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NBA TUESDAY !!!

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Posted: #28
GL Dimes
 
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Posted: #29
I'm not sold on either team but a small wager will at least make it interesting. 
 
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Posted: #30
Staying away from this one. I would argue that Varejao is more important to the Cavs than Irving due to the fact that they still have Sessions who is more than capable of running the offense. They have no one who can even come close to replicating what Varejao does out there, and thats why they got blasted by the Heat.
 
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Posted: #31
What does everybody think about the over/under? I am kinda leaning on under 192 and a half. Any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #32
dimes44,  it's your world baby 




 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

YTD  48-37  ( +21.70 u )

5u  1-0

4u  3-2

3u  11-6

2u  11-14

1u  22-15

Fell short by a basket last night on a bad inbound pass with seconds remaining. It's been a positive year but the last couple of weeks have been downhill

It seems that my leans and discussion on specific games in my daily thread are doing a lot better than my actuall wagers.

Hope you guys are doing better than I am

CLEVELAND -1.5 ( 3 units )

One play for me today, and I'm going 3u on this one. This  number is just way to low in my opinion. Let's take a look at the Pistons. They've won 7 of their last 9 games but only two of those games have been on the road. They have a total of 3 road wins and only 1 quality win away from home , which was in Boston.  So is Cleveland under valued at home ? Or are the Pisons over valued on the road ? How much can be Varajao be worth ? I realize it's a huge downgrade to Erden but the Cavs should be able to get the job done.

GOOD LUCK



Statistically, Varejao (+3.4 net +/-) is actually worth about the same as K.Irving (+3.8 net +/-) they are the 2 most important Cavs players, Jamison the the 3rd (+2.7 net +/-)
 
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Posted: #34
GL!!!
 
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Posted: #35
Keep up the good work dimes!
 
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Posted: #36
i looked at this game and my initial thought was to take cleveland but after seeing the recent trends i decided to stay away from it

  • Cavaliers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

i looked at this game and my initial thought was to take cleveland but after seeing the recent trends i decided to stay away from it

  • Cavaliers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

You gotta stop letting this stuff influence you. It will not get you anywhere......

 

Like the play 44

 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by Saekopsycho:

Any other leans, Dimes?


Not really, Even a lean today would be a forced decision .

gl
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by pangoper:

just asking again. are you risking 3u even though 3 key players are out

Anthony ParkerGQues Tues - Back - 2/19/12notes0-00-0
Daniel GibsonGQues Tues - Ankle - 2/19/12notes0-00-0
Anderson VarejaoFMid March - Wrist - 2/16/12notes0-00-0


Well that's why the line is only CLE-1.5.
With this trio playing the Line would read CLE -6 OR as high as -7.
You gotta give a little to take a little.
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by agent_ang:

maybe need to cool down a bit to shake off the bad luck... im sure you will be back in your best picks.. GL dimes



THANKS,
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by afgking4life:

44,
Idk about CLE man...I actually really like DET. They have solid Guard depth...a great center and good forwards. Especially with the veteran Prince.

This DET team is really coming around...they just beat Boston and are playing very well.

I'm on the other side of this play...as I think DET wins by 5-10. 


Hey it's all good. They way I've been running the past couple of weeks, you might have the right side.
 
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Posted: #42
leans on u203 in mia and noh+10 ?

cle wins   
 
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Posted: #43
Hey Dimes,

Your luck will turn around hopefully today is the day the win streak starts.
Would appreciate your thoughts on:

Portland -3.5/-4 vs Spurs

Memphis +1 vs Philly & the under 181 on Mem/Phil game.

Thanks and BOL as always!

 
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Posted: #44
Not sure on this one....staying clear
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by twodigitz:

wow, I did not see this coming!

very interesting points but I said I was not going to bet on this game so I will stick to my game plan. I might play cle 2h if the price is right, meaning I will only play them if cle is only up by one or less or they are losing and the 2h line is a no more than -.5 if they are up by one and no more than -1.5 if they are tied or losing the game.

BOL on this game as I am ALWAYS rooting for you! 

 

I really thought you were going to come back with portland against the spurs today but I guess SA is a little to hot to be laying points?

I am all over INDIANA today n depending on how that game goes I will probably play port and port under for like 1 unit...

if u got the time I would like to know why u did not mess with the port game today...thanks in advance! 



I always enjoy reading your posts TWODIGITZ. Your a straight arrow.

Anytime you cap a Portland game it's become a NO BRAINER situation !! Their a play at home and fade on the road, but how can you go against the Spurs right now. They are 10-1-1 ATS and 10-1 SU in their last 11 games. I know eventually this will regress but I gotta pick my spot with San Antonio. The only time I'll look to fade a team that sports a winning streak is when they are laying points and nothing like today when the Spurs are getting points. NO WAY

GL
 
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Posted: #46
sorry but your reason is not good-----det +1.5
 
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Posted: #47
im with you dimes
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

i looked at this game and my initial thought was to take cleveland but after seeing the recent trends i decided to stay away from it

  • Cavaliers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

 
Always enjoy your posts Howard and I know you've got a sharp mind, but i respectfully disagree with the above.
The Cavs 6-20 in their last 26 as a small chalk. Ask yourself this ? How many of these games are with this line up. This trend probably goes back all the way to the beginning of last season and maybe further than that.
I totally throw out trends that aren't within current seasons play. In my opinion it's a meaningless handicapping tool.

BOL
 
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Posted: #49
CLEVELAND -1.5
 
 
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Posted: #50
I'll take a shot.

Cavs -1 1/2

1 unit
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