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thursdays thoughts from the sty

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Posted: #26
Damn,I'm gonna have to find a place that does 1P puck lines. + 160 giving up 1/2 a goal vs Buffalo seems very juicy indeed!!  
 
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Posted: #27
Good to hear COACH. Little more confident with your blessing. Let's get it!!
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by TxPride:

Damn,I'm gonna have to find a place that does 1P puck lines. + 160 giving up 1/2 a goal vs Buffalo seems very juicy indeed!!  

somebody that looks like you would think so!!! nice selfie.
 
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Posted: #29
phx-toronto over 1 1/2 first period and boston -1/2 1P + 160...action reverse..
 
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Posted: #30
Also liking OKC TT a lot! I think they're gonna torch CHI for 110+ which will obviously help the FG over as well. The only thing that worried me was if CHI can keep up
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by henrymethbreath:

11 games at 60.5 comes out to exactly 5.5 goals a game.

On my spreadsheet, I have quite a few Overs, 8/11. With that said,I only played three of them.

The STL Under 5.5 juice was at -147. I see they moved it to 5 now. rarely do they move totals in hockey. 

my opinion of the Grand Salami: fun bet to have action on all the games. Coin flip bet. You're taking a large spread of games, and taking the action which is most like a coin flip, which is the total. 


looks like the 9-12 games/day range is at 3-4 to the Under side so far this month. 


Agreed completely.  I can't confirm this statistically, but in my opinion, it's more difficult to average o5.5 G/G than under as a few low-scoring games are really tough to make up for.  Games don't usually exceed 5.5 by a substantial margin.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by TxPride:

Damn,I'm gonna have to find a place that does 1P puck lines. + 160 giving up 1/2 a goal vs Buffalo seems very juicy indeed!!  


Yep...those PLs can turn a nice profit...assuming you're on the right side of them.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

Good to hear COACH. Little more confident with your blessing. Let's get it!!



 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:

phx-toronto over 1 1/2 first period and boston -1/2 1P + 160...action reverse..


Hope you get it, Pigmeister
 
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Posted: #35
my thoughts on NBA tonight... i am playing over 192 and OKC -13 in OKC-chicago game, seeing a scenario similar to last night in houston....bulls on B2B and 3rd in 4 nights and with their short bench, im counting on some tired legs 2H and some easy baskets by the thunder in 2H, so i will be looking closely at 2H and 3 and 4Qs...chicago showed me last night they can score enough to help send a reasonable total over..with spurs sitting the big 3...i got no opinion of that game til i see the first half play out....good luck to  all my sty mates!!!
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by Coach19:



Hope you get it, Pigmeister

thanks coach, with +150 on boston 1P...line moved a bit..and only -115 on the total....a little risk for a good reward...
 
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Posted: #37
Parlay

OKC TT over 52 1H
BOS -.5 1P
PHX/TOR over 5.5

$130 to win $1,000
 
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Posted: #38
Hey guys, split in the hockey last night;  Penguins blew a 2 goal lead to ruin my TT, but hit the ML play.
Got a bunch tonight.

Bos -1.5 +170 MEDIUM.  The B's have some injuries but keep on winning.  Looks like Johnson is in net, but he's not bad.  B's can score and have a top D, while Sabres are the lowest scoring in NHL (by far) and give up plenty.  B's tend to dominate Sabs, and won 5-2 last time in Buff.  So even with injuries and starting goalie out, getting +170 is very appealing.
Over 5.5 -120 Pho/Tor MEDIUM.  These are two "Over" teams (especially Coyotes) each coming off two games against "Under" teams.  Expecting them to welcome the chance to play at the faster pace, so they should open it up here and pound the nets.
Pho -1.5 +230 MEDIUM.  Coyotes coming off a couple of losses and I see this as a great opportunity to bounce back.  Leafs give up plenty and goals and since I expect it to go Over, see it quite possible that superior Yotes win by two.  And that +230 forces me to take the shot.
Color -1.5 +160 MEDIUM.  Av's aren't as great as they were earlier in the season, but still a great home team and capable of beating decent opponents by 2 (last home game 6-2 vs Dallas).  Oilers are far below decent, have lost 4 in a row, and give up the most goals in the NHL.  Another case where the high plus juice is calling me out.

Tailing Coach's Bruins 1st Period but at -150 rather than laying the 1/2 goal.  A little bit afraid of a slow start by the B's, so paying to play it safe.
GL    
 
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Posted: #39
Play O5.5 or O1.5 1P Toronto/Phoenix?
 
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Posted: #40
And also tailing Ult1ma on the Pho/Tor 1P Over.  Fits right into my thinking.    
 
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Posted: #41
Adding....

Pens -1/2 1P (+180) - this one's a high-risk, high-reward for obvious reasons.  Pens are missing a large number of skaters, but unlike the Wings, the Pens' call-ups are doing a terrific job of keeping the train on the rails. I realize they're on B2B after an exciting shootout victory last night, but I'm betting these youngsters will come out flying in front of a very appreciative and supportive home crowd.  The Wilds' Niklas Backstrom is no Josh Harding who's out for a while adjusting is MS treatment plan which has to be an emotional downer to the team.  I'll take a shot at this price.
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

Play O5.5 or O1.5 1P Toronto/Phoenix?

melo....ult1ma is leading the dance on OVER 1 P and coach and i are following that...baby likes OVER 5 1/2 FG...
and baby, im gonna tail that boston PL...
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

Parlay

OKC TT over 52 1H
BOS -.5 1P
PHX/TOR over 5.5

$130 to win $1,000

 hope you stash that cash ult1ma!!!
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

Play O5.5 or O1.5 1P Toronto/Phoenix?

Playing both....
 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by ult1ma:

Parlay

OKC TT over 52 1H
BOS -.5 1P
PHX/TOR over 5.5

$130 to win $1,000


My phuckin book, again, isn't posting 1H TTs...otherwise I'd join you on that   Good luck with that parlay, bud 
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by pigskinpicker:


melo....ult1ma is leading the dance on OVER 1 P and coach and i are following that...baby likes OVER 5 1/2 FG...
and baby, im gonna tail that boston PL...

If that PL is looking good before Av's start, you might want to throw a little on Av's PL too.  Oilers lose very often and tend to lose big.    
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:

Hey guys, split in the hockey last night;  Penguins blew a 2 goal lead to ruin my TT, but hit the ML play.
Got a bunch tonight.

Bos -1.5 +170 MEDIUM.  The B's have some injuries but keep on winning.  Looks like Johnson is in net, but he's not bad.  B's can score and have a top D, while Sabres are the lowest scoring in NHL (by far) and give up plenty.  B's tend to dominate Sabs, and won 5-2 last time in Buff.  So even with injuries and starting goalie out, getting +170 is very appealing.
Over 5.5 -120 Pho/Tor MEDIUM.  These are two "Over" teams (especially Coyotes) each coming off two games against "Under" teams.  Expecting them to welcome the chance to play at the faster pace, so they should open it up here and pound the nets.
Pho -1.5 +230 MEDIUM.  Coyotes coming off a couple of losses and I see this as a great opportunity to bounce back.  Leafs give up plenty and goals and since I expect it to go Over, see it quite possible that superior Yotes win by two.  And that +230 forces me to take the shot.
Color -1.5 +160 MEDIUM.  Av's aren't as great as they were earlier in the season, but still a great home team and capable of beating decent opponents by 2 (last home game 6-2 vs Dallas).  Oilers are far below decent, have lost 4 in a row, and give up the most goals in the NHL.  Another case where the high plus juice is calling me out.

Tailing Coach's Bruins 1st Period but at -150 rather than laying the 1/2 goal.  A little bit afraid of a slow start by the B's, so paying to play it safe.
GL    


What the hell....I'm in
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by Baby_BA:


If that PL is looking good before Av's start, you might want to throw a little on Av's PL too.  Oilers lose very often and tend to lose big.    


I'm also strongly considering the Kings PL at +255.  This kid, Martin Jones is unreal.  Gonna first see how these early games go.
 
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Posted: #49
bulls ML +900.

this is strictly to see if I can get the Thunder at + money in game. 
 
 
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Posted: #50
Sure you heard deng and hinrich out for CHI
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