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The Vapster Totals System Official Thread

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Posted: #176
@TK and others...


L10 stat is pretty worthless and I think you should take that off. 1st of all most teams have played 12-14 games anyway so mind as well use overall. 2nd) L10 include home and away team and as you well might know, Home scoring is very different than away scoring so you can't compare apples to oranges. Now if it's L5 home vs L5 away then you have something to work with and compare to. I would switch that L10 to L5 Home vs L5 away for more accurate info.
 
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Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:



Look good bro. I'm on the same side on all of those. Just staying off lakers for now because of players missing but rest look good plus Magic +13.5

Magic +13.5 and Nets +12.5 is on my list too.. I just don't play it.. GL
 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

@TK and others...L10 stat is pretty worthless and I think you should take that off. 1st of all most teams have played 12-14 games anyway so mind as well use overall. 2nd) L10 include home and away team and as you well might know, Home scoring is very different than away scoring so you can't compare apples to oranges. Now if it's L5 home vs L5 away then you have something to work with and compare to. I would switch that L10 to L5 Home vs L5 away for more accurate info.

Thanks man, I actually realized the numbers looked fairly useless after examining. For now it was more of a proof of concept thing. I will update this later today!
 
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Posted: #179
A little green is better than none, thanks for posting
 
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Posted: #180
SORRY I DONT HAVE THE LINK ..CAN SOMEONE SEND IT TO ME ...I WONT ASK AGAIN SINCE IT MANUALLY UPDATES...THANK YOU FOR EVERYTHING YOU ALL HAVE DONE 
 
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Posted: #181
/docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xYGJNKFVd1i9CTgDM0-mP_lXrHYohFEZgIKh1w5HAcM/edit#gid=36776888
 
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Posted: #182
Any idea why I can't get the link to open. Sorry guys trying to do this on my own

Thanks
 
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Posted: #183
THANK YOU BREAK BUT IT DOES NOT OPEN LIKE WHEN TS DID THIS BEFORE ..I AM KINDA STUCK BUT THEN AGAIN I AM KINDA STUPID
 
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Posted: #184
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xYGJNKFVd1i9CTgDM0-mP_lXrHYohFEZgIKh1w5HAcM/

 
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Posted: #185
THE PICKS ARE IN!

11/29/2016

LIMITS
CLE@MIL u212
LAC@BRK u214

NO LIMITS
DET@CHA o200
LAC@BRK u214
CLE@MIL u212
LAL@NOP o217.5
ORL@SAS u194.5
HOU@UTH u203.5

BOL EVERYONE!
 
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Posted: #186
hmm i can take DET@CHA o195.5  LAC@BRK u220.5  CLE@MIL u215.5  LAL@NOP o213.5  ORL@SAS u198.5  HOU@UTH u206.5 but probably i stay with those 2 limits and a small parlay on all for fun")) TK
 
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Posted: #187
Got CLEAV U213
Got LAC U217
Got DET O199.5

LEANING LAL U108.5 AND HOU ML

BOL GUYS :)
 
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Posted: #188
HEADS UP THE BLAKE GRIFFIN IS OUT
 
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Posted: #189
Nice work TK on the sheet thank you. I think we are getting a bargain on that Det/Cha differential as it is skewed low due to Pistons lack of road offense to this point. But I think Det has found their rhythm and this is a great spot to use their motivation to exploit Cha. I expect a high scoring game and a Pistons road win and will bet accordingly especially 2nd half. Good luck.
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Posted: #190
I got all NO LIMIT 1H system leans. Will try to follow the 1H and see if we can cash in.

BOL TO ALL!
 
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Posted: #191
Spurs number is low due to their abnormally bad home form, that won't continue
 
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Posted: #192
Quote Originally Posted by StraightWagers:

Nice work TK on the sheet thank you. I think we are getting a bargain on that Det/Cha differential as it is skewed low due to Pistons lack of road offense to this point. But I think Det has found their rhythm and this is a great spot to use their motivation to exploit Cha. I expect a high scoring game and a Pistons road win and will bet accordingly especially 2nd half. Good luck.


you thinking they will score large in the 2nd half?

 
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Posted: #193
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:

Spurs number is low due to their abnormally bad home form, that won't continue

Yeah I agree, and this game will be interesting. I am leaning towards WAS not putting up too many points tonight though
 
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Posted: #194
roo I think game will have a lot of pts so if 1st half goes under I'd increase overall bet by betting 2nd half over but pace seems great so most likely will leave 2nd half alone, spreadsheet really helps on these type of plays
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Posted: #195
I also think we are getting a bargain on th Hou/Utah differentials. Hou away scoring is crazy high due to the opponents they faced that play weak defense thus that 110ppg is somewhat inflated. Jazz defense is rounding back into form and at home in a revenge spot should be good to go against a team they get to face again after a week ago allowing 11pts in a loss. The under 204 is a bargain I believe and will bet it accordingly.
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Posted: #196
We y'all are looking good guys!
 
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Posted: #197
that live under 217.5 in Jazz game is money, in last 2 home wins jazz have help opponent to 34 and 36 2nd half points
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Posted: #198
KSLHKJASHD Chris Paul just costed us the under for LAC@BRK
 
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Posted: #199
The game Los Angeles Clipper is draw, so bad OT, wasn't lucky :'( lose 
 
 
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Posted: #200
TK based on your spreadsheet and Hou road scoring being way overvalued in this matchup in my opinion thus lowering the differential by 10pts this significantly changes the differential in our favor for the under so I must play the under 101.5 2nd half and believe we may still even get the game under 204, thanks again your data really helps me with my totals wagering
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