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TOTAL Zig-Zag

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Posted: #26
gl Bodio.....
 
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Posted: #27
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by raems:

Good luck tonight, Bodio. Unfortunately we see opposite ways tonight, although the shooting percentages might go up slightly, Game 1 saw 20 made 3 pointers, 58 attempted free throws, and it still stayed under by 5 baskets. Those numbers are not going to be easily duplicable tonight, and even if the teams should better percentages on 2 pointers, the decreased 3's and free throw attempts will still keep it low. Miami hasn't allowed more than 85 points in regulation since their Game 1 loss to Chicago, and I don't see any very good reason to see the tren suddenly reverse tonight. 

Good luck though, could certainly see the over hitting if there is a fast start.

Yes, I did think about that also.  The 3PT % was definitely high and there were a decent amount of FT's in the game as well.  The thing is that Dallas had a number of OPEN 3-PT looks in game 1, and so did Miami.  Even though the % might go down, I think both teams will still shoot a decent %-age from the 3PT line as both defenses are trying to keep the offenses out of the paint.  Dallas needs to run more to get some easy baskets and put pressure on Miami's D.  They will emphasize that today IMO, as Miami's D is just too good in half-court.  At the same time, I see Dirk being more of a factor.  I think he needs to carry Dallas in order for them to have a chance.  He'll get more trips to the line today and should find open shooters off 'double-teams'.  I see a higher paced game in this one, with more shots from both teams and improved efficiency on the offensive end.  I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas won this game as well, and for them to do so, they will have to score points.  

GL
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by VLR:

gl   what do you think of first half over?  i think rust had a lot to do with awful 1st quarter last game

I'd definitely lean OVER in 1st half
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Highly unlikely that the Mavs bench again plays terrible offensively and that LeBron and Wade combine for only 7 FTs again. Like the play bodio

Definitely agree with you on the 'bench' factor.  Didn't think about the amount of FT's from LeWades -- great point!
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by GIMMETHEPOINTS:

I wonder id Dirk's finger being messed up will affect his scoring output which in turn might affect his teams total score(in theory) so I was pondering taking the under but with you on the over i will just lay off and go ML heat more than likely,....any thoughts on this ?


I don't think it will be a big factor.  Plenty of super-starts with minor injuries who rise to the occasion.  This is Dirk's chance to do the same!
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by nepatriots_12:

gl buddy...I hate hitting Overs in the Playoffs too but this seems like a good spot for it...hopefully Mavs pull out the W tonight also.



Yeah, I almost played Mavs plus the Points, but just didn't want to fade Miami at home.  Plus for Dallas to win, they must score points, and thus the OVER play is somewhat correlated to Mavs winning this one
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by bassaholicman:

Good Luck tonight Bodio.  it's nice to see a quality capper take the night off because they didn't like the value in any games.  I often wonder - how can their be sufficient value everyday?  thx for your write ups and plays.

Trust me, I really wanted to play something in MLB today, after a crappy 2-3 night last night.  But just couldn't find anything after hours of capping.  
 
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Posted: #34
gl over is my play to
 
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Posted: #35
gl over is my play to
 
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Posted: #36
I dunno bodio, one quarter of sub 20 pts by each team and the over is fucked.  best of luck though...
 
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Posted: #37
i am really liking dallas to keep this thing close and perform well tonite....i think they get back on track tonite, as they have played superbly on the road and with backs up against the wall!.......this series is going to be alot closer than people are thinking right now!...dont see miami blowing them out and i will gladly take the five points in this one!....it's dallas and the over for me this evening...gl with the over tonite
 
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Posted: #38
Best of luck tonight 
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


Yes, I did think about that also.  The 3PT % was definitely high and there were a decent amount of FT's in the game as well.  The thing is that Dallas had a number of OPEN 3-PT looks in game 1, and so did Miami.  Even though the % might go down, I think both teams will still shoot a decent %-age from the 3PT line as both defenses are trying to keep the offenses out of the paint.  Dallas needs to run more to get some easy baskets and put pressure on Miami's D.  They will emphasize that today IMO, as Miami's D is just too good in half-court.  At the same time, I see Dirk being more of a factor.  I think he needs to carry Dallas in order for them to have a chance.  He'll get more trips to the line today and should find open shooters off 'double-teams'.  I see a higher paced game in this one, with more shots from both teams and improved efficiency on the offensive end.  I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas won this game as well, and for them to do so, they will have to score points.  

GL
 
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Colts03:

I dunno bodio, one quarter of sub 20 pts by each team and the over is fucked.  best of luck though...

One quarter of sub-25+ points by each team and the UNDER is fucked  :)
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by gd2436:

i am really liking dallas to keep this thing close and perform well tonite....i think they get back on track tonite, as they have played superbly on the road and with backs up against the wall!.......this series is going to be alot closer than people are thinking right now!...dont see miami blowing them out and i will gladly take the five points in this one!....it's dallas and the over for me this evening...gl with the over tonite

I agree.  I think Dallas keeps this one close and should have a chance to win it at the end.
 
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Posted: #42
Thur 06/02

OVER 186 DAL/MIA... 


Bodio, if i had mia-4.5  & U 188  gm and now im on dal +5 & O187... would i then be a zig -zagger ???lol
 
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Posted: #43
GL. Glad to see we're on the same side.
 
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Posted: #44
bol
 
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Posted: #45
Interesting.. Miami averages 97 at home.. I think they will score around that many points this time.. But I dont think Mavs make it to the 90s as Miami has a GREAT defense.. James is gonna shut Terry down putting pressure Dirk to even score more.. I like the under

92-88  Miami
 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by topcat69:

Thur 06/02

OVER 186 DAL/MIA... 


Bodio, if i had mia-4.5  & U 188  gm and now im on dal +5 & O187... would i then be a zig -zagger ???lol

haha....FOR SURE!  :)
 
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Posted: #47
Were in the same boat ! Good luck buddy !
 
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Posted: #48
    
 
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Posted: #49

best of luck

 

 
 
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Posted: #50
GL BODIO

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