Smartbets through my search for the best cappers I have come upon this thread. First off good call on the game. But Kapono was right dude. The things you are saying here are not logical. I mean you made the right call but I am calling you a liar for saying you truly believed it was a 90%....IF and only IF you do have mulitple unit plays. As far as I am concerned if you truly believe you have a 90% to hit then thats MAX play. So like some others stated if 90% only gets a 1 unit play whats it have to be to be a 2,3,4, or 5 unit play? Just curious but these are the things I look at to determine whether peole know what they are doing or are having a good solid lucky year.
That being said I am not hating just asking for clarification. I see your doing a great job and your records/units indicate you must play multi unit plays and often. So once again I just dont comprehend how is a 9 outta 10 play for 1 unit. Reasoning is more important than picks or results in my eyes so if you have time please explain.
Thank you and Good Luck. 
Ok so based on saying that, the reality is you only gave it a 65%-70% chance. I mean you did factor it in and it did become part of capping and the END result was the 65-70% Either way that is a very high percentage and to me would justify more units if you play the multi unit gig.
I really dont have a problem at all with how you do things. I was just trying to make the point that Kapono and others where correct to question you based on the info you gave us. 90% should never equal 1 unit if you play 1-5 units. Obviously we are reading too much into this and you are not which is fine. I am just trying to determine who knows what the fuck they are talking about. I think you do but I really do but sounds kinda dumb when you say 90% but only 1 unit. You definitely contradict yourself with that one..
Thanks for the explanation.
One other point.... its like saying this...
I determined the Pistons have a 90% chance of winning by my first process of capping. Then I capped they actually had to play a team then the odds dropped to 15%.
You really where never at 90% because your capping was not completed. Once again no hate, just explaining how you related the message.
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