Posted:
#1
Yesterday's Leaner The Jazz won pretty easily. (I wish I would have known that before the game started) but as I stated I will not count any of the Leans as official plays on my posted record (Win or Lose).
Tonight's card only has 2 games but I am in the very same situation as I was Yesterday. I look for at least a 58% edge in my stat model before making an official play. Last night the Jazz came up as a 55% chance of covering & tonight we have the exact same story with the Heat. I give the Heat a 55% edge in tonight's game against the Spurs at -6 ( which is the line the game opened at). I see the game moving up to as high as 7 in some books as of now. I know of no injuries to either team so it might be that some Wiseguys think the Spurs will be tired after playing so many games on the road. This the last game of that road extended trip. I will call the Heat a LEAN (just as yesterday) & once again not count it towards my official record win or lose. Hopefully tomorrow will finally give us a few games we can bet with a higher degree of confidence. Good Luck on all your Wagers!!
Tonight's card only has 2 games but I am in the very same situation as I was Yesterday. I look for at least a 58% edge in my stat model before making an official play. Last night the Jazz came up as a 55% chance of covering & tonight we have the exact same story with the Heat. I give the Heat a 55% edge in tonight's game against the Spurs at -6 ( which is the line the game opened at). I see the game moving up to as high as 7 in some books as of now. I know of no injuries to either team so it might be that some Wiseguys think the Spurs will be tired after playing so many games on the road. This the last game of that road extended trip. I will call the Heat a LEAN (just as yesterday) & once again not count it towards my official record win or lose. Hopefully tomorrow will finally give us a few games we can bet with a higher degree of confidence. Good Luck on all your Wagers!!
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