YTD 76-59 ( +26.80 units )
5u 1-1
4u 3-3
3u 12-8
2u 26-19
1u 34-28
There have been 26 betting situations this season in which teams have played 3 games in 3 consecutive days. When the NBA posted their schedule i circled the third game in every B2B2B situation and simply assumed that FADING THE TEAM PLAYING THE THIRD GAME of this specific situation would be an automatic moneymaker. Every team will go through this phase once and some teams twice. If you go by the closing line the this angle is currently 12-12-2 ATS ( not exactly free money or even close to it )
The only discrepency that i have noticed is that early on this trend got off to a 9-4 Ats start meaning the team playing it's third game had covered the spread in 9 out of the first 13 games. This mostly took place in the Month of January.
The next 13 games of this angle has been more favorable to the bettor fading this trend. Since 1/18 the team playing it's 3rd game in 3 days is 3-8-2 ATS and this makes perfect sense, not only because fatigue became a factor but also because some of these teams would eventually go on to play a 5/7 7/9 or 9/12 within the B2B2B.
My two wagers today involve teams in this situational angle. I'm fading the Hawks and the Spurs with San Antonio being my larger of the two wagers. Ginobli is a go but Popovich will rest Duncan.
PHILADELPHIA +3.5 ( 3 units )
UTAH +1.5 ( 1 unit )
Here is a list of the remainig teams that still have to play their 3rd game in 3 nights
MEMPHIS--------April 2/3/4
BOSTON----------April 13/14/15 ( all 3 games on the road )
CLEVELAND----April 13/14/15
PHILADELPHIA-April 16/17/18
SAN ANTONIO--April 16/17/18 ( all 3 games on the road )
DETROIT---------April 17/18/19
GOLDEN ST-----April 20/21/22 ( all 3 games on the road )
ATLANTA--------April 23/24/25
WASHINGTON-----This is the most intresting one. The Wizards have to do it twice within 14 days. March 24/25/26 ( game 3 tomorrow) and April 24/25/26.
Good luck everbody. I had some free time on my hands today,so i hope this was helpful.