Posted:
#76
Knicks +3
Fakers +13
0
Rarely do I say Vegas knows more than I do but they must know something w/ Kings vs.Wizards. WRITEUP
Posted:
#89
Well guys, to the posters above who came back, I did end up betting the Kings...in a teaser with NC State over Xavier (and that leg hit easily). But that was my own play and I had not posted that play here obviously, and only posted that Vegas had to have the Kings in the OP and at a minimum this had to be a close, and you can only side with them more often than not in certain spots to be a long-term winner.
I only like to post straight up picks and not teases (two write-ups necessary!) and because they announced Cousins was a go so late, I couldn't get back to the phone in time to post a play.
And I would have been forced to side with Vegas if I did bet SU but wouldn't have been comfortable in any way doing so. The tease for me was the right play.
I will say squares took it straight up the a** here.
Does 'Vegas know?'
If they planned on Wall missing those two free throws, then they are psychic. Do I believe they knew something like that could happen? No. This was a very poor line at -1 and even -2 Wiz as those are lines that require a SU win for the kings and they needed angel's wings to pull it off.
I really feel bad for the squares here.
The squares had to have piled on the Wiz. They have learned their lesson well before this game with Sacto as the Kings have literally stood over you money with lighter fluid and a cigarette ready to flick burning ash on their bankroll if you supported them many times this year. When they saw a hot Wiz team visiting a struggling Kings team only requiring one point of spread, the Wiz was the public favorite for certain.
Vegas got away with one here big time and to post a line without DC being official? Do they even know who they are dealing with in the kings?
DC - 24 and 14 and they needed EVERY SINGLE point and rebound from him to make this game what it was. Aaron Gray would have been a disaster and for Vegas to hang a line that was a ML with Gray possibly starting??? Wow...
They are so bad defensively that before OT, Drew Gooden was going to be player of the game for the Wiz. Drew Gooden was on his couch eating Cool Ranch Doritio shell tacos in February before two ten day contracts with the Wiz. Then he comes in and has 18 and 6 last night on 70% shooting.
God bless the squares getting shafted here..."oh the humanity" when Wall missed two of two!!!
Beginner boy, I too was SO tempted to hedge out of my tease (not even SU like you!) but backed off every time trusting that somehow, someway, the atrocious kings would pay off. I had 6.5 though. At 1 or 2 I would have called it a night in the third quarter. Do you believe in miracles? Nice to see you hit and all of LC's followers hit. God help the squares.
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Posted:
#90
Quote Originally Posted by frogs38:
scal you know your stuff man, thanks for all of these write ups, you could get paid for it
scal you know your stuff man, thanks for all of these write ups, you could get paid for it
Appreciate that! No need to get paid. Once you get paid to do something, 99.5% of the time you lose your love for it.
We here love to gamble and cap and the game itself. If we didn't, why would we ever take gut-wrenching mooses and keep coming back. Addiction plays a major roles gambling but love of doing something is the driving force for capping.
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Posted:
#92
@dark @crusher @straight
@hustler still dealing with a lot of line movement. No point in making a pick right now as too many people will have too many different lines so there will be too much "what about 3, what about 4" as it moves. Still if you have a good side and ultimately want it, always take the best line possible. That is betting 101 and those two or three bets you cover by .5 pt for getting in early just might be the ones that make you profitable at the end of the year.
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Posted:
#95
Quote Originally Posted by stakz:
if people betting wiz are squares
than you are a block for betting this kings team
regardless of result
if people betting wiz are squares
than you are a block for betting this kings team
regardless of result
Block you, MoBlocka!
Not if you tease them. Next time it may have to be a sweetheart tease to fend off the next NBA powerhouse like Drew Gooden.
Teasing can take a line to a beautiful place. Ya just have to find a second game and that can be an issue which is why they call it, a 'tease.'
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Posted:
#98
Quote Originally Posted by PoeticJustice:
Scal, I read ur write up and waited for a better line on the kings..couldnt and got it at +1.5. Thanks for pointing this out though. Really helped me, even if we did get lucky :) kings was the right side
Scal, I read ur write up and waited for a better line on the kings..couldnt and got it at +1.5. Thanks for pointing this out though. Really helped me, even if we did get lucky :) kings was the right side
Glad to hear it. At 30-19 in the first quarter everything was peaches and cream...
. At 30-19 in the first quarter everything was peaches and cream...But when a team can't guard their own shadow effectively, they are gonna make you work for every buffalo nickel you invested in them, and did they ever.
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Posted:
#100
Wow, Knicks have gone to +2 on Sportsbook essentially making it a Moneyline. I really shouldn't be surprised. Knicks lines move with the wind. They are a national team making them a public team for betting.
+3 on 5 dimes and
+2.5 with reduced juice -105 on Bovada.
Not sure if I am going to write this game up as many here have already decided for themselves given all the postings I see in the forum.
Given the line movement, a lot has to do with their winning streak and the Pacers recent lackadaisical play but the real mover of this line has been the mainstream media press of the Phil Jackson hiring.
He is a name that is associated with Champions, the most in NBA history as a coach and to see his face plastered on every sports show ith the Knicks logo behind it the day before this game was a definite line mover (it actually opened at 4.5 according to beginner boy on Betonline.com).
4.5 and 2 are very different lines as we saw in the Kings Wiz game (even though points ultimately didn't matter in that one), but if this settles at 2, it is, as you know, demanding an outright win from Knicks backers. No cushion there against a 50 win team vs. a team 13 games under .500 which really their should be, but unlike the Kings game this line can only go down and has already.
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