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Vegas won 95% in december

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Posted: #26
Because I can't start a new topic on Covers I'll post here...


The public money is now on Toronto: +75%!!.. Spurs will cover easy today
 
SAS(-11.5) BIG PLAY

Faves with the highest spread of the day wins most of the time. Thanks stepback3

6.12.2013  POR -11.5 W
7.12.2013  DEN -6.5 W
8.12.2013  HOU -13.5 L 
10.12.2013  SAS -8.5 W
11.12.2013 SAS -11 W
12.12.2013 POR (-2) W
13.12.2013 OKC -12.5 W
14.12.2013 DAL -11 W
15.12.2013 OKC -13.5 L
16.12.2013 MIA -12.5 W
17.12.2013 GSW -8.5 W
18.12.2013 LAC(-10.5) W
19.12.2013 OKC (-13) L - fixed 
20.12.2013 MIA (-10.5) W
21.12.2013 GSW(-13) W         
22.12.2013 IND(-11.5)

Great day gentlemen
 
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Posted: #27
liking Spurs too, as they are 5-0-1 ats after a loss...just worried though as they may look ahead this game in preparation for their Christmas game against HOU...

 
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Posted: #28
Vegas will win today.  + 75% of the public money is very tempting. It's a good deal for them
 
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Posted: #29
with you on this. blowout game! bad situation for the raptors, tol much love for them. *handshake
 
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Posted: #30
Love the Spurs today, possibly my goy 
 
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Posted: #31
Is it too early to give the alleged 75% public side any weight? The public might be at 50% closer to game time. It may be wiser to wait it out.
 
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Posted: #32
This line is huge for a reason! I don't believe in Vegas gifts...
 
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Posted: #33
This is the best system I ever seen. + 81% W in 3 weeks!! WOW
 
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Posted: #34
Just waiting on the ref assignment but that looks like an awesome bet - especially after the raptors upset the same okc that beat the spurs on Saturday - spurs win largo
 
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Posted: #35
Hey Prestige,

Love the system, 81% is a fantastic hit.
I have no real massive data on this but I have also read that betting the over on the highest total for the days card if there are 4 games or more hits high percentages as well.
NBA Saturday was Pelicans @ Blazers (211.5) = over. 
NBA Friday was Nets @ 76ers (210.5) = over 
NBA Wednesday, Blazers @ Wolves: (213) = over
NBA Monday 76ers @ Nets (207.5) = Over
NBA Sunday Rockets @ Kings (213.5) = under
NBA Saturday Blazers @ 76ers (211.5) =  over
NBA Friday Rockets @ Warriors (210.5) = over
NBA Wednesday 76ers @ Wolves (210.5 = under
NBA Tuesday: Wolves @ Pistons: (205.5) = over
NBA Monday Clippers @ 76ers (208.5) = under
NBA Sunday Magic @ Rockets (204) = under

Obviously this is not enough data to go off because its just the last 11 days (with 4 games or more on the card) but it has been ok I guess for that short period of time.It has hit 7-4 = 63.63%
Not as high as your percentage but still better than 50%

 
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Posted: #36
hey, Prestige33, send you a friend request. have a question, think you can help 
 
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Posted: #37
hey, Prestige33, send you a friend request. have a question, think you can help 
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:

Hey Prestige,

Love the system, 81% is a fantastic hit.
I have no real massive data on this but I have also read that betting the over on the highest total for the days card if there are 4 games or more hits high percentages as well.
NBA Saturday was Pelicans @ Blazers (211.5) = over. 
NBA Friday was Nets @ 76ers (210.5) = over 
NBA Wednesday, Blazers @ Wolves: (213) = over
NBA Monday 76ers @ Nets (207.5) = Over
NBA Sunday Rockets @ Kings (213.5) = under
NBA Saturday Blazers @ 76ers (211.5) =  over
NBA Friday Rockets @ Warriors (210.5) = over
NBA Wednesday 76ers @ Wolves (210.5 = under
NBA Tuesday: Wolves @ Pistons: (205.5) = over
NBA Monday Clippers @ 76ers (208.5) = under
NBA Sunday Magic @ Rockets (204) = under

Obviously this is not enough data to go off because its just the last 11 days (with 4 games or more on the card) but it has been ok I guess for that short period of time.It has hit 7-4 = 63.63%
Not as high as your percentage but still better than 50%


Nice info.  I've used this as well but with under plays total of 188 below.
 
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Posted: #39
Yeah yeah boi ..... Already was on spurs after the OKC loss ... Now feeling better ur on same side ..... Funny how shizZZ work ... OKC beat spurs in Texas ... Then lose to raptors in OKC ... If all plays out right Now raptors  might get a beating by the spurs .
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by prestige33:

Vegas will win today.  + 75% of the public money is very tempting. It's a good deal for them

May i know where do you see those percentage of vegas???
 
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Posted: #41
I lost 95% of my bet this weekend l, die gambling 
 
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Posted: #42

Quote Originally Posted by prestige33:

This line is huge for a reason! I don't believe in Vegas gifts...

 

All I'm saying about your alleged 75% public is that at the time you posted, it was waaaay too early to use that percentage as a factor for supporting your conclusion about the month of December.  Its not really a public play if few people have had the chance to wager all on one side......but as we move closer to game time, if the alleged 75% holds up....it would be interesting nonetheless to see if this wager follows thru on your hopes. 

 
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Posted: #43
spurs is now public by 75%... prestige is good though, been following him for years. keep up the good work, bud.
 
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Posted: #44
The public money is now 55/45 on Spurs(-11.5)(bet365, pinaclesports, ...). Before TO will have 50/50 on this game. You will see I don't trust in sites who share the public money...
 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by itjunkie:

spurs is now public by 75%... prestige is good though, been following him for years. keep up the good work, bud.

Yes. On thespread.com we have 70% on Spurs, but I used different systems to find a real value of public bets

 
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Posted: #46
I think you present an interesting angle here but to imply that TOR is the public team in this situation is just incorrect. 

Furthermore it's well known that early bettors are often the sharps/professional players getting the best line early. If anything this would imply TOR is offering the best value. 
 
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Posted: #47
https://www.sportsinsights.com/betting-trends/nba-betting-trends/

Best public wagering data available. They have agreements with 5 or 6 offshore books who give them live bet data. Not consensus picks or anything of that nature.
 
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Posted: #48
For what it is worth the refs have the Raptors back tonight.

Tony Brown -- Home Team ATS - 4-14 -- As a favorite of 10+ points 0-5

Lauren Holtkamp -- Home Team ATS - 2-1

Dan Crawford (Lebron's Love slave -- https://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/miamiheat/post/_/id/14698/dan-crawford-the-heat-and-the-1-9-percent) -- Home team 11-10 -- As a favorite of 10+ points -- 2-4


 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by BainMasters:

I think you present an interesting angle here but to imply that TOR is the public team in this situation is just incorrect. 

Furthermore it's well known that early bettors are often the sharps/professional players getting the best line early. If anything this would imply TOR is offering the best value. 

+75% on the public money was on Toronto this morning.. Now is 46/54... Spurs will win by 18 points

 
 
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Posted: #50
Spurs win but will not cover they beat and covered 2 weeks ago in Toronto  
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