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thursdays thoughts from the sty

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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



I'm good with that having some nice + value on the Avs Pk and o5.5



 
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Posted: #152
ok...one of you hockey pros tell me if im wrong....i have become enamored with the -1/2 at + money for the 1P play....i have been watching first periods more closely than a hog guards his slop trough!!!....my observation is that the home team usually wins the first period or wins the +1/2 option at whatever juice had to be  laid for the + 1/2...tonight if you had taken all 11 home teams  for the first period, you would have been 8-3...and it seems true many other nights..am i wrong?..
 
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Posted: #153
man, if i had in game on hockey, i could really do some damage...probably to my own bank acct....
 
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Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

ok...one of you hockey pros tell me if im wrong....i have become enamored with the -1/2 at + money for the 1P play....i have been watching first periods more closely than a hog guards his slop trough!!!....my observation is that the home team usually wins the first period or wins the +1/2 option at whatever juice had to be  laid for the + 1/2...tonight if you had taken all 11 home teams  for the first period, you would have been 8-3...and it seems true many other nights..am i wrong?..


Not necessarily, Pig....all comes down to matchups, schedules, etc...Don't draw any firm conclusions based upon this evening as the majority of home teams were favored.  Even so, some teams are better 1P teams than others nomatter where the game is played.  For example, the Hawks' are the highest scoring team in the league and, yet, their 1P is statistically speaking their worst...go figure.
 
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Posted: #155
I can do some queries and get some results this weekend.

You're looking for:

"The home team outcome after the first period"

In this, we can figure out break even and play percentages.

Eg, your daily sample pig.

8/11~=.72

So even money is -250+
 
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Posted: #156
coach...i like the way you capitalize the P in Pig...makes me, a lowly barnyard creature feel respected...
 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

I can do some queries and get some results this weekend.

You're looking for:

"The home team outcome after the first period"

In this, we can figure out break even and play percentages.

Eg, your daily sample pig.

8/11~=.72

So even money is -250+


No....unless I misunderstood, Pig is saying that the home team wins the 1P more often than not.  I, in turn, tried to put that in more proper perspective.
 
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Posted: #158
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

I can do some queries and get some results this weekend.

You're looking for:

"The home team outcome after the first period"

In this, we can figure out break even and play percentages.

Eg, your daily sample pig.

8/11~=.72

So even money is -250+

if you say so.... you and those infernal queries...
 
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Posted: #159
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

coach...i like the way you capitalize the P in Pig...makes me, a lowly barnyard creature feel respected...


Mad respect, Mr. Pig
 
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Posted: #160
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



Mad respect, Mr. Pig

i am not worthy
 
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Posted: #161
Goddamnit....I was all over the Kings PL (+255) earlier tonight and didn't pull the trigger...phuck
 
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Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

..I was all over the Kings PL (+255) earlier tonight and didn't pull the trigger...phuck

yeah coach, when i put in kings 1P....i was thinking ....probably should make a PL wager too, just in case 1 P loses...i didnt either..sighhh
 
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Posted: #163
I'm telling you, this Martin Jones kid has the makings of being the greatest NHL goaltender in the history of the game.  Laugh now, but mark my words.
 
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Posted: #164
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

I'm telling you, this Martin Jones kid has the makings of being the greatest NHL goaltender in the history of the game.  Laugh now, but mark my words.

coach...i would believe ANYTHING you told me about hockey, since i am clueless... martin jones
 
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Posted: #165
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:


coach...i would believe ANYTHING you told me about hockey, since i am clueless... martin jones


To put this in perspective, Jones has allowed a mere 5 goals in 21 periods to start his career.  Keep in mind that the Hawks touched him for 3 of those goals in one period.  So, aside from that, he's allowed 2 goals in the other 20 periods...unreal.
 
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Posted: #166
Yup Coach & Pig. Thx for the advice. Won't make that mistake again. I try to follow most of them. I too know nothing about hockey. I am up on night thx to some CBB. And still have Spurs TT & +7 2H. Appreciate all work you guys do.
 
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Posted: #167
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:

Spurs TT o49.5



 
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Posted: #168
Thank you Splitter. Huge tip in & two clutch FTs. No Reggie they aren't gonna even bother to look at replay. 4pts all game!
 
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Posted: #169
Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

Yup Coach & Pig. Thx for the advice. Won't make that mistake again. I try to follow most of them. I too know nothing about hockey. I am up on night thx to some CBB. And still have Spurs TT & +7 2H. Appreciate all work you guys do.

brick, you understand the rationale for playing all the + money picks?...since you always get back more than you wager, you dont have to hit as many winners to make a profit.....but if you pick and choose the + money plays you may play the losers...youre welcome buddy...
 
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Posted: #170
Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

Yup Coach & Pig. Thx for the advice. Won't make that mistake again. I try to follow most of them. I too know nothing about hockey. I am up on night thx to some CBB. And still have Spurs TT & +7 2H. Appreciate all work you guys do.


All good, Brick...good job tonight, bud
 
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Posted: #171
coach...you were really pushing that spurs TT.......right down to that tip in with 2 seconds to play...glad you got it buddy.
 
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Posted: #172
SPURS +270
 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

coach...you were really pushing that spurs TT.......right down to that tip in with 2 seconds to play...glad you got it buddy.


Thanks, my friend, though it really shouldn't have come down to that.  Nevertheless, I'll take it as I've certainly been on the other end of that fortune.  Good night and back to the grind tomorrow.  Fear the Indian Head if you know what I'm talking about
 
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Posted: #174
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

SPURS +270


Atta boy, henry....great hit
 
 
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Posted: #175
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:


brick, you understand the rationale for playing all the + money picks?...since you always get back more than you wager, you dont have to hit as many winners to make a profit.....but if you pick and choose the + money plays you may play the losers...youre welcome buddy...
and when they do hit at 60%+, the brinks truck throws money like sandbags on the Mississippi.

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