NBA Prop Picks 12-19

Donovan Mitchell O 27.5 Points (-115)

Jordan Clarkson U 20.5 Points (-115)

Jabari Smith O 20.5 PRA (-125)

lines are starting to move on these so I’m posting them now from phone

31-17 in December 

@BigMick87

 On mitchell over 28.5 -105

Hoping for a big game against his old team...he either getting under 20 points in a stinker or going well over 30 lol...boom or bust imo

@dubz4dummyz

 I feel same way, boom or bust

Adding:

P.J. Tuckers O 0.5 3PT's (-115) - OK hear me out lol.  He's made at least 1 3PT in 5 of his last 7 games.  Raps allow the 2nd most corner 3's per game and Tucker's role on offense is to literally chill in that corner to stretch the D. Tucker had that 12 game stretch where he only made 2 3Pt's and 7 of those 12 he didn't even score a point, but this recent 7 games he's sort of re-discovered himself and is looking more like the guy the Sixers thought they were getting

i also kind of like Tobias Harris  O 1.5 3PT's even though it's juiced in the -140's. He's over that total in 7 of his last 8 and shoots more 3's when Harden is on the floor. Might Parlay it with something else i like that's juiced, but that will just be a private play

Everyone and their mother on Mitchell O Points.....oh boy

@BigMick87

 foster will foul him out 

Haha BOL 

@dubz4dummyz

 Send in the clowns lol

@Renniw182

Adding:

Fred Van Vleet U 20.5 Points (-120) - For whatever reason, Sixers have put the clamps on opposing PG's as they allow the fewest PPG to PG's in the NBA.  I'd imagine Siakam draws Tobias/Tucker and Melton guards FVV.  Harden gets crap for his defense, sometimes deservedly, but he has a massive size advantage if he draws FVV.  FVV averages over 20 PPG at home, but only 15 on the road this season.  In 2 game this year vs. Philly he has a combined 16 points (15,1).  Rough spot for Toronto getting boat-raced by Jordan Poole last night and now have to fly to Philly less than 24 hours later.

waiting to see Westbrook status for tonight, that Rbnd+Asst prop is always tasty and No Lebron tonight

I also did a Tobias Harris O 1.5, Mikal Bridges O 2.5 3PT's (+328) parlay.  Not an official play, just putting it out there. Last 2 games w/o Booker, Bridges attempted 10 and 13 3PT attempts

PJ Tucker

Tobias gets 2 quick 3PT's, need Bridges to come through

Didn't think Cavs would put Garland on Clarkson

odd matchup each time 

Clarkson 

started promising then somehow got Garland switched on to him

Mitchell 

can’t make this shit up. Cavs get the blowout win but Mitchell stays under only getting 23 minutes and Clarkson gets garland to shoot over and beats the blowout. 

fucking nba man

FVV

may have something in Kings game

Smith Jr   can't even blame the blowout there, Smith had a shit 1st qtr. and it cost him

I ended up playing Lamelo O Pts + Asst, he has a great 1st quarter then gets 2 quick fouls on him. Neither were fouls

33-20 in December, need a nice run

WTF LaMelo commits a dumb-ass 3rd foul for nothing.....dude has to sit  the rest of the half now, 10 minutes left in 2nd

@BigMick87

 and Bridges now sitting rest of the game due to blowout? Blowout games can really mess with prop plays, unless players get "theirs" before the 4th quarter

@Kep131313

 yea it's rough some days,but i enjoy it

The variables (fouls,refs,injuries,"off-nights") of the game are much more critical when betting props.  A team's star player could have a rough night, but if the rest of the team pulls their weight then you can cover a spread or maybe the other team just doesn't show up.

I've recently began thinking about betting on more Unders....but it's not nearly as fun