The Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title, all in the Tim Duncan era. They attempt to clinch on their home court, where they were dominate (8-0 SU and ATS) before the Game 2 loss to Miami.
San Antonio has controlled this series with its scoring depth, with nine players averaging at least 4.8 PPG. Conversely, Miami has just five players that are averaging over 3.7 PPG. No Spurs player is scoring more than 18.5 PPG (Tony Parker).
Gregg Popovich's move before Game 3 to start Boris Diaw helped turn the series in San Antonio's favor. Diaw is a fantastic interior passer for a big man.
The Spurs have simply proven to be the better team. They have the demoralized Heat on the ropes and don't want to give them any life, especially after what happened in last year's NBA Finals.
This is the biggest spread against the Heat all season, but according to our adjusted ratings, the Spurs are now 3.5 to 4 points better than Miami, so the number is justified. Miami is still searching for the right rotation, and it has no answers defensively against San Antonio, which has shot 54 percent so far this series, better than any other team through four games of an NBA Finals. Despite Miami's penchant for coming back strong after a loss, we just don't have any confidence that Sunday night is another spot for that. San Antonio -5.5 is the play.
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The Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title, all in the Tim Duncan era. They attempt to clinch on their home court, where they were dominate (8-0 SU and ATS) before the Game 2 loss to Miami.
San Antonio has controlled this series with its scoring depth, with nine players averaging at least 4.8 PPG. Conversely, Miami has just five players that are averaging over 3.7 PPG. No Spurs player is scoring more than 18.5 PPG (Tony Parker).
Gregg Popovich's move before Game 3 to start Boris Diaw helped turn the series in San Antonio's favor. Diaw is a fantastic interior passer for a big man.
The Spurs have simply proven to be the better team. They have the demoralized Heat on the ropes and don't want to give them any life, especially after what happened in last year's NBA Finals.
This is the biggest spread against the Heat all season, but according to our adjusted ratings, the Spurs are now 3.5 to 4 points better than Miami, so the number is justified. Miami is still searching for the right rotation, and it has no answers defensively against San Antonio, which has shot 54 percent so far this series, better than any other team through four games of an NBA Finals. Despite Miami's penchant for coming back strong after a loss, we just don't have any confidence that Sunday night is another spot for that. San Antonio -5.5 is the play.
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