thatsagoodone just made a good point (maybe that's why they call him thatsagoodone?). The last time the Magic faced these guys, half of their team was dying of malaria (or something like that). They went into Detroit and EASILY won without the help of several key players. Now how are they supposed to feel challenged by these guys who (in their minds) couldn't even get their act together enough at home to beat a decimated opponent?
0
thatsagoodone just made a good point (maybe that's why they call him thatsagoodone?). The last time the Magic faced these guys, half of their team was dying of malaria (or something like that). They went into Detroit and EASILY won without the help of several key players. Now how are they supposed to feel challenged by these guys who (in their minds) couldn't even get their act together enough at home to beat a decimated opponent?
That's all cool MrBator. You have some very valid points there. I guess the whole motivation thing, from my view anyway is that the Magic always get up when playing crappy teams. If you remember the second half of last season, I think they won something like like 25 of their last 30 games by double digits, or something crazy like that.
0
That's all cool MrBator. You have some very valid points there. I guess the whole motivation thing, from my view anyway is that the Magic always get up when playing crappy teams. If you remember the second half of last season, I think they won something like like 25 of their last 30 games by double digits, or something crazy like that.
Very quickly, there's at least two things I don't like about this Orlando -12 pick. I don't recommend betting on any favorite (but particularly a BIG favorite) who's already played an opponent twice earlier in the season and beaten them by double digits both times. I also don't recommend laying double-digits with any team that's coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. Most teams need some kind of special motivation to bear down and blow a team out, but what kind of motivation does the Magic have tonight? This looks and feels like a going through the motions effort is coming from the Magic, and on a personal note (I had the Magic -9 last week against Philly), you DON'T want to depend on Dwight Howard to hit some free throws for you to cover a big number (that big goof missed TWELVE free throws that night).
The Pistons are a crappy 16-28, and as Basden pointed out, they've only won four times on the road, and because of this, good teams don't take them seriously and rarely get up to play them (unless they have issues of their own, such as the Lakers three weeks ago, who's fan base was ready to revolt if they went through the motions one more time against a bad team).
I'm on Detroit +12.5 -110. And for those who are going to construe this post as meany old MrBator "going into someone's thread and trashing his pick", seriously - you can go suck it. This is a sports betting discussion board, not a circle jerk.
Already on it as well Mr. B got it at +12 -105 from my local.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Very quickly, there's at least two things I don't like about this Orlando -12 pick. I don't recommend betting on any favorite (but particularly a BIG favorite) who's already played an opponent twice earlier in the season and beaten them by double digits both times. I also don't recommend laying double-digits with any team that's coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. Most teams need some kind of special motivation to bear down and blow a team out, but what kind of motivation does the Magic have tonight? This looks and feels like a going through the motions effort is coming from the Magic, and on a personal note (I had the Magic -9 last week against Philly), you DON'T want to depend on Dwight Howard to hit some free throws for you to cover a big number (that big goof missed TWELVE free throws that night).
The Pistons are a crappy 16-28, and as Basden pointed out, they've only won four times on the road, and because of this, good teams don't take them seriously and rarely get up to play them (unless they have issues of their own, such as the Lakers three weeks ago, who's fan base was ready to revolt if they went through the motions one more time against a bad team).
I'm on Detroit +12.5 -110. And for those who are going to construe this post as meany old MrBator "going into someone's thread and trashing his pick", seriously - you can go suck it. This is a sports betting discussion board, not a circle jerk.
Already on it as well Mr. B got it at +12 -105 from my local.
That's all cool MrBator. You have some very valid points there. I guess the whole motivation thing, from my view anyway is that the Magic always get up when playing crappy teams. If you remember the second half of last season, I think they won something like like 25 of their last 30 games by double digits, or something crazy like that.
Orlando has been a strong home favorite for several seasons now (it began when they acquired Rashard Lewis), but last season, the oddsmakers began catching up to them in certain key spots they'd been covering in the past (I learned that the hard way). This season, I believe the Magic are just 7-6-1 ATS when laying 7 points or more at home. That's probably not the exact record (if somebody would like to look it up), but it's further evidence that the evil oddsmakers are bearing down on preventing Magic backers from making a profit on these guys when they play the weaker teams at home in Orlando.
Cruelly enough, however, I can think of three home games within the last month where the public was scared off by a big line and thus not interested in the Magic. Naturally, the Magic covered in all three games. On December 30th they beat the Knicks, 112-103. On January 7th, they beat the Rockets, 110-95, and last last Friday, they molested the Raptors, 112-72.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Basden05:
That's all cool MrBator. You have some very valid points there. I guess the whole motivation thing, from my view anyway is that the Magic always get up when playing crappy teams. If you remember the second half of last season, I think they won something like like 25 of their last 30 games by double digits, or something crazy like that.
Orlando has been a strong home favorite for several seasons now (it began when they acquired Rashard Lewis), but last season, the oddsmakers began catching up to them in certain key spots they'd been covering in the past (I learned that the hard way). This season, I believe the Magic are just 7-6-1 ATS when laying 7 points or more at home. That's probably not the exact record (if somebody would like to look it up), but it's further evidence that the evil oddsmakers are bearing down on preventing Magic backers from making a profit on these guys when they play the weaker teams at home in Orlando.
Cruelly enough, however, I can think of three home games within the last month where the public was scared off by a big line and thus not interested in the Magic. Naturally, the Magic covered in all three games. On December 30th they beat the Knicks, 112-103. On January 7th, they beat the Rockets, 110-95, and last last Friday, they molested the Raptors, 112-72.
Orlando has been a strong home favorite for several seasons now (it began when they acquired Rashard Lewis), but last season, the oddsmakers began catching up to them in certain key spots they'd been covering in the past (I learned that the hard way). This season, I believe the Magic are just 7-6-1 ATS when laying 7 points or more at home. That's probably not the exact record (if somebody would like to look it up), but it's further evidence that the evil oddsmakers are bearing down on preventing Magic backers from making a profit on these guys when they play the weaker teams at home in Orlando.
Cruelly enough, however, I can think of three home games within the last month where the public was scared off by a big line and thus not interested in the Magic. Naturally, the Magic covered in all three games. On December 30th they beat the Knicks, 112-103. On January 7th, they beat the Rockets, 110-95, and last last Friday, they molested the Raptors, 112-72.
You were close its: 9-8-1 ATS when favored by 7 or more at home.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Orlando has been a strong home favorite for several seasons now (it began when they acquired Rashard Lewis), but last season, the oddsmakers began catching up to them in certain key spots they'd been covering in the past (I learned that the hard way). This season, I believe the Magic are just 7-6-1 ATS when laying 7 points or more at home. That's probably not the exact record (if somebody would like to look it up), but it's further evidence that the evil oddsmakers are bearing down on preventing Magic backers from making a profit on these guys when they play the weaker teams at home in Orlando.
Cruelly enough, however, I can think of three home games within the last month where the public was scared off by a big line and thus not interested in the Magic. Naturally, the Magic covered in all three games. On December 30th they beat the Knicks, 112-103. On January 7th, they beat the Rockets, 110-95, and last last Friday, they molested the Raptors, 112-72.
You were close its: 9-8-1 ATS when favored by 7 or more at home.
Very quickly, there's at least two things I don't like about this Orlando -12 pick. I don't recommend betting on any favorite (but particularly a BIG favorite) who's already played an opponent twice earlier in the season and beaten them by double digits both times. I also don't recommend laying double-digits with any team that's coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. Most teams need some kind of special motivation to bear down and blow a team out, but what kind of motivation does the Magic have tonight? This looks and feels like a going through the motions effort is coming from the Magic, and on a personal note (I had the Magic -9 last week against Philly), you DON'T want to depend on Dwight Howard to hit some free throws for you to cover a big number (that big goof missed TWELVE free throws that night).
MrBator, I was slowly talking myself into a Detroit play as I was replying to Brasden05. Then you piled in the information in bold, and recall you had the same reasoning when the Lakers played in GS a couple weeks ago and sure enough GS covered (barely). But GS did have a somewhat comfortable 4th quarter lead until it got super interesting down the stretch.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Very quickly, there's at least two things I don't like about this Orlando -12 pick. I don't recommend betting on any favorite (but particularly a BIG favorite) who's already played an opponent twice earlier in the season and beaten them by double digits both times. I also don't recommend laying double-digits with any team that's coming off back-to-back double-digit wins. Most teams need some kind of special motivation to bear down and blow a team out, but what kind of motivation does the Magic have tonight? This looks and feels like a going through the motions effort is coming from the Magic, and on a personal note (I had the Magic -9 last week against Philly), you DON'T want to depend on Dwight Howard to hit some free throws for you to cover a big number (that big goof missed TWELVE free throws that night).
MrBator, I was slowly talking myself into a Detroit play as I was replying to Brasden05. Then you piled in the information in bold, and recall you had the same reasoning when the Lakers played in GS a couple weeks ago and sure enough GS covered (barely). But GS did have a somewhat comfortable 4th quarter lead until it got super interesting down the stretch.
MrBator, I was slowly talking myself into a Detroit play as I was replying to Brasden05. Then you piled in with the information in bold, and recall you had the same reasoning when the Lakers played in GS a couple weeks ago and sure enough GS covered (barely). But GS did have a somewhat comfortable 4th quarter lead until it got super interesting down the stretch.
Yes, and I'm going right back to the well tonight with the Warriors who've already lost twice to the Spurs this season, 118-98 in Oakland and 111-94 in San Antonio. I have a big play on Golden State +5.5 -105 and ML +190.
0
Quote Originally Posted by thatsagoodone:
MrBator, I was slowly talking myself into a Detroit play as I was replying to Brasden05. Then you piled in with the information in bold, and recall you had the same reasoning when the Lakers played in GS a couple weeks ago and sure enough GS covered (barely). But GS did have a somewhat comfortable 4th quarter lead until it got super interesting down the stretch.
Yes, and I'm going right back to the well tonight with the Warriors who've already lost twice to the Spurs this season, 118-98 in Oakland and 111-94 in San Antonio. I have a big play on Golden State +5.5 -105 and ML +190.
Yes, and I'm going right back to the well tonight with the Warriors who've already lost twice to the Spurs this season, 118-98 in Oakland and 111-94 in San Antonio. I have a big play on Golden State +5.5 -105 and ML +190.
Look over you're shoulder. See the guy with an anxious grin on his face? That me.
I'm standing behind you at the same well with my bucket in hand.
0
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:
Yes, and I'm going right back to the well tonight with the Warriors who've already lost twice to the Spurs this season, 118-98 in Oakland and 111-94 in San Antonio. I have a big play on Golden State +5.5 -105 and ML +190.
Look over you're shoulder. See the guy with an anxious grin on his face? That me.
I'm standing behind you at the same well with my bucket in hand.
Sorry for the people that tailed. Who would have thought the Magic came out like they did. Time to get on the Magic on the second half. Pistons are the kings of fourth qaurter collapses
0
Sorry for the people that tailed. Who would have thought the Magic came out like they did. Time to get on the Magic on the second half. Pistons are the kings of fourth qaurter collapses
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
GOM
Hot Forum Topics
