Posted:
#126
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Hawks +3 over 76ers --- 1.1 units
Hawks +3 over 76ers --- 1.1 units
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NBA PLAYOFF TIME..........................................2021
Posted:
#129
MY LINES.................................................................................
Nets -4.18 over Bucks
With both Irving and Harden out my line obviously is no good. Being reported Harden may try to play.
My line is based on regular season in which all 3 superstars did not play together very often so 2 of them together would seem reasonable assumption for my line so now with one of 2 out line drops 6.68 pts based on my line ? That seems to big an over-reaction to losing one player and the line was 1.5 to 2 pts higher, wow that's 8.18 to 8.68 pts higher, that is crazy for 1 player being out.
Seems you'd have to like the Bucks here on the surface but will pass on this game.
Hoping the Bucks get the SU win for pending futures of Bucks winning the East.. hopefully they can take advantage of the good fortune Bucks received.
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Posted:
#130
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
MY LINES................................................................................. Nets -4.18 over Bucks With both Irving and Harden out my line obviously is no good. Being reported Harden may try to play. My line is based on regular season in which all 3 superstars did not play together very often so 2 of them together would seem reasonable assumption for my line so now with one of 2 out line drops 6.68 pts based on my line ? That seems to big an over-reaction to losing one player and the line was 1.5 to 2 pts higher, wow that's 8.18 to 8.68 pts higher, that is crazy for 1 player being out. Seems you'd have to like the Bucks here on the surface but will pass on this game. Hoping the Bucks get the SU win for pending futures of Bucks winning the East.. hopefully they can take advantage of the good fortune Bucks received.
MY LINES................................................................................. Nets -4.18 over Bucks With both Irving and Harden out my line obviously is no good. Being reported Harden may try to play. My line is based on regular season in which all 3 superstars did not play together very often so 2 of them together would seem reasonable assumption for my line so now with one of 2 out line drops 6.68 pts based on my line ? That seems to big an over-reaction to losing one player and the line was 1.5 to 2 pts higher, wow that's 8.18 to 8.68 pts higher, that is crazy for 1 player being out. Seems you'd have to like the Bucks here on the surface but will pass on this game. Hoping the Bucks get the SU win for pending futures of Bucks winning the East.. hopefully they can take advantage of the good fortune Bucks received.
Good fortune?! lol It was a disgusting, dirty play by dumboketumbo. Good fortune my a s s. 
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Posted:
#131
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
MY LINES................................................................................. Nets -4.18 over Bucks With both Irving and Harden out my line obviously is no good. Being reported Harden may try to play. My line is based on regular season in which all 3 superstars did not play together very often so 2 of them together would seem reasonable assumption for my line so now with one of 2 out line drops 6.68 pts based on my line ? That seems to big an over-reaction to losing one player and the line was 1.5 to 2 pts higher, wow that's 8.18 to 8.68 pts higher, that is crazy for 1 player being out. Seems you'd have to like the Bucks here on the surface but will pass on this game. Hoping the Bucks get the SU win for pending futures of Bucks winning the East.. hopefully they can take advantage of the good fortune Bucks received.
MY LINES................................................................................. Nets -4.18 over Bucks With both Irving and Harden out my line obviously is no good. Being reported Harden may try to play. My line is based on regular season in which all 3 superstars did not play together very often so 2 of them together would seem reasonable assumption for my line so now with one of 2 out line drops 6.68 pts based on my line ? That seems to big an over-reaction to losing one player and the line was 1.5 to 2 pts higher, wow that's 8.18 to 8.68 pts higher, that is crazy for 1 player being out. Seems you'd have to like the Bucks here on the surface but will pass on this game. Hoping the Bucks get the SU win for pending futures of Bucks winning the East.. hopefully they can take advantage of the good fortune Bucks received.
Your Line was "ACCURATE" again !!!
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Posted:
#132
Bucks wilt under pressure once again in the playoffs. The Freak can't get it done, simple as that. His game is not varied enough yet, likely will never be because he just can't shoot if he is any distance away from the basket.
And he makes dumb plays, dreadful from 3 pt land but still keeps throwing them up. When he either posts up or dribbles inside he doesn't get deep enough, he needs to be closer to the basket he can't shoot any distance away. Throwing up repeated bricks.
Terrible play with 15 seconds left when Someone threw the ball to the Freak (WHY) AND HE THEN DRIVES TO THE BASKET KNOWING HE IS GETTING FOULED. Why when you need pts with not much time left would you ever pass to him ? What's he going to do, shoot a 3 ?
Durant came up huge with an all-time great performance, I quess he said take that Jay Williams for comparing me to the Freak.
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Posted:
#133
MY LINES...................................................
76ERS -7.17 OVER HAWKS
JAZZ -6.99 OVER CLIPPERS
76ERS OFF SU & ATS loss, with series tied 2-2 back team who is winning the series if that is a clear cut case. Yep that'd be the 76ers but with the line right on my line and Embiid injury I'll pass on this game but think 76ers will get the win and likely cover.
Jazz off 2 ATS losses and 2 double digit SU losses with a blowout 24 pt loss, good spot for the Jazz. With Kawhi out the line is about right considering Clippers lost the most minutes of quality players in regular season and should be more like Jazz -4.99 not -6.99, so Kawhi is worth 3 pts basically, seems if anything an over-reaction with the line.
Will pass on this game but like the Jazz to win and likely cover tonight.
Everything seems to be setting up nicely for the Jazz to win the West with Kawhi out and Paul out, and especially if Kawhi is out for playoffs. Going to be brutal if Jazz don't get it done under these circumstances as good a season as they have had.
Conley should be back next series if not this series, I don't see the Suns beating the Jazz, just don't see it with or without Paul.
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Posted:
#134
MY LINES..............................................
Bucks -3.82 over Nets
Bucks off an SU & ATS loss, Nets in a closeout game as the better team, good spot for the Nets if Harden was 100% or Irving was 100%, but with Irving out and Harden uncertain health status will pass on this game but won't be surprised at all if the Nets close it out tonight or at least win ATS.
I'll be hoping the Bucks can win this game and maybe a chance to win game 7 if Nets still have health issues. Bucks should beat 76ers or Hawks to make the finals and cash our futures.
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Posted:
#137
Was busy past couple of days and not up for posting as I didn't have any plays so took a break. To many injuries this season.
Thought 76ers would win and cover game 6 but thought Jazz would as well, that was a shocker as Jazz couldn't win with Kawhi out, pretty pathetic really, they let Mann go off like a superstar player.
Not surprised Bucks beat the Nets, what an all-time great game down to the wire. Bucks could barely pull out that win with Harden not 100% and Irving out. I highly doubt had Nets been healthy Bucks would win that series. Not knowing whether how healthy Harden would be made things to risky for me, but I thought considering the injuries and depending how Harden would play that the Bucks would have a fairly decent shot to win the game so not really surprised they did, but would of passed on the game.
Bucks look to be the healthiest team left and they might be in a very good position to win the title because of all these injuries. If Bucks win the title they would have gotten very lucky in my view with all the injuries to key players.
Jazz are such a huge disappointment, losing a 25 pt lead with Kawhi out, that's terrible.
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Posted:
#138
MY LINES..............................................................
Suns -3.05 over Clippers
76ers -7.17 over Hawks
To many injuries in the Suns/Clippers game, I think the line is pretty close to good considering Clippers are losing more with Kawhi out then Suns with Paul out. So my line should be higher then Suns -3.05, pass on this game.
76ers off SU & ATS win and are 1-2 ATS at home in the series. Teams in a game 7 with losing ATS records at home and my line is at least 1 pt difference to actual closing line we have a very good play.
Embiid has played well in series with his bad knee but has had a couple of not so good games so how much of that is his knee, who knows .
Hawks have some injuries as well which makes 76ers a better play but we deon't know how much that will affect Young as could be misleading as teams play games all the time to keep opps quessing, Young might come out and play lights out, seen it happen many times in the past.
Would expect the 76ers to win and likely cover if the line drops, but will likely pass on this game.
I just think waiting out to the Bucks/76ers series is a better situation then we are only dealing with Embiid's injury and we can find spots to back the Bucks who should have a great shot to win series.
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Posted:
#139
MY LINES.......................................conference finals
Suns -3.05 over Clippers
Bucks -7.33 over Hawks
If line close 6 or higher would back the Clippers , but looks like it dropped to 5. To many injuries at that line.
Bucks off 2 SU & ATS wins , Hawks off 1 SU & ATS win, better spot for the Hawks. Bucks are 0-2 ATS in game 1's, Hawks are 2-0 ATS in game 1's, better spot for Bucks, Bucks likely come out strong not to dig themselves a hole and since they are much better at home would think they get a double digit win .
What the Bucks did show VS Nets is they now know how to gut-out close games something they could not do last couple of seasons. They worked hard during regular season going away from the Freak to get other players involved closing out close games.
Hawks look to be the team is playing much better then the regular season ratings show, this was the Heat last season, Hawks have had a very good showing up till now but now that the Bucks no how to gut-out close games I don't see the Hawks winning this series. What the Heat did last year was an exception more then the general rule I don't see that happening 2 years in a row.
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Posted:
#140
POWER RATINGS I...........................................conference finals
Clippers 6.51
Bucks 6.11
Suns 5.56
Hawks 2.78
POWER RATINGS II.................................................conference finals
Clippers 53.76
Bucks 53.65
Suns 52.77
Hawks 51.87
Clippers the best team but not by much over the Bucks and with Kawhi out Bucks would appear to be the best team at this point.
In PR II teams under 53.5 rarely can win the title. PR I is 6 pts, THIS IS VERY LIKELY THE WEAKEST FIELD OF TEAMS TO REACH THE CONFERENCE FINALS, It appears the Bucks are the best team and should win the title from here depending if Kawhi comes back 1005 which does not seem likely. But even if he does it is still a close matchup where Bucks could still win the title.
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Posted:
#141
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
POWER RATINGS I...........................................conference finals Clippers 6.51 Bucks 6.11 Suns 5.56 Hawks 2.78 POWER RATINGS II.................................................conference finals Clippers 53.76 Bucks 53.65 Suns 52.77 Hawks 51.87 Clippers the best team but not by much over the Bucks and with Kawhi out Bucks would appear to be the best team at this point. In PR II teams under 53.5 rarely can win the title. PR I is 6 pts, THIS IS VERY LIKELY THE WEAKEST FIELD OF TEAMS TO REACH THE CONFERENCE FINALS, It appears the Bucks are the best team and should win the title from here depending if Kawhi comes back 1005 which does not seem likely. But even if he does it is still a close matchup where Bucks could still win the title.
POWER RATINGS I...........................................conference finals Clippers 6.51 Bucks 6.11 Suns 5.56 Hawks 2.78 POWER RATINGS II.................................................conference finals Clippers 53.76 Bucks 53.65 Suns 52.77 Hawks 51.87 Clippers the best team but not by much over the Bucks and with Kawhi out Bucks would appear to be the best team at this point. In PR II teams under 53.5 rarely can win the title. PR I is 6 pts, THIS IS VERY LIKELY THE WEAKEST FIELD OF TEAMS TO REACH THE CONFERENCE FINALS, It appears the Bucks are the best team and should win the title from here depending if Kawhi comes back 1005 which does not seem likely. But even if he does it is still a close matchup where Bucks could still win the title.
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Posted:
#143
Wow, Hawks playing incredible but Bucks were terrible and almost won, easily could have as Hawks got 2 off rebs on 1 possesion late and scored then next possesion got another off reb and a score that was lucky bounce of ball off the rim.
Bucks terrible like 22% on 3's and Middleton was horrendous and he is very cable of bouncing back big as a great shooter, Young who's actual not a very good 3 pt shooter, shots below league ave reg season and did so in the other series but was unstoppable on 2's which is not likely to continue, all Bucks game 2 & 3.
Bucks may have taken them to lightly after beating Durant and the Nets. Looking at the site seems many here think this is easy Hawks winning and I see some experts doing the same thing, let's see how the line plays out, hopefully it is bet down with a big over-reaction.
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Posted:
#144
MY LINES.............................................
Clippers -8.95 over Suns
Crazy huh. Clippers receive 4 additional desperation pts being down 2-0, But without Kawhi, even if we say Kawhi is worth 6 or 7 pts play still is on Clippers game 3. Making the Suns the fav after the 1st 2 games and Paul returning is in my view a big over-reaction to how Suns have played this postseason and the books want to catch up with the Suns play and over-value them now, right play is on the Clippers tonight.
Let's wait out the line, looks like it might be going up, hope so.
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Posted:
#145
Quote Originally Posted by Force:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: POWER RATINGS I...........................................conference finals Clippers 6.51 Bucks 6.11 Suns 5.56 Hawks 2.78 POWER RATINGS II.................................................conference finals Clippers 53.76 Bucks 53.65 Suns 52.77 Hawks 51.87 Clippers the best team but not by much over the Bucks and with Kawhi out Bucks would appear to be the best team at this point. In PR II teams under 53.5 rarely can win the title. PR I is 6 pts, THIS IS VERY LIKELY THE WEAKEST FIELD OF TEAMS TO REACH THE CONFERENCE FINALS, It appears the Bucks are the best team and should win the title from here depending if Kawhi comes back 1005 which does not seem likely. But even if he does it is still a close matchup where Bucks could still win the title.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: POWER RATINGS I...........................................conference finals Clippers 6.51 Bucks 6.11 Suns 5.56 Hawks 2.78 POWER RATINGS II.................................................conference finals Clippers 53.76 Bucks 53.65 Suns 52.77 Hawks 51.87 Clippers the best team but not by much over the Bucks and with Kawhi out Bucks would appear to be the best team at this point. In PR II teams under 53.5 rarely can win the title. PR I is 6 pts, THIS IS VERY LIKELY THE WEAKEST FIELD OF TEAMS TO REACH THE CONFERENCE FINALS, It appears the Bucks are the best team and should win the title from here depending if Kawhi comes back 1005 which does not seem likely. But even if he does it is still a close matchup where Bucks could still win the title.
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Posted:
#149
MY LINES .................................................
Bucks -7.33 over Hawks
Bucks off SU & ATS loss, Hawks off 2 SU & ATS WINS AS A BIG DOG. Better spot for the Bucks. Road teams don't win both games 1 & 2 on the road very often and since the team that wins SU mostly covering the line, good spot for the Bucks.
All home teams after losing game 1 are 4-1 SU & ATS in this spot with Hawks going 0-2 SU & ATS after winning game 1 on the road and the only Knicks SU win in the series came in this very spot. Of the 4 wins, 3 were by double digits and the other by 9 pts.
Play is on the Bucks, let's wait-out the line.
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