NBA 22-23 Picks

Voochie

Leans were terrible too

Only seeing 1-2 picks i might like depending on lines 

1 lean

Allen over 10.5 boards @1.95

1 locked in

Mil/den under 237.0 @1.86  0.5 to win 0.43

Under this in 4 of last 5. 5th game pushed at 237

Mil on a b2b and shot lights out last game. Some players due for regression shooting wise. Also this game at elevation.

Neither team plays a faster pace

Bucks one of the better D in league. Nuggets not terrible either

Bucks 12-24 to the under on the road 

Nuggets 17-19 to the under at home

Looking for the winner to score under 122 and the loser in the 110 range

Looking for 1-2 quarters under 60 points

Like a 119-113 type game

GL all

Under 237.0 got lucky there after 75 pt 1st q....

Leans

Sa/bos over 232.0....need spurs to score 105+

Waiting on 2-3 props...have feeling both will be juiced heavy

Leans

D.mitchell over 26.5 points @1.70...juiced heavy...hou doesn't defend 3 well

Doncic over 30.5 points @1.85....should go over...worried about blowout

Curry over 29.5 points @1.85

Leans went 1-3....liked doncic least of the 4 and he was the winner

Leans

Cj over 20.5 points @1.85...revenge game vs old team

Cp3 over 9.5 assists @1.85...dunno if they limiting his mins before playoffs....

Giannis over 11.5 boards @1.85...worried he plays under 28 mins 

Was looking at phi/den under but wanted something in the 230s

Leans went 1-3....liked doncic least of the 4 and he was the winner

Leans

Cj over 20.5 points @1.85...revenge game vs old team

Cp3 over 9.5 assists @1.85...dunno if they limiting his mins before playoffs....

Giannis over 11.5 boards @1.85...worried he plays under 28 mins 

Was looking at phi/den under but wanted something in the 230s

1 locked in

Cp3 over 9.5 assists @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 2 of last 4 all without ayton

Ayton should open things up for him and booker shooting well past 10 games. Should be lots of assist oppos between those 2

Suns shot pretty well in both games vs jazz (cp3 didn't play in either)

Like that jazz at home and still alive for play-in..should put up a good effort

Only thing I don't like is suns guard rotation right now...and prefer if ayton plays...says probable....

Should play 29-33 mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 8-12 range

GL all

Cp3  lucky he got 2 in last 4 mins

Waiting on 3-4 props 

Leans

J.brown over 26.5 points 1.85

Tatum over 28.5 points 1.85

Mitchell over 27.5 points 1.85

Curry over 28.5 points 1.85

1 locked in

d.mitchell over 27.5 points @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

over this in 2 of last 4

had 19 and 29 vs hawks this season

oddsmakers expecting high scoring game, he should get lots of looks

potential for allen to be out, would give more looks for everyone on cavs

cavs basically going with 8 or 9 man rotation unless game is blowout

shooting decently well from 3 last 3 games

like him to play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

like him to sink 9+ buckets with 3+ 3s mixed in and 4+ made free throws

like him in the 26-31 range

GL all

Mitchell

Leans

Lal/chi under 227.0 @1.91

Mia/nyk under 223.5@1.91

Could get better numbers close to tip unless someone gets ruled out....public typically likes over as we all know

Props are pretty stingy tonight

Tough card overall prob no plays...being more selective with nba seems to be working so far

Cp3 over 8.5 assists is juiced heavy....and durant back so booker could do more passing 

Leans went 1-2

Leans

Giannis over 31.5 points 1.85

Tatum over 28.5 points 1.85

Giannis over 12.5 boards 1.95

Jv over 10.5 boards 1.80....only if jokic doesn't play

Leans went 1-3

Leans

Mitchell over 28.5 points @1.85

Capela over 11.5 boards @2.00

Utah/bos over 229.0...depending who plays

Nyk/cle under 220.5 @1.91

Mitchell easy winner.. fuck mehe was my #1 lean

Leans went 3-1

Nothing today don't like the board... started capping tomorrow's games 

1 locked in

Trae over 9.5 assists @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 2 of last 4

Over this in 4 straight vs mavs

Should be motivated against doncic/kyrie.  Has good assist numbers vs mavs/doncic

He in a shooting slump but his teammates shooting decent. Looking for him to dish it tonight 

Mavs on a b2b...and their season on the line tonight

Oddsmakers expecting high scoring game, should be assist oppos

Should play 32+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 9-12 range

GL all

Other leans

Mitchell over 29.5 points @1.85

Ivey over 7.5 assists @2.10

Capela over 11.5 boards @2.05

Robinson over 9.5 boards @1.95

Trae 

Split 2-2 on the leans

leans....dont like any of em that much

capela over 10.5 boards @2.05....vooch might pull him away from rim...and he splitting mins with okongwu

giannis over 11.5 boards @1.85....worried he sits

tatum over 30.5 points @1.85....hes pretty hot...not great numbers vs 6ers...wanted 28.5 here....like it more if brown sits

mitchell over 29.5 points @1.85.....hes on fire....only worry is he sits in a blowout

ingram over 29.5 points @1.85....hes on fire.....wanted 26.5 or 27.5 here.....30 a lot where he doesnt shoot 3s

on a 12-3 run since i started being more selective.....see if i just jinxed it

overall 54-49 -1.47 units

0-2 -2   1-unit plays

54-47 +0.53  0.5-unit plays

Leans went 2-3 ....shoulda played Mitchell

Nba board is terrible tonight don't even have 1 lean 

So is the play-in reg. Season or playoffs?? Not sure what to document it under

Initial Leans

AD over 25.5 points @1.80....should have a good game with gobert out

Trae over 9.5 assists @2.05....tough matchup vs heat and atl a terrible road team

Capela over 10.5 boards @1.95....not sure how many mins he will get

Vucevic over 10.5 boards @1.90....raps better rebounding team than they used to be...he should play 33-35+ mins

GL DUBZ