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NBA BREAKDOWN Tuesday 04/05

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Posted: #26
Like the Wizards, forget the trends.  They are in April, look at those trends.  And they have Jordan Crawford - booyah!
 
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Posted: #27
wizards can ball in april! haha nice trend
 
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Posted: #28
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

Well, it's not a factor in 'all' games.  I like to see which team has a positive ATS record in 'revenge' spots and which don't.  You can identify teams that make better adjustments and/or play harder in 'revenge' spots based on that. 

If you're asking a 'general question' about 'revenge', well you have to remember, that NBA is a very 'emotional' league.  Emotion/motivation plays a big part here.  The lines on NBA games are for the most part very 'efficient' and it's not often that you find strong 'line-value'.  Thust factors like motivation, emotion ('revenge'), fatigue-spots (scheduling), etc. play a good part in handicapping this particular league.  At least that's my experience with it.

I'm assuming you don't think it's a factor, so I'm curious to know why you dont' think it is?

i think its a factor but not a huge factor because if you think about it every single game is a revenge game cus every team has beaten each other at some point so to them every game is sorta of a revenge game

so in a playoff series every single game is gonna be a revenge game to another team so i dont really buy into the revenge thing even tho its a revenge game it all comes down to whos the better team

 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by vtec626:

i think its a factor but not a huge factor because if you think about it every single game is a revenge game cus every team has beaten each other at some point so to them every game is sorta of a revenge game

so in a playoff series every single game is gonna be a revenge game to another team so i dont really buy into the revenge thing even tho its a revenge game it all comes down to whos the better team

 

Well, there's a 'zig-zag' angle in the playoffs that many people use, that is all about 'revenge'.  You basically back the team that is on 'revenge' in every game of the series....seems to work for some people

Either way, it might not work for you, but I like to use it in specific situations. 

Good luck the rest of the season!

 
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Posted: #31
appreciate this bodio!
 
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Posted: #32
dont fucken like the thunder game write as i am n the other side. so let be the bets man stand. but i wish i hit
 
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Posted: #33
NO BODIO I MEANT. I WAS THE FIRST TO REPLY. OF COURSE I LIKE YOUR REVIEWS. GOTTA CHECK THEM BEFORE NBA NIGHTS 
 
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Posted: #34
thanks Bodio for the write up, such a hard work, you make us very proud,,, APPRECIATED AS ALWAYS,,,,thanks again,,,
 
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Posted: #35

Hey King Bodio how you doing thanks for that atl pick yesterday and the three winners on sunday those were massive....you must get bored from me thanking you all the time....let me know when you come to toronto ill take care of you buddy!!!.

Bodio if possible i have a big lean on this denver game tonight it seems to easy line opened at 3.5 on the covers  AND NOW AS SOON AS THEY OPEND THIS MORNING ON MY LOCAL ITS AT -5...sorry caps.... i dont know man i think this denver team might just be the best in the nba abnd i dont see okie city beating them on their home court. [can you pls give this game a close look please.

 
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Posted: #36
LET$ GET EM
 
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Posted: #37
Someone buy this guy floor seats.... 
 
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Posted: #38

Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:

Someone buy this guy floor seats.... 

 
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Posted: #39
Great write-ups man!
 
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Posted: #40
great job, thx
 
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Posted: #41
thanks Bodio for the write up
 
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Posted: #42
Great job as always bodio lol
 
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Posted: #43
what a great job you doing Bodio.  Thanks again :)
 
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Posted: #44
superbodio, thank you

I like your tips for tonight, very, very good, like always


 
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Posted: #45
GL bodio - your writeups are always a must read
 
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Posted: #46
 
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Posted: #47
BOS line moved to -6 as I was clicking the accept button with my book....Love when that happens!!

You still like Spurs at 5-6?
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by kingz:

Hey King Bodio how you doing thanks for that atl pick yesterday and the three winners on sunday those were massive....you must get bored from me thanking you all the time....let me know when you come to toronto ill take care of you buddy!!!.

Bodio if possible i have a big lean on this denver game tonight it seems to easy line opened at 3.5 on the covers  AND NOW AS SOON AS THEY OPEND THIS MORNING ON MY LOCAL ITS AT -5...sorry caps.... i dont know man i think this denver team might just be the best in the nba abnd i dont see okie city beating them on their home court. [can you pls give this game a close look please.

Never been to Toronto, but definitely planning to visit in the future.  I'll let you know when/if I'm coming.  I'll probably be bringing my 'crew' with me, so you'll have to direct us to all the hot-spots...thanks for the offer

Yeah, I looked at that Denver game in detail and even though I really wanted to grab the points with the Nuggz, I just couldn't.  I have the line at -4.5 Denver so it's very accurate, but I do expect this to be a very tight game.  I Like the UNDER much more here...

 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by Barbosa212:

BOS line moved to -6 as I was clicking the accept button with my book....Love when that happens!!

You still like Spurs at 5-6?

Yeah, Boston just isn't covering spreads right now.  Tough to back 'em, but they might 'turn it up' these last few games prior to the playoffs.

Do I like Spurs @ -5 / -6. Yeah I do, but unfortunately a lot of the 'value' is gone

 
 
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Posted: #50

Final plays fellas...EnJoY and as always, Best of LUCK!

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