Posted:
#1
Total is at 201.5
OKC is 6-1 under this total on the 1st leg of a B2B. Losing Ibaka for tonight will certainly affect their defense, but I think it affects their offense just as much, if not more. Ibaka can run on par with KD and Westbrook, while Perkins and Collison are slower. I don't see as many fast breaks or transition opportunities occurring with those two getting significantly more minutes. The overall pace should be moderately slower and Portland already plays the 21st fastest pace.
Portland is coming off an historic 3 pt. shooting night at GS, where they had a ridiculous 43 attempts. That will not happen tonight.
Portland has also played much better defense at home recently, allowing only 91.8 ppg over their last 10 home games. They are 16-5 under this total against the West, with 3 of those high scoring games occurring in the first 6 games of the season. Portland is 6-1 to the under if the total is set at 200 points or greater
I am on the under 201.5
Good luck with whatever you decide.
0
TM(total master).
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