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NBA picks, Friday, January 14, 2011

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Posted: #26
cleveland 1st quarter is probably the best play of the year
 
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Posted: #27
 
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Posted: #28
GL Kap
 
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Posted: #29
Plays:

1. Chicago Bulls -1 (-102), 2.04 to win 2
2. Sacramento Kings +8.5 (-105), 1.05 to win 1
3. Charlotte Bobcats +8.5 (-105), 1.57 to win 1.5
4. Cleveland Cavaliers (1H) +8 (-110), 1.1 to win 1
5. Cleveland Cavaliers +14.5 (-105), 2.1 to win 2
6. Cleveland Cavaliers ML +1950, 0.5 to win 9.75 unit
7. Golden State Warriors -3.5 (-105), 2.1 to win 2
8. New Jersey Nets +13 (-105), 2.1 to win 2

Lot of crappy teams on the board today but I think they get it done tonight. Remember, no matter how bad these teams are, they are full of professional athletes who were the best on their respective college teams, high schools, cities, etc. Anything can happen in the NBA -- they say "any given Sunday" in the NFL, but in the NBA, it's the same thing except on every single day.

Good luck to everyone tonight with their plays
 
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Posted: #30
That +1950 moneyline is completely ridiculous for the CLE/UTAH game. I don't care how bad CLE is, no team should be close to a 20-1 ML favorite in the NBA in the regular season. Ever. Does Cleveland win this game more than 1 in 19 times? I sure think they do.
 
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Posted: #31

 
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Posted: #32
i cant believe i haven't got on the utah first quarter fade train yet


 
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Posted: #33
good luck kapono.
 
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Posted: #34
GL kap 
 
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Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Did you know that the Knicks haven't been favored by more than 7 all season? They've done it three times this year and guess what? They're 0-3 ATS in those games.

 

 

Done what?  Been favored by exactly 7?

 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Did you know that the Nets are not the Cavaliers?

 

 

 
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Posted: #37

8. Golden State Warriors -3.5
9. Los Angeles Clippers/Golden State Warriors OVER 209.5

Like em alot

 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

Done what?  Been favored by exactly 7?



Exactly, when I read that over Bator I realized that it was not exactly clear. I meant they haven't been favored by more than 7 all year, and the three times that they were favored by 7, they are 0-3 ATS in those three. I was hoping no one would catch it
 
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Posted: #39

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Did you know that the Lakers are 27-56 ATS in their last 83 home games as a favorite of 11 or more? Or they are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games against a team with a losing road record? Think the Nets might be a little motivated to try to slay the giants tonight? The Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a dog of 11 points or more and are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600.


 

 

Awesome.  

 

The Lakers are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS this season when playing at home off a win vs. a team they last played on the road (this season).  They lost to Phoenix laying 9, lost to Milwaukee laying 12, lost to Memphis laying 9.5, and nipped the Sixers laying 10.  And now they're laying 13.5 to a Nets team they played in New Jersey on December 12th.  Last season the Lakers went 7-4 SU & 4-7 ATS in this situation.

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

Awesome.  

 

The Lakers are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS this season when playing at home off a win vs. a team they last played on the road (this season).  They lost to Phoenix laying 9, lost to Milwaukee laying 12, lost to Memphis laying 9.5, and nipped the Sixers laying 10.  And now they're laying 13.5 to a Nets team they played in New Jersey on December 12th.  Last season the Lakers went 7-4 SU & 4-7 ATS in this situation.



Love the stats Bator, a to you as well friend

I almost sprinkled some small moneyline plays on the Nets, Bobcats, and Sacramento. Something tells me that at least one of those teams wins SU tonight. Personally I'm hoping that we can throw Cleveland into that mix and they "shock the world" by winning in Utah. Probably won't happen, but I'd give it a far better chance than 5% of happening. Can you imagine the chaos on the board if it did? I'd love nothing more than to see a slew of pissed off "UTAH SUCKS" threads
 
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Posted: #41

 GL! tonight Kap

I smell a huge upset brewing with one of these big spreads just trying to narrow down which one I like

 

 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:



Didn't even notice that, nbafan -- good information. I wouldn't feel comfortable laying 9 with a home team on a Tony Brothers game, would you?

Lets see here................

When Knicks r laying -7 this year they r 0 - 3 ATS.....

Tony Brothers = home favs r 5 - 7 ATS when laying -5 - 9/...

Kings, road team, & Dog r 5 - 1 ATS L6 in this series.......

Knicks off 4 game west swing with 1 day rest, last time this happened beat Bobcats 110 - 107..............

The Kings have been waxed by 24 pts twice this season the first time @ LAL 80 - 113, next game 103 - 105 @ Houston, Hmm the Celtics waxed them 95 - 113.....

Does my heart good to see the line drop to 8/ with 80% love for the Knicks ATS...............

 

Thanks Kap.. we have a play on the............

Shitty QUEENS

 

 

 
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Posted: #43
I like the UNDER in the PHX game too but I already have enough action spread out on the board...
 
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Posted: #44
 The lowest O/U set for a Suns game in L10 was 206.5.
 
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Posted: #45
"8. Did you know that Cleveland players were completely embarrassed after that Lakers game? Go check their quotes. Vets like Mo Williams saying he can't show his face in Cleveland, Jamison saying no professional team should ever lose by that much, etc. I know that CLE is terrible -- they are, no one doubts that -- but in the long grind that is the NBA season, you gotta look for spots where teams will be motivated to play hard. CLE will come out with guaranteed effort tonight after getting clowned, and that's more than you can say on most nights. CLE is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a game where they scored less than 75 (aka likely were blown out) and is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a dog of 11 points or more? If you are a "buy low, sell high" player, is there any better opportunity to "buy low" than after the national embarrasment suffered by Cleveland against the Lakers?"



they lost by 55 points that night to the lakers. yes, that is the most embarrassing loss in the NBA im sure of it and i also bet that it wont happen again by those numbers, but they can lose by more than 16 points... here my scoring prediction for tonights game:

100-79 Jazz

BOL to you Kap.
 
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Posted: #46
That total in the Gstate game jumped to 213.5 I saw it last night and circled it now I have it at a bigger line is it still a GO? Warriors like to score a lot at home and iM sure Clipps can run as well Bdiidy return to Oak Town. 
 
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Posted: #47
I'm not playing the total in that game, LTE. I like it at what it was last night but its jumped far too high for my liking, but good luck with whatever you choose
 
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Posted: #48
Oh don't get me wrong instinct -- CLE could easily, easily lose this game by 30. Easily. Wouldn't surprise me one bit.
 
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Posted: #49
GL
 
 
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Posted: #50
Thanks for pointing out that Celtics Trend Kap. I had somewhat of an idea that it was bad but not that bad. It just goes to show you how some of these teams are often inflated as chalk.
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