He is ONE person, and he cannot take over a game like Jordan or Kobe. The Celtics have too many good players for the Cavs to keep up with.
fairly common argument in the playoffs, which, based on my experience, proves to have absolutely no weight, and almost always burns the people who are putting all of their eggs in that ONE basket...
that is now how the NBA works... if you are RELYING on one player to simply REFUSE to let his team win... guess what? the Celts have 10 guys who will have something to say about it...
just saying... i have seen this exact argument used so many times, and i have come to see it as one small sign that a team is toast...
wouldn't be at all surprised, but i think it is the nature of the Celts to play their best when pressure is on, and to have a let up in the less critical games... if Boston is up 3-1, game 5 in Cleveland becomes one of those possible games where they don't have the killer instinct...
but game 6 will be a fucking blowout!
I never bet against my C's but after that pathetic game 1 collapse I had a nickle on Cleveland monday they fucked up my satruday night losing by 8.
I think more poeple would be on the Celts if they had opened at -4. They are at home and Cleveland other than lebron sucks, Ill take them nbuit I think its too shady to chase my nickle!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
they do this every year... i assume it's a TV scheduling thing, but even that doesn't really make sense...
every year there are at least 2 or 3 times where there is a 3 day layoff when it isn't really necessary...
this is just a random observation...
see a lot of talk about where the sharp money is and fade the public and how the public is killing the books in these playoffs... i gotta say, i think that is being way overblown from the reality of it...
at best, the public is doing a little better than they usually would, and the sharps are struggling a bit more than they usually do... but this assumption that all of the favorites covering means sharps are losing doesn't really have a foundation... even looking at line movement and all of that...
sharps indicate not just big money, but smart money... there is a lot of STUPID big money out there...
i get a read on public vs. sharp opinion by reading these forums... it is barely even worth the effort to try to go by line reading, or favorites only, or things like that... you want to know public perception, it is pretty simple... get inside the heads of the masses...
forget about line movement and percentages and big money and all that shit... at best it gives you a 1 or 2% advantage, but it does so at the expense of the better advantages you would get by simply trusting your own reads and your own understanding of the game...
public perception ebbs and flows constantly... the goal of the sharp is to find the middle ground and stay there...
I don't pay any attention to that Sharp/Public crap. People that read into that shit will drive themselves crazy.
yep... head games...
worst thing that can happen to a bettor early on is to buy into some kind of "reverse line movement" or "public %" or "fishy line" thing early on and have a random run of success... and then they never let it go...
a coin will flip up heads 15+ times in a row once in awhile... doesn't mean heads is a better bet than tails...
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