NBA Double Over System - Year Long Thread

You guys do know the books play games?

@DB51daBEARS

 Weird, you disappeared the day we hit a huge multiteam parlay and a 12x two teamer and come back the first day we might lose again. Convenient. Welcome back ;)

@DB51daBEARS No shit they play games. I'm making an observation about line movement. 

You realize we're playing a brain dead system, right? You're far too smart for us. 

@arakias

 He congratulated us.

Nevermind, he didn't congratulate. It was somebody else with a similar name. 

@race444

 Yeah, going to have to tune him out. He seemed decent at first but his posts seem overwhelmingly negative at this point.

LOL arakias

I am decent...and I won't bother you guys anymore.  

And I'm happy when you all win, and I tailed a few times (Ws and Ls), but it seems like just using that day's O/U numbers could easily be tweaked a bit with teams on B2Bs, teams maybe averaging 120 or more 3 straight (for example), highest vs lowest scoring teams records, etc, etc.  Whatever.

GL  

race444

Trying to track O/U line movement on a daily basis?  I doubt you do that, race.  Maybe for the 5 or 6 games with O/Us in the 230s and 240s.

I read your posts where you say "oh shit, line just went from 232 to 232.5".  Wow

I'm talking about keeping track of all the games played, who's home, who's away...

I just spent maybe a half hour a few days ago looking at one of the bottom 10 teams in scoring...saw they went 1-7 there last 8 when they were on B2B and because they don't score a lot they obviously brought down the total points in those games they went 1-7.

Those are the kind of things i was talking about - not the O/U went from 232 to 232.5

So good luck...hope you hit a lot of 2Xers and 5Xers, too.

Cheers  

I didn't disappear when you hit, arakias...I was only posting a couple of thoughts about your system, besides the strict "highest O/U numbers for that day".

My interest isn't in trolling anybody, like some people we all see like to do.

I posted "bookies play games" when your buddy was all jacked up about the line going from 232 to 232.5

K...all the best 

I've heard of 3 tier chase systems in baseball but a 8 for any sport? I'm not bashing but if you lose 7 in a row, it's time to take a break.

@DB51daBEARS

 You're absolutely 100% right I don't track line movements on a daily basis. The whole point of this system is to not do that. 

If I'm saying Oh shit, it's not cause I'm like oh my god it's .5 points, it's because of the closing line and varying tip off times. 

It's a problem with the system and back checking, similar to survivor bias. Back checking doesn't separate closing line and various tip off times. 

Dude, you're too smart for me and this thread. 

@SPark1

 This type of comment is what I don't understand. Do the research. Go back 10 years. See how it would've gone. It's time to stop at 7 is such an asinine comment to make when the system works going to 8. 

Like every other person who has bashed this system, do the research. Make the spreadsheets. Do JUST 5 YEARS. Then come tell me it's not profitable.

@arakias

Tier systems aren't my thing but more power to you. 95% of covers won't be able to bet 8x their initial bet because we're all degens, let alone get to the 8th tier. I'm guessing 50% are using local bookies not casinos too so the average $100 better won't be able to place a $2500 bet should they lose 7 in a row in a 8 tier system.

All the info is free out there to test. 

The only problem is what I eluded to above, back data assumes all games start at the same time. 

The worst is weekend games when there's an early East Coast game and a late West Coast game, they are around the same line and are within the qualifiers.

Which is why I freak out when a line changes after other games have started and vice versa. Could mean a Game 8 loss down the line when it should have been a Game 7 win. 

I don't care about the number or why the number is moving.

@SPark1

 That’s their problem. I’m pretty good at sticking to my wagers, hedging when I should, etc. Not much I can do for folks how don’t have the means to manage or wager the right amount of money. :/

hedging

Westgate SuperBookLV

We only got two games today, but both are over 225...

Fresh legs = over?

@Pocketmonkey711

 I don't know, but if both are still 225 or greater by 7:45 PM EST, I'll be locking it in as an official play.

Locking in my 2X wager as...

Damn Spurs 18 point 4th quarter.

@race444

 Yep :/ 

We definitely have a play today, 3x. 

Trying to hold play announcement until 6:50 EST since there's only one 7 PM game and it is currently a system play by a half point...