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Orlando Series bet at -250 is this just free money or what?????????????

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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by samuelsosa:

You also said you dont lose your games of the year. Then just as everyone knew would happen,you lost it. Who the fuck do you think you are to say something like that? Little bitch you've been ignoring me in all your threads. Why would you say you dont lose , do you think you are god? Little bitch. Your opinion doesnt mean shit. Go logout.

but that is all beside the point, because you posted this in response to my post calculating the accurate series line for this series after game 4...

to correct your error... it wasn't my opinion... it was MATH... look into it!

 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:

well, considering that's the first one i've lost, i'd say it was a true statement... but what is the big deal, anyway, and why does saying that get you so riled up?  i was giving fair warning, that's all... when i posted the 3 GOY plays last year people didn't seem to get so pissed off about it... but then again Covers is all about the last game you picked, so that's that...
 
but don't act like it was a terrible loss... if Rashard misses the 3 pointer i would have covered, or at worst pushed... and that is despite Orlando outscoring Cleveland by 30+ pts from behind the arc... i capped it correctly, there is no doubt about it... but the books shaded the line very well and the Magic shot out of their minds... capping correctly doesn't always equal a win...
 
 
i do have to admit, your comment about me ignoring you cracked me up... apparently you have been obsessing and waiting around for responses to shit i never read, never knew you wrote, or never cared that you wrote...
 
bit of a sad testimony when Covers.com constitutes the crux of your social life...
THE reason I get so riled up is because THE BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world lose their GOY. You think you are better than them? Who do you think you are? Jesus? Even Jesus can lose 1 game. I dont understand people like you. PROFESSIONAL HANDICAPPERS go on 5 game losing streaks, but you are so good that you dont ONE GAME out of a thousand just because you feel strongly enough about it to call it your GOY???? This is why I awaited your response. My favorite thing in life is laughter. Your contribution is appreciated.
 
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Posted: #28
so you're saying Jesus can't cap?
 
 
 
so you just admitted that the best in the world lose their GOY, and yet you are ripping into me for losing my GOY...
 
let's be clear... i said, "i don't lose my GOY"... meaning: 1) i never have... 2) i don't expect to... 3) i am confident...
 
it did not mean: 1) it can't possibly lose... 2) i know it will never lose... 3) it's a lock!
 
if you misunderstood, i do not apologize... because as a gambler you should have known what it meant... there's no such thing as a sure thing... no matter how well you cap a game, you can't account for all variables...
 
so i'm not sure where the confusion came in... but apparently it did...
 
still doesn't warrant your obsession, though...
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by DiceyDave:

Im ready to lay down 5 dimes on this and I kno there are some out there that think that the cavs will be the 9th team in history to come back and win the series after being down 3-1, but this really looks like free money to me...after seeing what the magic have done to the Cavs all year. Any thoughts?


   Your better off betting against the cavs every game and chase if orlando loses the first. You,ll be catching points in every game.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:

well, considering that's the first one i've lost, i'd say it was a true statement... but what is the big deal, anyway, and why does saying that get you so riled up?  i was giving fair warning, that's all... when i posted the 3 GOY plays last year people didn't seem to get so pissed off about it... but then again Covers is all about the last game you picked, so that's that...
 
but don't act like it was a terrible loss... if Rashard misses the 3 pointer i would have covered, or at worst pushed... and that is despite Orlando outscoring Cleveland by 30+ pts from behind the arc... i capped it correctly, there is no doubt about it... but the books shaded the line very well and the Magic shot out of their minds... capping correctly doesn't always equal a win...
 
 
i do have to admit, your comment about me ignoring you cracked me up... apparently you have been obsessing and waiting around for responses to shit i never read, never knew you wrote, or never cared that you wrote...
 
bit of a sad testimony when Covers.com constitutes the crux of your social life...
No you did not cap it correctly. If you did you would taken in account that the magic would shoot that well from 3. That is what they do and its not shocking they hit that many. If the cavs hit that many yeah you would be right. Did you think the magic would go 3-20 from 3pt range?
 
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Posted: #31
Sports gambling is as much (or more) about the math/numbers/value as it is about the sports, if you don't understand it, and it is painfully clear that many on this site do not, often the loudest screamers, you'd be advised to spend your money on more meaning pursuits, like manicures.
 
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Posted: #32
no noney is free in the gambling world, look at game 6 as the key thats the one the magic must win, cuz cavs only lost really 1 meaningful home game all season, no way they lose 2 in one series













 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by esplanade:

Sports gambling is as much (or more) about the math/numbers/value as it is about the sports, if you don't understand it, and it is painfully clear that many on this site do not, often the loudest screamers, you'd be advised to spend your money on more meaning pursuits, like manicures.


Hahaha well said. I have been saying this for so long but people fail to understand the point. I find it funny when the guys who cant understand the math/numbers you talk about claim to be a good capper.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by Consilience:

It might be better to take the Magic moneyline each of the remaining games. You can get them @ +390 tomorrow night. The moneyline(if necessary) in Orlando will probably be -115 ish, and if a game 7 is forced I think Magic backers will receive favorable odds there too. 
 
If the series price = -250 and you drop 5 dimes on it and the Magic win, your payout will be 2 dimes.
 
If you play 1/3 of the total 5 dimes bet for each of the next three games(if necessary) @ 1,666, you may just find yourself with better odds then -250. Another question to consider is do you think the Magic can close out the series in Cleveland. If the Magic lose tomorrow, what will their series odds be then? Probably more favorable than -250.
 
Game 5 Orlando +390 @ $1666 win= $6,497
***Game 6 Orlando -115(speculative) @ $1,666 win= $1,448
*** Game 7 Orlando +350(speculative)@$1,666 win= $5,831
 
If my prediction about the game 6 & 7 lines are way off then my theory is for shit. But I think there's more value in betting these games individually. I luckily took the Magic before the playoffs started to win the Eastern conference at 7-1 odds. I'm feeling great about that bet right now because I still think the Magic win this current series with the Cavs.
 Good luck whatever you decide and go Magic!  
 



thank for posting useful information for beginners like me, despite geniuses like samuel sosa coming in with off topic ad hominem attacks. If they are going to waste everyone's time attacking you, then it should at least be on topic....
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by Consilience:

It might be better to take the Magic moneyline each of the remaining games. You can get them @ +390 tomorrow night. The moneyline(if necessary) in Orlando will probably be -115 ish, and if a game 7 is forced I think Magic backers will receive favorable odds there too. 
 
If the series price = -250 and you drop 5 dimes on it and the Magic win, your payout will be 2 dimes.
 
If you play 1/3 of the total 5 dimes bet for each of the next three games(if necessary) @ 1,666, you may just find yourself with better odds then -250. Another question to consider is do you think the Magic can close out the series in Cleveland. If the Magic lose tomorrow, what will their series odds be then? Probably more favorable than -250.
 
Game 5 Orlando +390 @ $1666 win= $6,497
***Game 6 Orlando -115(speculative) @ $1,666 win= $1,448
*** Game 7 Orlando +350(speculative)@$1,666 win= $5,831
 
If my prediction about the game 6 & 7 lines are way off then my theory is for shit. But I think there's more value in betting these games individually. I luckily took the Magic before the playoffs started to win the Eastern conference at 7-1 odds. I'm feeling great about that bet right now because I still think the Magic win this current series with the Cavs.
 Good luck whatever you decide and go Magic!  
 


I personally will be on the Cavs but IF I was to bet the Magic, this is a great way to go about it. Very very good stuff. Always like to see a guy who can understand the math/value aspect for a chance as that is lacking around here. I think your predictions for the game 6 and 7 lines are very accurate.

GL
 
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Posted: #36
How the years been, I would NOT be surprised at some how cavs still winning this, i know you might think its out of the question, but in the world of sports, anything and I mean anything can happen, like a 14 point win tonight my cleveland and a buzzer beating in game 6 by Lebron.
 
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Posted: #37
I would have to agree with Rangerz.....my first though too was EASY MONEY.....my second thought was THERES A GOOD CHANCE CLEVELAND WINS......
 
-250 for series is not worth it.....if cleveland wins game 5 then you get orlando at -180, and so on. 
 
I'm not impressed with either team....Orlando hasnt really dominated
 
 
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Posted: #38
From what l have seen on t.v.Orlando can play with the cavs in any arena and anyones home town. If you dont want to play the money line dont play it but +350 is good enough value to me. Take these gifts while they are there. All playoffs have been great on the ML dogs. Houston paid +400 3 times against the lakers and Denver did same in game one in the west. Orlando has paid better than  +300 on the ML 2 times already. This is the year to take the value. If  you dont trust the money line play the spread fellows. I will keep taking my chances. I am still kicking myself for not cashing in on Houston.  I played them on a hunch in game one and caught  +400 then was too chicken the other 2 times they paid big and had them on the point spread.
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