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#1
Haven't posted picks for a few days . . .
YTD 9-7
Today's Picks -
Heat -3 -- Heat are playing well. They finally covered a big number last night, but have been winning just about every game. I think they are getting into the swing of things for the season. They score a lot and at will. I dont think Orl will be able to keep up with them scoring. The only way Orl can keep up is if they hit a bunch of 3's. That is possible, but I dont think they will hit 3s for 4 quarters. The heat will win and 3 is an easy cover number.
Ind +3.5 -- Atl has not been playing well. Lost 3 straight at home and they were the favs in all three. In the last 10 games, Atl has beaten only bad teams - Tor, NOH, Det, Mil, Cle. Atl lost to Ind by 12 a few weeks ago (that game was in Ind.). On the other side, Ind is playing well. They have recently beat some good teams - Uta, Dal, Min?, Orl, Chi, LaL. I think Ind has a shot to win SU, but with the points . . . seems like a LOCK.
Hou/Port Under 197.5 -- Hou is under 16 out of 25 games. Only 3 times in the last ten have they played in an over 197 game and all 3 were at home. Avg. game with Hou is 194. Port avg game is 191. In last 10 only 2 were over 197 (one was Denver and one was an OT game). Port has been under in 15 of 25 games. Hou and Port played a few weeks ago and the game was an OT game and finished at 212 . . . but the total was 194 after 4Qs.
Any thoughts?
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