151 - 99 @ 60% for +42.1 Units
2010-2011 NBA Playoffs Record:
27 - 23@ 54% for +1.7 Units
Thur 06/02
OVER 186 DAL/MIA
I had the UNDER in game one, but I feel the OVER has the 'value' in game 2 of this series. Both teams shot below 40% in the first game, and in all honesty, both are too good to repeat that. Sure, the defensive pressure was very good from both teams in game 1, but I feel the offenses will be a bit more successful tonight. At the same time, Dallas will make the necessary adjustments to improve their efficiency. Sure they shot the 3-ball pretty well, but their bench really let them down in game 1. I don't see Barea and Peja shooting 1 for 11 combined tonight. At the same time, I see Dallas emphasizing defensive 'boards' in this one, which will prevent Miami from using up additional time after getting an offensive rebound. Better control of defensive boards will allow Dallas to 'run' the ball more, which should lead a to few more open 'transition' baskets. Prior to game 1 of the Finals, the O/U in Miami's last 6 home playoff games was 6-0. I see this one going OVER tonight.
Good luck!
PS: This is my only play for tonight. Didn't like anything in MLB
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330