Playoffs are here, time to get after it. Opening day lines are out as are series numbers, so I'm digging through both. Look at the opening lines closely as they will play a role going forward in these playoffs. This thread will only be for future bets as I'll have daily plays under separate title.
Current Series Prices (courtesy of 5Dimes)
Eastern Conference:
Chicago (1) -1300
Philly (8) +850
Miami (2) -950
New York (7) +625
Indiana (3) -800
Orlando (6) +550
Atlanta (4) +110 Boston (5) -130
Western Conference:
San Antonio (1) -2300
Utah (8) +1350
OKC (2) -600
Dallas (7) +450
Los Angeles Lakers (3) -245
Denver (6) +205
Memphis (4) -155
Los Angeles Clippers (5) +135
Back with some thoughts on each in a bit..
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Playoffs are here, time to get after it. Opening day lines are out as are series numbers, so I'm digging through both. Look at the opening lines closely as they will play a role going forward in these playoffs. This thread will only be for future bets as I'll have daily plays under separate title.
Los Angeles Clippers (5) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (4)
Take the season results between these two teams and throw them in the trash. The Clippers are a bad matchup for the Grizz. They have experience and quickness at the perimeter positions and they have toughness and athleticism on the inside. Memphis does not have depth on the interior, so any foul trouble to Gasol or Zbo will be crippling. Randolph hasn't seem to fully round into form since he came back from injury. Granted he didn't really have to, but I question his ability to turn it on just like that. Not only will he be challenged offensively, but he will be working defensively. Beyond Griffin and Jordan, who by themselves cause matchup problems for both Grizz bigs, the Clip come off the bench with Reggie Evans and Kenyon Martin. These two guys aren't going to stuff the stat sheet, but they are going to pound away at the Grizzlies big boys. Kenyon Martin was brought in for the playoffs, and the Clip got the first round matchup that gives him the potential to be most effective. On the perimeter, the Clippers have the best player on the floor in CP3, which is always a godo thing come playoff time. But the Clips depth at the guard position will be a problem for Memphis. They have experience with Mo Williams and Butler, but can come back with youth in Foye Young and Bledsoe. Memphis is a very talented team and they seem to be the hot topic among playoff prognasticators and degenerates. However, this is a bad matchup for Memphis, and where the Clip lack in team playoff experience, they make up with guys like Paul, Butler, Martin and Mo. They have youthful bigs, but with Randolph not seeming to be in top form, I think that plays to their advanatge.
Los Angeles Clippers +
I will be betting on the Clippers to win this series, but waiting to see how close I can get to 2-1.
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Los Angeles Clippers (5) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (4)
Take the season results between these two teams and throw them in the trash. The Clippers are a bad matchup for the Grizz. They have experience and quickness at the perimeter positions and they have toughness and athleticism on the inside. Memphis does not have depth on the interior, so any foul trouble to Gasol or Zbo will be crippling. Randolph hasn't seem to fully round into form since he came back from injury. Granted he didn't really have to, but I question his ability to turn it on just like that. Not only will he be challenged offensively, but he will be working defensively. Beyond Griffin and Jordan, who by themselves cause matchup problems for both Grizz bigs, the Clip come off the bench with Reggie Evans and Kenyon Martin. These two guys aren't going to stuff the stat sheet, but they are going to pound away at the Grizzlies big boys. Kenyon Martin was brought in for the playoffs, and the Clip got the first round matchup that gives him the potential to be most effective. On the perimeter, the Clippers have the best player on the floor in CP3, which is always a godo thing come playoff time. But the Clips depth at the guard position will be a problem for Memphis. They have experience with Mo Williams and Butler, but can come back with youth in Foye Young and Bledsoe. Memphis is a very talented team and they seem to be the hot topic among playoff prognasticators and degenerates. However, this is a bad matchup for Memphis, and where the Clip lack in team playoff experience, they make up with guys like Paul, Butler, Martin and Mo. They have youthful bigs, but with Randolph not seeming to be in top form, I think that plays to their advanatge.
Los Angeles Clippers +
I will be betting on the Clippers to win this series, but waiting to see how close I can get to 2-1.
How do you figure that DeAndre Jordan causes a matchup problem for Marc Gasol or Z-Bo when MEM is on defense? To me, having Nick Young in there as a strength of some kind for LAC couldn't be further than the truth, he's always been a volume shooter, me-first type of player, and that doesn't work in the playoffs unless you are wearing number 23
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How do you figure that DeAndre Jordan causes a matchup problem for Marc Gasol or Z-Bo when MEM is on defense? To me, having Nick Young in there as a strength of some kind for LAC couldn't be further than the truth, he's always been a volume shooter, me-first type of player, and that doesn't work in the playoffs unless you are wearing number 23
kapono - While Deandre isn't the most skillful big on offense, he is a space eater and presents the challenge for Gasol (or ZBo) of doubling up or sitting tight. The size and athleticism of both Griffin and Jordan, the penetration of CP3 and ZBo potentially not 100% all increase the potential of the Memphis big getting into foul trouble as stand alones and collectively. As for Young, he does have the John Starks complex, but his role is limited with the Clippers. He has only exceeded 10 shots twice in the month of April. He certainly needs to be held on a short leash and I think Paul helps with that. He is a strength in that he is quick and has "potential" to be a scorer off the bench. I agree he could shoot the Clippers in the foot, but I don't think he gets enough run to be a crippling liability.
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kapono - While Deandre isn't the most skillful big on offense, he is a space eater and presents the challenge for Gasol (or ZBo) of doubling up or sitting tight. The size and athleticism of both Griffin and Jordan, the penetration of CP3 and ZBo potentially not 100% all increase the potential of the Memphis big getting into foul trouble as stand alones and collectively. As for Young, he does have the John Starks complex, but his role is limited with the Clippers. He has only exceeded 10 shots twice in the month of April. He certainly needs to be held on a short leash and I think Paul helps with that. He is a strength in that he is quick and has "potential" to be a scorer off the bench. I agree he could shoot the Clippers in the foot, but I don't think he gets enough run to be a crippling liability.
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