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*Best Bet* Detroit (+4') for 3 Units Detroit/Boston 8:30: Detroit, knowing it is one of the few teams to beat Boston on its home floor during the regular season (87-85 on 12/19/07), should come out with more fire lit under their rears here; after all, Detroit is 13-5 ATS off a road loss this season, winning by an average margin of nearly 10 ppg. And the dog in this series has delivered in 10 of the last 14 meetings; the road team has cashed the winning ticket in 7 of the last 9. Slow paced games on the road have been Detroit's strength, going 7-1 ATS when the 'total' is set between 170 to 179'. The Pistons showed flashes of strength Monday, but Billups looked bad. We're going to look for Billups to pick up his game and help lead the Pistons to a cover here.
Detroit Over (172) for 1 Unit
Detroit/Boston 8:30: This series has gone 2-11 O/U in its last 11 meetings, including 0-6 O/U at Boston. The combined score in this series at Boston this season has not exceeded 172 in three game games; however, it has maintained a tight range from 167. And late in Game 1, we did see Boston successfully run isolation plays for Pierce and Garnett. Moreover, Rondo blew by Billups on a few occasions. On the other hand, Detroit had some open looks in Game 1 they couldn't convert on. We'll look for a more polished offense tonight, with more driving to the basket to create foul opportunities; I like plenty of free throw attempts with the "over" on our side.
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