Totals: (1)
Por un, (2) Atl ov, (3) Cha un, (4) NY un, (5) Mem ov
Thoughts: Damian
Lillard returns for Portland, while Isaiah Thomas returns for Cleveland.
However, Thomas will be on a minutes restriction and will only play 8 to 12
minutes tonight. Kevin Love is
questionable for the Cavs with an illness and missed their shootaround. Portland
is 3-1-2 ATS in back-enders while the Cavs are an atrocious 1-5 ATS when they
have rest and their opponent is on a back-ender. Cleveland is trending toward
the Under and if Love is out, I really like the Under more. Also, with Thomas
playing 8 to 12 minutes tonight, this will potentially disrupt their rotations.
Portland has been an Under team all year despite occasional very high-scoring
outputs.
I do not like anything else. I want to bet Memphis and
the Clips Overs, but despite hearing about how the Grizzlies coach wants to
push the Pace more. However, despite the Grizzles averaging 123/7 points per
game their last 3 games, their Pace numbers for those games are only up
slightly from their seasonal Pace number. But the Grizzlies offensive
efficiency in those 3 games are off the charts. Makes me wonder whether they
can possibly continue to keep shooting lights out. Doubt it, but you never
know.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
37-23 (regular
season), +$1170.
Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 0-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 46-27-2
#1 Totals: 42-32-1
Picks
Sides: (1) Por,
(2) Mem, (3) Cha, (4) NY, (5) Atl
Totals: (1)
Por un, (2) Atl ov, (3) Cha un, (4) NY un, (5) Mem ov
Thoughts: Damian
Lillard returns for Portland, while Isaiah Thomas returns for Cleveland.
However, Thomas will be on a minutes restriction and will only play 8 to 12
minutes tonight. Kevin Love is
questionable for the Cavs with an illness and missed their shootaround. Portland
is 3-1-2 ATS in back-enders while the Cavs are an atrocious 1-5 ATS when they
have rest and their opponent is on a back-ender. Cleveland is trending toward
the Under and if Love is out, I really like the Under more. Also, with Thomas
playing 8 to 12 minutes tonight, this will potentially disrupt their rotations.
Portland has been an Under team all year despite occasional very high-scoring
outputs.
I do not like anything else. I want to bet Memphis and
the Clips Overs, but despite hearing about how the Grizzlies coach wants to
push the Pace more. However, despite the Grizzles averaging 123/7 points per
game their last 3 games, their Pace numbers for those games are only up
slightly from their seasonal Pace number. But the Grizzlies offensive
efficiency in those 3 games are off the charts. Makes me wonder whether they
can possibly continue to keep shooting lights out. Doubt it, but you never
know.
Totals: (1)
Dal ov, (2) Bos un, (3) Pho ov, (4) Tor ov, (5) NO ov, (6) Phi ov, (7) OKC un,
(8) Orl un, (9) NY ov, (10) Mia un, (11) Ind un, (12) Min un
Thoughts: Extended
cold streak here. I would strongly recommend not taking any of my plays until
you see some winners in the Top 3 picks and especially #1 picks. I do like some
picks tonight, but just cannot bet anything until I KNOW I am seeing things
better. My totals gave been flat out awful for 2 weeks now.
I simply cannot have a #1 pick go against a chart-play.
The Cavs snapped their NC5 with a Cover last night at home vs. Portland and now
play the Celtics. Boston is 3-1-1 in checkmark games (meaning they have rest
and their opponent is on a back-ender) and the Cavs are 3-3 ATS in back-enders
(although 3-0 ATS their last 3 in this spot). The Cavs are also 6-0 to the
Under in back-ender this season. So I obviously like Boston and the Under.
Draymond Green and Zaza Pachulia are questionable tonight
for Golden State. Missing Green means the Warriors are missing a perennial Defensive
Player of the Year candidate which means this game trends to the Over. Dallas
has also averaged 238.5 points per game in their last 2 games as their offense
is clicking. I do like this Over as my best play of the day, but I have been so
off on my totals the last 2 weeks that I cannot recommend any total as a play
right now.
Totals: (1)
Dal ov, (2) Bos un, (3) Pho ov, (4) Tor ov, (5) NO ov, (6) Phi ov, (7) OKC un,
(8) Orl un, (9) NY ov, (10) Mia un, (11) Ind un, (12) Min un
Thoughts: Extended
cold streak here. I would strongly recommend not taking any of my plays until
you see some winners in the Top 3 picks and especially #1 picks. I do like some
picks tonight, but just cannot bet anything until I KNOW I am seeing things
better. My totals gave been flat out awful for 2 weeks now.
I simply cannot have a #1 pick go against a chart-play.
The Cavs snapped their NC5 with a Cover last night at home vs. Portland and now
play the Celtics. Boston is 3-1-1 in checkmark games (meaning they have rest
and their opponent is on a back-ender) and the Cavs are 3-3 ATS in back-enders
(although 3-0 ATS their last 3 in this spot). The Cavs are also 6-0 to the
Under in back-ender this season. So I obviously like Boston and the Under.
Draymond Green and Zaza Pachulia are questionable tonight
for Golden State. Missing Green means the Warriors are missing a perennial Defensive
Player of the Year candidate which means this game trends to the Over. Dallas
has also averaged 238.5 points per game in their last 2 games as their offense
is clicking. I do like this Over as my best play of the day, but I have been so
off on my totals the last 2 weeks that I cannot recommend any total as a play
right now.
Thoughts: Finally
broke out in a big way last night. Top 4 picks on sides and totals went 8-0.
Does this mean I am back picking winners left and right for the next 4 or 5
weeks in a row? I would not go that far, but I liked a lot of picks last night
and I ranked them well and had a lot of winners, so I feel good about that. I
like tonight’s board a bit, too.
Durant out so an automatic Under play for me as earlier
this season I quoted numbers from last season when Durant was out and how
ridiculous the number of Unders was with him out. The Warriors have a revenge
spot here from Opening Night so despite this being a strong chart-play for Houston,
I am taking the revenge spot instead. Which is what I did last night, picking
Boston over Cleveland despite the Cavs having a strong chart-play.
OKC clearly a public play here, and I feel that line is
extremely fishy. However, extremely public plays do win. No trends at all one
way or the other as OKC is 3-3 ATS in back-enders and the Clips are 2-2 in
check-mark games. I may stay out one more day before making an official play
but I am debating this Golden State under.
0
38-23 (regular
season), +$1270.
Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 1-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 47-28-2
#1 Totals: 43-33-1
Picks
Sides: (1) GS,
(2) OKC
Totals: (1) GS
un, (2) OKC ov
Thoughts: Finally
broke out in a big way last night. Top 4 picks on sides and totals went 8-0.
Does this mean I am back picking winners left and right for the next 4 or 5
weeks in a row? I would not go that far, but I liked a lot of picks last night
and I ranked them well and had a lot of winners, so I feel good about that. I
like tonight’s board a bit, too.
Durant out so an automatic Under play for me as earlier
this season I quoted numbers from last season when Durant was out and how
ridiculous the number of Unders was with him out. The Warriors have a revenge
spot here from Opening Night so despite this being a strong chart-play for Houston,
I am taking the revenge spot instead. Which is what I did last night, picking
Boston over Cleveland despite the Cavs having a strong chart-play.
OKC clearly a public play here, and I feel that line is
extremely fishy. However, extremely public plays do win. No trends at all one
way or the other as OKC is 3-3 ATS in back-enders and the Clips are 2-2 in
check-mark games. I may stay out one more day before making an official play
but I am debating this Golden State under.
Sides: (1) LAL,
(2) Dal, (3) Mil, (4) Min, (5) Mia, (6) Por, (7) Det, (8) Den, (9) Was, (10) SA
Totals: (1) Dal
ov, (2) Was ov, (3) Por ov, (4) Min un, (5) LAL un, (6) Mil ov, (7) Den un, (8)
SA ov, (9) Mia ov, (10 Det ov
Thoughts: Busy
day at work. I like today’s board though. The 4 plays I asterisked as “top”
plays were my top 2 sides and totals. I like others, too.
Milwaukee an auto-play with the short-revenge angle as
the Raptors just beat them at in OT at Toronto 4 days ago. Bucks have the
automatic revenge play just 4 days later. Portland also has the same spot with
Atlanta, but I rank the Blazers lower due to the 6.5-point chalk. Dallas is
FLYING over the total their last 3 games and Chicago has also gone Over 4
straight. Memphis Over 4 straight as they are pushing the Pace slightly more
than earlier in the season during those games.
Lakers have a HUGE bounce-back spot off a 37-point loss at home to OKC
and Kyle Kuzma called his team out for
quitting in that game. Lonzo Ball is probable to return for the Lakers. Dallas
has won 4 out of 5 and covered 5 straight. They lost GS last time out because
Stephen Curry swished a 3 with 3 seconds left in the game.
My totals have been dog garbage for 2 weeks with the
exception of this past Wednesday, so I do not know if I can bet my top 2 totals
yet. I will bet the top 2 sides.
Los Angeles Lakers
+1.5, laying $110 to win $100
Dallas Mavericks
-4, laying $110 to win $100
Good Luck.
0
38-23 (regular
season), +$1270.
Sides: 19-11
Totals: 16-7
2H: 1-5
1Q: 1-0
1H: 1-0
#1 Sides: 48-28-2
#1 Totals: 43-34-1
Picks
Sides: (1) LAL,
(2) Dal, (3) Mil, (4) Min, (5) Mia, (6) Por, (7) Det, (8) Den, (9) Was, (10) SA
Totals: (1) Dal
ov, (2) Was ov, (3) Por ov, (4) Min un, (5) LAL un, (6) Mil ov, (7) Den un, (8)
SA ov, (9) Mia ov, (10 Det ov
Thoughts: Busy
day at work. I like today’s board though. The 4 plays I asterisked as “top”
plays were my top 2 sides and totals. I like others, too.
Milwaukee an auto-play with the short-revenge angle as
the Raptors just beat them at in OT at Toronto 4 days ago. Bucks have the
automatic revenge play just 4 days later. Portland also has the same spot with
Atlanta, but I rank the Blazers lower due to the 6.5-point chalk. Dallas is
FLYING over the total their last 3 games and Chicago has also gone Over 4
straight. Memphis Over 4 straight as they are pushing the Pace slightly more
than earlier in the season during those games.
Lakers have a HUGE bounce-back spot off a 37-point loss at home to OKC
and Kyle Kuzma called his team out for
quitting in that game. Lonzo Ball is probable to return for the Lakers. Dallas
has won 4 out of 5 and covered 5 straight. They lost GS last time out because
Stephen Curry swished a 3 with 3 seconds left in the game.
My totals have been dog garbage for 2 weeks with the
exception of this past Wednesday, so I do not know if I can bet my top 2 totals
yet. I will bet the top 2 sides.
Totals: (1) Cle
ov, (2) Sac ov, (3) Bkn un, (4) Min un, (5) Mil ov, (6) Chi ov, (7) GS un, (8) Det
un
Thoughts: Very,
very close to taking a break at this point. Just too busy at work right now
since I went back to full time and this is the busy season at the academy.
Becoming harder and harder to post, especially when my top plays are failing
the last 2 weeks and I do not want drag anybody down after starting hot the
first 8+ weeks. If I do stop posting for
a spell, I may just throw my picks on Twitter daily as I will always make my
picks and rankings daily to get a pulse for how well (or not so well) I am
seeing the board.
Quickly, looks like Cleveland has IT in the starting
lineup, so I like them off a loss against a struggling Orlando team. Detroit in
bounce-back mode off an embarrassing 36-point loss last night to Philly.
Totals: (1) Cle
ov, (2) Sac ov, (3) Bkn un, (4) Min un, (5) Mil ov, (6) Chi ov, (7) GS un, (8) Det
un
Thoughts: Very,
very close to taking a break at this point. Just too busy at work right now
since I went back to full time and this is the busy season at the academy.
Becoming harder and harder to post, especially when my top plays are failing
the last 2 weeks and I do not want drag anybody down after starting hot the
first 8+ weeks. If I do stop posting for
a spell, I may just throw my picks on Twitter daily as I will always make my
picks and rankings daily to get a pulse for how well (or not so well) I am
seeing the board.
Quickly, looks like Cleveland has IT in the starting
lineup, so I like them off a loss against a struggling Orlando team. Detroit in
bounce-back mode off an embarrassing 36-point loss last night to Philly.
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