd worst team in the NBA! MIL once again had a game with a blown lead.
Very strange lines during live betting.
Saw DET at +1000 and +1500 and +650 when the score was about 5 in the 3rd. Saw POR at +600 at the half. Too scared to make a play. Can't complain, but with odds like that, I thought no way would they pay out. Well, they did pay, just not on my plays. Maybe it was the College Championship that had the books distracted. You don't see that too often.
Rolling 2-week period (12/28 - 1/10)
MIL has retaken the lead as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAM in the NBA. When you combine that with CHA, you had a game with a high chance to flip, and it did just that.
BKN BOS LAC NOP NYK SAC SAS are right behind MIL.
The MOST RELIABLE TEAMS are DEN HOU MIA MIN PHI PHO POR. When a team gets the lead, it is safe.
For Tuesday, MEM NOP LAC TOR are all at home and no lead is safe with these teams. Should be a good spot to do some LIVE BETTING.
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Monday action...
It seems Monday was crazier than Sunday. Fewer games and the same number of blown leads. UTA blew it in the 2nd half, to the 2nd worst team in the NBA! MIL once again had a game with a blown lead.
Very strange lines during live betting.
Saw DET at +1000 and +1500 and +650 when the score was about 5 in the 3rd. Saw POR at +600 at the half. Too scared to make a play. Can't complain, but with odds like that, I thought no way would they pay out. Well, they did pay, just not on my plays. Maybe it was the College Championship that had the books distracted. You don't see that too often.
Rolling 2-week period (12/28 - 1/10)
MIL has retaken the lead as the MOST UNRELIABLE TEAM in the NBA. When you combine that with CHA, you had a game with a high chance to flip, and it did just that.
BKN BOS LAC NOP NYK SAC SAS are right behind MIL.
The MOST RELIABLE TEAMS are DEN HOU MIA MIN PHI PHO POR. When a team gets the lead, it is safe.
For Tuesday, MEM NOP LAC TOR are all at home and no lead is safe with these teams. Should be a good spot to do some LIVE BETTING.
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