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NBA TUESDAY !!!

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Legend
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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

keep disregarding recent trends and your gonna get a hot team coming in and destroying the numbers you crunched.  According to the numbers this should have been an easy blow out for cleveland but the trends had another story.

Anyone betting on cleveland was lucky this game was as close as it was.  They were getting killed all game until the final minutes.  It should have never ended this close.


I GUESS YOU DONT WATCH TO MUCH NBA B-BALL 20 PT LEADS DOESNT MEAN SHIT.THERE REALLY NO REASON TO WATCH THE GAME UNTIL THE 4THQ.
 
Legend
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

keep disregarding recent trends and your gonna get a hot team coming in and destroying the numbers you crunched.  According to the numbers this should have been an easy blow out for cleveland but the trends had another story.

Anyone betting on cleveland was lucky this game was as close as it was.  They were getting killed all game until the final minutes.  It should have never ended this close.


 

With all do respect, nobody wants your opinion. Second, please change your avatar. Third, those who had the Pistons were the lucky ones as the game should have ended a 4 point Cleveland win. Fourth, start your own thread to post your ideas.

 

Tough luck 44. Fuck the haters. Fuck em.

 
Rookie
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

 

With all do respect, nobody wants your opinion. Second, please change your avatar. Third, those who had the Pistons were the lucky ones as the game should have ended a 4 point Cleveland win. Fourth, start your own thread to post your ideas.

 

Tough luck 44. Fuck the haters. Fuck em.


1) i do have my own thread
2) forums are in place so people can express their ideas and opinions
3) that is exactly what i am doing without being an ass
4) im offering constructive criticism.  If you want to be too stubborn to take it into account then these kind of losses will continue to come your way.

 
Rookie
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Posted: #104
I am also not a hater train.  I was simply trying to point out a staggeringly scary trend that was overlooked or not properly taken into account.  
 
Rookie
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Posted: #105
and 5th . . .

i didnt bet either side on this game.  Like i mentioned earlier.  I dont like to force plays.  I pick my spots where ever they show themselves.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #106
Unreal.... Tough loss dimes...

 
Captain
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

keep disregarding recent trends and your gonna get a hot team coming in and destroying the numbers you crunched.  According to the numbers this should have been an easy blow out for cleveland but the trends had another story.

Anyone betting on cleveland was lucky this game was as close as it was.  They were getting killed all game until the final minutes.  It should have never ended this close.


I don't disregard on recent trends , I think you mis understood. My response was  concerning the 6-20 cle ATS as a small favorite. That extends over 2 years which is useless if you consider it's a completely different line up. I favor a more recent trend that's within the current season.

The Cavs were probably wrong side today, but It's not because of the 6-20 ATS trend.  They shot better than the Pistons , made more free throws and made more treys . Of course rewarded with the Win but couldn't cash in for the cover.

My fault for not playing it last night. Could of got it at -1. Or even this morning. I could of laid 20 cents and taken the ML

 
Rookie
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Posted: #108
Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.

this trend is huge and i could be mistaken but im pretty sure cleveland had the opposite of this exact trend.  I think they were like 1-4 or 0-4 as home favorites of 0.5 - 4.5

like i said i could be mistaken ill go back and see if i posted that earlier
 
Captain
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by Tyson_Capper:

Unreal.... Tough loss dimes...

BTW-------Did you see how the Sac game ended. Glad you caught it. Read Post #55 LOL---------------It's finished pretty much as i described it.

 

 
Rookie
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Posted: #110
i was wrong i had posted it.  It was 3-12 
 
Rookie
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Posted: #111
sorry 44-dimes that i came off as condescending earlier when i posted the trends as well as not agreeing with the pick.  

I dont mean to be that way, it was people like train attacking me for my opinions that rub me the wrong way. 
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

BTW-------Did you see how the Sac game ended. Glad you caught it. Read Post #55 LOL---------------It's finished pretty much as i described it.

 


Haha yea I saw that.. Just like you said man.. back door cover was what I was going for! haha just playing man... I'm very fortunate to get the win there.. 

any thoughts on Portland 2nd half? (don't care what # it is..) I feel like since tonight is Portland's last game before All star break... I think they go ALL out and destroy the Spurs...

thoughts? 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #113
geeez someone needs to break the tension up in here... 

 
Captain
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by HowardLangston:

sorry 44-dimes that i came off as condescending earlier when i posted the trends as well as not agreeing with the pick.  

I dont mean to be that way, it was people like train attacking me for my opinions that rub me the wrong way. 

None taken, Never, Not my style at all. I enjoy discussing betting patterns and possible future plays. You can never know enough. I did look at the Pistons games this year and i see only 2 game where they were road dogs between 0.5-4.5

2/8  +3@ NJ    WON 99-92

1/13 +3.5 @ CHA  WON 98-81

I guess the other 3 must of been last season. Still not enough for me to base my pick on this.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #115
gl for tomorrow

 
Prospect
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Posted: #116
i got a algorithm I've been using that put me 7/3 last night and so far 4/0 tonight... I know thats easy to say now but keep track,,, I have only been posting for 3 days now some picks I had to change but I assure you that this program I created as part of an engineering assignment with respect to probability dynamics has been a charm.  This algorithm I made is for NBA only, there is 13 games tomorrow so the program will generate the highest number of raised odds games to be 5.  The idea is to find the 5 out of the 13 by means of several different strategies like stat trend interpolation and team condition data those of you that don't believe in math you might want to see the postings tomorrow at 5 the forum will be called "precision picks come getem.'' i goes thats a ok name i just made it up. so blabla nuff said check it out tomorrow 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #117
by the way like i said I have not been a member but for a couple days, does anyone know how to register a handicap on this site?
 
Rookie
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by watson540:

i got a algorithm I've been using that put me 7/3 last night and so far 4/0 tonight... I know thats easy to say now but keep track,,, I have only been posting for 3 days now some picks I had to change but I assure you that this program I created as part of an engineering assignment with respect to probability dynamics has been a charm.  This algorithm I made is for NBA only, there is 13 games tomorrow so the program will generate the highest number of raised odds games to be 5.  The idea is to find the 5 out of the 13 by means of several different strategies like stat trend interpolation and team condition data those of you that don't believe in math you might want to see the postings tomorrow at 5 the forum will be called "precision picks come getem.'' i goes thats a ok name i just made it up. so blabla nuff said check it out tomorrow 


Great system if it's true. Only one way to find out and that is to post your plays later and see if they hit.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 311
Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

 

With all do respect, nobody wants your opinion. Second, please change your avatar. Third, those who had the Pistons were the lucky ones as the game should have ended a 4 point Cleveland win. Fourth, start your own thread to post your ideas.

 

Tough luck 44. Fuck the haters. Fuck em.

 

Please Listen to the man

 
Prospect
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Posted: #120
Sorry you had to experience the brown moose 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #121
i had the pistons.  .... getitgetit!!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #122
4/1-portland merked me
 
Prospect
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Posted: #123
whats the moose for?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 271
Posted: #124

44-dimes..he is the hottest capper i've seen in my life..

he is still hot !!!  Never stop losing streak...

Thx, dimes !!! I really appreciate it.. I lost over 3000 bucks this week

and that will be not enough..i'm gonna lose more... Keep going!!

 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 3681
Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by 44-dimes:

YTD  48-37  ( +21.70 u )

5u  1-0

4u  3-2

3u  11-6

2u  11-14

1u  22-15

Fell short by a basket last night on a bad inbound pass with seconds remaining. It's been a positive year but the last couple of weeks have been downhill

It seems that my leans and discussion on specific games in my daily thread are doing a lot better than my actuall wagers.

Hope you guys are doing better than I am

CLEVELAND -1.5 ( 3 units )

One play for me today, and I'm going 3u on this one. This  number is just way to low in my opinion. Let's take a look at the Pistons. They've won 7 of their last 9 games but only two of those games have been on the road. They have a total of 3 road wins and only 1 quality win away from home , which was in Boston.  So is Cleveland under valued at home ? Or are the Pisons over valued on the road ? How much can be Varajao be worth ? I realize it's a huge downgrade to Erden but the Cavs should be able to get the job done.

GOOD LUCK

you made a great pick.
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