Long-time lurker. (Thanks Ricci & midnight prowl for being my go to's) Never feel comfortable posting cause I always feel like if its just me following my advice its good money but once others hop on things go south. Oh well time to live a little.
Doing this moreso for myself than anything. Little running tally of my NBA bets and their record before the finals to help me see where my head was at along the way after the matchup is set and I look back.
Enough semantics...
Last night: 1-0 (+2.7u)
Had GSW 1H -4.5 for 3u. It took ALot of Portlands tank to get here and I hate it say it but Golden State legit feels like theyre just getting started and rounding into form. They were always gonna set the tone this series.
Leaning Bucks tonight. Same kind of idea plus I wanna take Giannis at his word. Thinking Bucks 1H I just think theyre gonna come out playing HARD.
P.S. I have the ticket in my hand for the GSW bet. I know im posting my record the next morning without a post but thats what I took and if you really really are stressing about some random dude on the internet lying that he won a 3unit bet last night then you need to take a step back and reevaluate things. I took a pic if someone is a lunatic and hijacks the thread for proof but im not posting it til I cash the ticket.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Long-time lurker. (Thanks Ricci & midnight prowl for being my go to's) Never feel comfortable posting cause I always feel like if its just me following my advice its good money but once others hop on things go south. Oh well time to live a little.
Doing this moreso for myself than anything. Little running tally of my NBA bets and their record before the finals to help me see where my head was at along the way after the matchup is set and I look back.
Enough semantics...
Last night: 1-0 (+2.7u)
Had GSW 1H -4.5 for 3u. It took ALot of Portlands tank to get here and I hate it say it but Golden State legit feels like theyre just getting started and rounding into form. They were always gonna set the tone this series.
Leaning Bucks tonight. Same kind of idea plus I wanna take Giannis at his word. Thinking Bucks 1H I just think theyre gonna come out playing HARD.
P.S. I have the ticket in my hand for the GSW bet. I know im posting my record the next morning without a post but thats what I took and if you really really are stressing about some random dude on the internet lying that he won a 3unit bet last night then you need to take a step back and reevaluate things. I took a pic if someone is a lunatic and hijacks the thread for proof but im not posting it til I cash the ticket.
Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
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Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
BOL! I like the under as well! I hit 7/8 2nd round 1st game under's last round haha . talk about luck but your right the public will look at regular season .
in 2016 when raps played bucks without kawhi their series scores are pretty low.
LETS GET MONEY!
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Quote Originally Posted by GuruTom:
Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
BOL! I like the under as well! I hit 7/8 2nd round 1st game under's last round haha . talk about luck but your right the public will look at regular season .
in 2016 when raps played bucks without kawhi their series scores are pretty low.
Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
Under for Half or Game or Both?
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Quote Originally Posted by GuruTom:
Game 1 also presents us with an interesting scenario. A lot of casual gamblers will look at regular season matchups to get an idea of around how many points these teams score when they play each other (as with every series). This leads to most game 1 totals being way too high as people hit the overs on the lower totals thinking that hey these teams always score that against each other. Postseason basketball obviously is so much different as fastbreaks are damn near eliminated from the game and it becomes half court sets. The casual gambler doesnt correct their theories/system for this. 12 of the 13 game 1s this year have gone under. (Bookmakers know that too though). Raptors grind you down and run longgg half court sets. Kawhi thrives in the midrange and Milwakuee is not the best against the pick and roll they just clog the paint. I dont envision a 3point shootout so Im leaning under tonight as well.
Guess I shoulda took Bucks full game instead of 1h last night. Honestly either way I it was the wrong side so Im not as mad. 1-1 on the night for -1.7u. Coulda been worst.
2-1 +1.0 through the game 1s. Plays coming later. Curious on people's leans tonight. I can see this game going a couple different ways. Dont doubt the OG Warriors though. Obviously no bench but the same core of a 73 win team...
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Guess I shoulda took Bucks full game instead of 1h last night. Honestly either way I it was the wrong side so Im not as mad. 1-1 on the night for -1.7u. Coulda been worst.
2-1 +1.0 through the game 1s. Plays coming later. Curious on people's leans tonight. I can see this game going a couple different ways. Dont doubt the OG Warriors though. Obviously no bench but the same core of a 73 win team...
When Steph gets hot its for 3/4 game stretches and I think this offense opens up to help Steph out significantly without KD and hes gonna keep taking advantage.People are deservingly all over the Blazers and I think GSW is undervalued without KD. Steph and Klay shoot them to a 62ish point hald for this cover.
Over 219 2u to win 1.8 Golden State carries the scoring 1h and Porrland will bring this over home after half.
GL tn
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TN picks:
GSW 1H -4 4u to win 3.6
When Steph gets hot its for 3/4 game stretches and I think this offense opens up to help Steph out significantly without KD and hes gonna keep taking advantage.People are deservingly all over the Blazers and I think GSW is undervalued without KD. Steph and Klay shoot them to a 62ish point hald for this cover.
Over 219 2u to win 1.8 Golden State carries the scoring 1h and Porrland will bring this over home after half.
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