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The Vapster Totals System Official Thread

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I am moving this to its own thread due to the other being messy.

SYSTEM SPREADSHEET IS HERE:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xYGJNKFVd1i9CTgDM0-mP_lXrHYohFEZgIKh1w5HAcM/

If you wish to download the spreadsheet for your personal use, please go to FILE > DOWNLOAD AS > then select your format.

This thread will be used to provide feedback, advice, or breaking news related to the system picks.

Use at your own risk.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
11/25/2016

System Picks with 5 Point Min/Max, and injuries/trends

SAS@BOS o200
ORL@WAS u200
DAL@CLE o201
MIA@MEM o188
TOR@MIL o210.5
ATL@UTH u195
NOP@POR u218.5
GSW@LAL u229
HOU@SAC u216.5

With no limits:

SAS@BOS o200
ORL@WAS u200
CHI@PHI u204.5
DAL@CLE o201
CHA@NYK u209.5
LAC@DET o200
BRK@IND o215.5
MIA@MEM o188
TOR@MIL o210.5
ATL@UTH u195
OKC@DEN u214
MIN@PHX u214
NOP@POR u218.5
GSW@LAL u229
HOU@SAC u216.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Well done TK. Much appreciated. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
As of 11/25/2016, the system is

10 - 2 - 1 YTD (70%) with limits

21 - 6 - 1 YTD (75%) with no limits
 
Captain
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Posts: 6864
Posted: #5
Can't wait to show this to my dad and say,

"And you said I'd never amount to anything!"

Great Job On The Spreadsheet TK
 
Prospect
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Posts: 193
Posted: #6
Appreciate you guys for doing this, followed for the first few days to see how it went. Started playing this afternoon with the San Antonio over, awesome job you guys.


Thank You
 
Rookie
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Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 652
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Jmitch1313:

2-0 so far today. Mil/tor is gonna screw that up, but on pace to be 4-1 with limits going into late games. Love it!!!!


Mitchman....how do you play these? Every game or are you picking and choosing?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
Dang, CHA@NYK going to Overtime...likely will be a loss now! But depending on your book you could have won or got a No Play if they only accept regulation.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #9
Wow I'm always choosing the games that never win, only took BOS/SAS and didn't take the other 4 that just won... took MEM/MIA and TOR/MIL overs and both are gonna go under..
 
Veteran
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Posted: #10
Boss!  So you are going to bet these teams with the total you indicated?

NOP@POR u218.5
GSW@LAL u229
HOU@SAC u216.5

Thanks,
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by JJJ-3J:

Boss!  So you are going to bet these teams with the total you indicated?NOP@POR u218.5GSW@LAL u229HOU@SAC u216.5Thanks,

Yes. Best of luck!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by JJJ-3J:

Boss!  So you are going to bet these teams with the total you indicated?NOP@POR u218.5GSW@LAL u229HOU@SAC u216.5Thanks,

Yes. BOL!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #13
We are 4-2 with Limits so far. 6-3-1 with no limits. 
 
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Posts: 1430
Posted: #14
phew had 2 post 
  • 2334
  • Milwaukee ·Toronto 
    Total puncte
  • 26.11 03:00
  • 203.5
  • TP2
  • 1.52
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
Although we still have a great record, I am going to chopse fhe limits picks a little more wisely. I made some mistakes and overlooked some things tonight. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #16
Rough end to the day, but still profitable!

Today with limits 5-4 (55.5%)
YTD with limits 14-6-1 (70%)


Today with no limits 8-5-1 (61.5%)
YTD with no limits 28-11-2 (71.7%)
 
Veteran
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Posted: #17
According to the spreadsheet SAS/WAS over and GSW/MIN under are two of the strongest players out of the bunch, very hard choices today it seems like considering yesterday's games. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

Rough end to the day, but still profitable!

Today with limits 5-4 (55.5%)
YTD with limits 14-6-1 (70%)


Today with no limits 8-5-1 (61.5%)
YTD with no limits 28-11-2 (71.7%)


Thanks for sharing, very nice you don´t keep it only for yourself.

I´m new here, what´s the difference in between with limits and without?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Alexfdg:



Thanks for sharing, very nice you don´t keep it only for yourself.

I´m new here, what´s the difference in between with limits and without?
Limits mean it considers a differential of 5 or greater, trends, and injuries. No limits means it just takes whatever differential it spits out
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
On the spreadsheet there is a test page where I calculated the average differentials for H/A, Last 5, and Overall. They generally gave similar results to just H/A but does give you more to think about.

PLAYS FOR 11/26/2016 

Limits: (14-6-1 YTD)
SAS@WAS o204
NYK@CHA o208
MIN@GSW u222

No Limits: (28-11-2 YTD)
SAS@WAS o205
NYK@CHA o208
DET@OKC o204
MEM@MIA o184.5
MIN@GSW u222

 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

11/25/2016

System Picks with 5 Point Min/Max, and injuries/trends

SAS@BOS o200
ORL@WAS u200
DAL@CLE o201
MIA@MEM o188
TOR@MIL o210.5
ATL@UTH u195
NOP@POR u218.5
GSW@LAL u229
HOU@SAC u216.5

With no limits:

SAS@BOS o200
ORL@WAS u200
CHI@PHI u204.5
DAL@CLE o201
CHA@NYK u209.5
LAC@DET o200
BRK@IND o215.5
MIA@MEM o188
TOR@MIL o210.5
ATL@UTH u195
OKC@DEN u214
MIN@PHX u214
NOP@POR u218.5
GSW@LAL u229
HOU@SAC u216.5


I have been following you for a time and very good job man.
what is limits and no limits on the bets ? didnt get that
 
Prospect
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by prelis:



I have been following you for a time and very good job man.
what is limits and no limits on the bets ? didnt get that
Limits mean it considers a differential of 5 or greater, trends, and injuries. No limits means it just takes whatever differential it spits out
 
Prospect
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Posted: #23
I agree with the picks, but what scares me tonight is that SAS might rest players and NYK went to OT yesterday... what are your opinions?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

Limits mean it considers a differential of 5 or greater, trends, and injuries. No limits means it just takes whatever differential it spits out


Understood! Thks Mate! :)

Let me share you a basic nba ats research that I did from last season.

I found that in average teams (goods or bads) don´t lose more than 5 games in a row and don´t win more than 6 games in a row, the worst record was 7 losses in a row (just for 1 team) and best record of 8 wins in a row (just for 1 team).  Using martingale strategy, if you manage to skip some matches in certain losing/winning row, there is a big chance to win without risk too much,

what do you think?
 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 9
Posted: #25
Sorry, I missed an important coma... so I correct it

Let me share you a basic nba ats research that I did from last season.

I found that in average, teams (goods or bads), don´t lose more than 5 games in a row and don´t win more than 6 games in a row, the worst record was 7 losses in a row (just for 1 team) and best record of 8 wins in a row (just for 1 team).  Using martingale strategy, if you manage to skip some matches in certain losing/winning row, there is a big chance to win without risk too much,

what do you think?

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