one of the better system plays i ever used is betting AGAINST the home team coming back form a 4 plus game road trip and being home for 0-1 days....gl bucking that system id say it wins about 63% of the time
This post means nothing unless you can provide me with the correct history. Not saying what you posting is wrong but i'm sure just by your post that you have not completely been tracking it up to date...
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Quote Originally Posted by DT3324:
one of the better system plays i ever used is betting AGAINST the home team coming back form a 4 plus game road trip and being home for 0-1 days....gl bucking that system id say it wins about 63% of the time
This post means nothing unless you can provide me with the correct history. Not saying what you posting is wrong but i'm sure just by your post that you have not completely been tracking it up to date...
im not saying this is a bad bet but i think you need more info to back your argument.
you dont take into account indiana's defensive play (88.9 ppg allowed) versus the non existent defense of sacramento (most point given up in the league). to me sacramento is a very unpredictable team which is why i avoid betting on them. thornton puts up 17 a game but he usually takes a high number of shots and hits a shitty percentage (34% versus indiana ) and he will be guarded by paul george who is no slouch in the defense department. your argument is that this pacer team wins against losing teams, well this sacramento squad IS A losing team.
to me this is a no bet. definitely not a POD. the one thing you have going for you is the public on indiana. good luck though odds!
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im not saying this is a bad bet but i think you need more info to back your argument.
you dont take into account indiana's defensive play (88.9 ppg allowed) versus the non existent defense of sacramento (most point given up in the league). to me sacramento is a very unpredictable team which is why i avoid betting on them. thornton puts up 17 a game but he usually takes a high number of shots and hits a shitty percentage (34% versus indiana ) and he will be guarded by paul george who is no slouch in the defense department. your argument is that this pacer team wins against losing teams, well this sacramento squad IS A losing team.
to me this is a no bet. definitely not a POD. the one thing you have going for you is the public on indiana. good luck though odds!
That game for sure caught the public eye and in result only 11 days after that very game the Pacers were again on the road (this time in Toronto) laying more than 5 points. Something that has only happened 3 times in 4 full seasons has now just happened 2 times while not even allowing 2 full weeks to pass us by. And just when you thought maybe there was maybe a good reason this has happened again so quickly the Raptors proceeded to hold a lead in this game for the better part of 90% of the game right from the get go as the Pacers were able to overcome as much as an 18pt deficit in the first half and a Danny Granger ejection before the 1st half could finish as the Pacers won that game 95-90 but failed to cover the -5.5 point spread as the cover for the Raptors was much easier than it looked on paper. Now that there has been a public love fest brewing on the Pacers since the short off season and signing of David West. The willingness for people to just blindly bet on the 9-3su & 7-5ats Pacers now has forced the betting market to yet once again make the Pacers road favs of 5 or more now for the 3rd time in just 16 days as they know people are more than willing to lay the road chalk now. This is exactly were I beg to differ as laying this kind of number on the road is only meant for the elite teams of the league as history has shown us and with the Pacers having 8 of their 9 wins thus far come against teams that have just a 28% winning rate combined (31-77su) leads me to more than question the stature that Indiana Pacer basketball is currently being placed in.
I agree with your breakdown and appreciate your hard work as always, but I do not see where you are gathering this INDIANA -5 on the road 3 times in the last sixteen days. Below are the lines that they laid on the road. This is the 3rd time all year they have laid 5 or more on the road, but they have also caught many points against the better teams.
-5.5 @ toronto (loss)Jan 13
+7 @ Philly (Loss) JaN 9
+6 @Boston (cover) Jan 6
+7.5 @ Miami (loss) Jan 4
-6 @ NEW JERSEY (Cover) Jan 2
-4 @ Toronto (Cover) DECEMBER 28
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Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:
That game for sure caught the public eye and in result only 11 days after that very game the Pacers were again on the road (this time in Toronto) laying more than 5 points. Something that has only happened 3 times in 4 full seasons has now just happened 2 times while not even allowing 2 full weeks to pass us by. And just when you thought maybe there was maybe a good reason this has happened again so quickly the Raptors proceeded to hold a lead in this game for the better part of 90% of the game right from the get go as the Pacers were able to overcome as much as an 18pt deficit in the first half and a Danny Granger ejection before the 1st half could finish as the Pacers won that game 95-90 but failed to cover the -5.5 point spread as the cover for the Raptors was much easier than it looked on paper. Now that there has been a public love fest brewing on the Pacers since the short off season and signing of David West. The willingness for people to just blindly bet on the 9-3su & 7-5ats Pacers now has forced the betting market to yet once again make the Pacers road favs of 5 or more now for the 3rd time in just 16 days as they know people are more than willing to lay the road chalk now. This is exactly were I beg to differ as laying this kind of number on the road is only meant for the elite teams of the league as history has shown us and with the Pacers having 8 of their 9 wins thus far come against teams that have just a 28% winning rate combined (31-77su) leads me to more than question the stature that Indiana Pacer basketball is currently being placed in.
I agree with your breakdown and appreciate your hard work as always, but I do not see where you are gathering this INDIANA -5 on the road 3 times in the last sixteen days. Below are the lines that they laid on the road. This is the 3rd time all year they have laid 5 or more on the road, but they have also caught many points against the better teams.
I agree with your breakdown and appreciate your hard work as always, but I do not see where you are gathering this INDIANA -5 on the road 3 times in the last sixteen days. Below are the lines that they laid on the road. This is the 3rd time all year they have laid 5 or more on the road, but they have also caught many points against the better teams.
-5.5 @ toronto (loss)Jan 13
+7 @ Philly (Loss) JaN 9
+6 @Boston (cover) Jan 6
+7.5 @ Miami (loss) Jan 4
-6 @ NEW JERSEY (Cover) Jan 2
-4 @ Toronto (Cover) DECEMBER 28
You seriously can't add 16 days from January 2nd until today. I'm mean you just posted the other 2 games for us all right above this as I already did in the initial post of this thread. Let me help you a bit here. Lets count together. You ready, here we go:
3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 & 18 = a total of 16 days...
Capiche...You with us know?
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Quote Originally Posted by Imakeplays:
I agree with your breakdown and appreciate your hard work as always, but I do not see where you are gathering this INDIANA -5 on the road 3 times in the last sixteen days. Below are the lines that they laid on the road. This is the 3rd time all year they have laid 5 or more on the road, but they have also caught many points against the better teams.
-5.5 @ toronto (loss)Jan 13
+7 @ Philly (Loss) JaN 9
+6 @Boston (cover) Jan 6
+7.5 @ Miami (loss) Jan 4
-6 @ NEW JERSEY (Cover) Jan 2
-4 @ Toronto (Cover) DECEMBER 28
You seriously can't add 16 days from January 2nd until today. I'm mean you just posted the other 2 games for us all right above this as I already did in the initial post of this thread. Let me help you a bit here. Lets count together. You ready, here we go:
3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17 & 18 = a total of 16 days...
Mavs@Clippers under 181.5 for 20 units... Going to fade the Clippers offense on their 3rd leg of b2b2b here with no Paul for the 3rd straight game. The Mavs are 10-4 to the under so far this season and have been able to win basketball games with solid defense only allowing opponents to score 88.5ppg (3rd in NBA) while scoring just 92.6ppg themselves (21st in NBA). I like my chances after Billups & Foye both showed signs of fatigue last night in their 3rd game in 4 nights shooting a combined 7 for 26 ( 27%). Now they will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights and scoring should not come easy against a Mavs team off a day of rest. The Mavs so far this season when playing after one days rest are currently 5-0 to the under this season. Here are those games below:
01/01/12 @Wolves (82-99)L -2.5L (201.5)u
01/04/12 vsSuns (98-89)w -7.5w (194.5u
01/07/12 vsHornets (96-81)w -11.5w (179)u
01/13/12 vsBucks (102-76)w -9.5w (184.5)u
01/16/12 @Lakers (70-73)L +3.5w (181.5)u
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Adding:
Mavs@Clippers under 181.5 for 20 units... Going to fade the Clippers offense on their 3rd leg of b2b2b here with no Paul for the 3rd straight game. The Mavs are 10-4 to the under so far this season and have been able to win basketball games with solid defense only allowing opponents to score 88.5ppg (3rd in NBA) while scoring just 92.6ppg themselves (21st in NBA). I like my chances after Billups & Foye both showed signs of fatigue last night in their 3rd game in 4 nights shooting a combined 7 for 26 ( 27%). Now they will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights and scoring should not come easy against a Mavs team off a day of rest. The Mavs so far this season when playing after one days rest are currently 5-0 to the under this season. Here are those games below:
Mavs 2nd half -2.5 (-115) for 20 units... I want to fade the tired legs in this 2nd half. It worked earlier with the Spurs/Magic. I will try again with the Mavs no as the Clippers minutes are piling up on Billups, Foye, Butler, Griffin & Jordan...
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Adding:
Mavs 2nd half -2.5 (-115) for 20 units... I want to fade the tired legs in this 2nd half. It worked earlier with the Spurs/Magic. I will try again with the Mavs no as the Clippers minutes are piling up on Billups, Foye, Butler, Griffin & Jordan...
I had no opinion on the total. But just based on a better number I would have said under. The only problem would have been with a 2nd half under wager is nobody is playing defense tonight...
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Quote Originally Posted by ap12moni:
odds u think over 91.5?
I had no opinion on the total. But just based on a better number I would have said under. The only problem would have been with a 2nd half under wager is nobody is playing defense tonight...
Pondered laying -7 and/or over 93 with the Wolves in the 2nd half. I let it pass me by...
ODDS?????? You were at one time a Michagander were you not???? I run a fine dining restaurant so I do my capping early in the morning. The Line opened at -8 and I thought "Vegas finally has a clue about this Piston squad"...SO i LAYED OFF, ANTICIPATING A mINNY BLOWOUT BUT 8 WAS TOOOOOO MANY.....well the Stones played well for 24 minutes and led at hf....at that time, I was driving home and stopped at the local shop for a drink to bring home, and while there, the owner says to me cuz he knows I gamble on sports and he has 2 tv's in his store "what r u playing tonight???? I said Atl and Indiana, and now that the Stones are playing well for this half, I will play Minny 2nd hf...he scrambled and said "3rd qtr, or whole 2nd hf"...2nd hf....I can't wait to see him as I will get a free 12 pack I'm sure. WHY WOULDN'T YOU FADE THE PISTONS WITH EVERY OPPORTUNITY???? PLEASE EXPLAIN
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Quote Originally Posted by oddsbuster:
Pondered laying -7 and/or over 93 with the Wolves in the 2nd half. I let it pass me by...
ODDS?????? You were at one time a Michagander were you not???? I run a fine dining restaurant so I do my capping early in the morning. The Line opened at -8 and I thought "Vegas finally has a clue about this Piston squad"...SO i LAYED OFF, ANTICIPATING A mINNY BLOWOUT BUT 8 WAS TOOOOOO MANY.....well the Stones played well for 24 minutes and led at hf....at that time, I was driving home and stopped at the local shop for a drink to bring home, and while there, the owner says to me cuz he knows I gamble on sports and he has 2 tv's in his store "what r u playing tonight???? I said Atl and Indiana, and now that the Stones are playing well for this half, I will play Minny 2nd hf...he scrambled and said "3rd qtr, or whole 2nd hf"...2nd hf....I can't wait to see him as I will get a free 12 pack I'm sure. WHY WOULDN'T YOU FADE THE PISTONS WITH EVERY OPPORTUNITY???? PLEASE EXPLAIN
Many errors in my post...I wasn't lying when I said I stopped at the store...regardless, how can you not find a way to fade the Pistons every game they play???? GL the rest of your season...
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Many errors in my post...I wasn't lying when I said I stopped at the store...regardless, how can you not find a way to fade the Pistons every game they play???? GL the rest of your season...
ODDS?????? You were at one time a Michagander were you not???? I run a fine dining restaurant so I do my capping early in the morning. The Line opened at -8 and I thought "Vegas finally has a clue about this Piston squad"...SO i LAYED OFF, ANTICIPATING A mINNY BLOWOUT BUT 8 WAS TOOOOOO MANY.....well the Stones played well for 24 minutes and led at hf....at that time, I was driving home and stopped at the local shop for a drink to bring home, and while there, the owner says to me cuz he knows I gamble on sports and he has 2 tv's in his store "what r u playing tonight???? I said Atl and Indiana, and now that the Stones are playing well for this half, I will play Minny 2nd hf...he scrambled and said "3rd qtr, or whole 2nd hf"...2nd hf....I can't wait to see him as I will get a free 12 pack I'm sure. WHY WOULDN'T YOU FADE THE PISTONS WITH EVERY OPPORTUNITY???? PLEASE EXPLAIN
cool story Doliver. Yeah i ran a couple concrete business's in the Detroit area for 10+ years. My wife took a job offer down in Ohio that she couldn't pass up and iv'e been wagering on sports religiously ever since as I do most concrete off season's here in the cold weather. CFB & NFL was very kind to me this year as it has been for many years now. I am now coaching sports down in Ohio along with writing some online articles for other websites (Sports related). Hope all is well buddy. PM me anytime...
Again that was a cool story..
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Quote Originally Posted by doliver517:
ODDS?????? You were at one time a Michagander were you not???? I run a fine dining restaurant so I do my capping early in the morning. The Line opened at -8 and I thought "Vegas finally has a clue about this Piston squad"...SO i LAYED OFF, ANTICIPATING A mINNY BLOWOUT BUT 8 WAS TOOOOOO MANY.....well the Stones played well for 24 minutes and led at hf....at that time, I was driving home and stopped at the local shop for a drink to bring home, and while there, the owner says to me cuz he knows I gamble on sports and he has 2 tv's in his store "what r u playing tonight???? I said Atl and Indiana, and now that the Stones are playing well for this half, I will play Minny 2nd hf...he scrambled and said "3rd qtr, or whole 2nd hf"...2nd hf....I can't wait to see him as I will get a free 12 pack I'm sure. WHY WOULDN'T YOU FADE THE PISTONS WITH EVERY OPPORTUNITY???? PLEASE EXPLAIN
cool story Doliver. Yeah i ran a couple concrete business's in the Detroit area for 10+ years. My wife took a job offer down in Ohio that she couldn't pass up and iv'e been wagering on sports religiously ever since as I do most concrete off season's here in the cold weather. CFB & NFL was very kind to me this year as it has been for many years now. I am now coaching sports down in Ohio along with writing some online articles for other websites (Sports related). Hope all is well buddy. PM me anytime...
Keep up the good work, I had Kings and celtics last night. Toronto is bad. Celtics beat up on bad teams but cannot keep up with good teams. The attitude right now is awful on the team and they are just going through motions. They need a new coach.
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Keep up the good work, I had Kings and celtics last night. Toronto is bad. Celtics beat up on bad teams but cannot keep up with good teams. The attitude right now is awful on the team and they are just going through motions. They need a new coach.
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