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WOW, total of 244 for Golden St. and Phoenix tomorrow?

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Legend
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Posted: #51
Is no one concerned that of the three games these teams have played this year, only one went over this total?

Previous games hit 215 (at PHO on 1/23), 259 (at GSW on 12/26), and 224 (at PHO on 10/30). Phoenix has shown an increased focus on defense with the insertion of Lopez into the starting lineup and they are coming off a back to back having to travel from home.




 
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Posted: #52

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Is no one concerned that of the three games these teams have played this year, only one went over this total?

Previous games hit 215 (at PHO on 1/23), 259 (at GSW on 12/26), and 224 (at PHO on 10/30). Phoenix has shown an increased focus on defense with the insertion of Lopez into the starting lineup and they are coming off a back to back having to travel from home.




 
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Posted: #53

Quote Originally Posted by XhuegoX:

if you like the over play 1H over.

 

Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game), average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) vs. a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) after 42+ games.
(28-7 since 1996.) (80%, +20.3 units. Rating = 3*)

 

 
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Posted: #54
246.5 now.
 
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Posted: #55
Also, remember GS only scored 9 in 4th against Portland.  They could always get tired.
 
Legend
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Posted: #56
This is interesting, I wonder how high this line could get. Could we see 250 by game time?
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by smokin376:

Definitely taking the under this game. They are trying to make it seem like the OVER is the play and there will be a nonstop scoring spree and it will not happen like that. Phoenix has been doing a lot better on the defensive side of the ball and they have also slowed down on scoring themselves. I know it was only last nights game, but a total of what? 180? when the hell do you ever see Phoenix hold an opponent to 87 pts? never?...how often do you see them score 93? never....They have been making unders left and right since the all star break....so after last nights game, your gonna try and tell me that there gonna score 64 more points the day after. I dont see it happening..I dont think so...I say pound the under harder than a fat vagina....


Teams playing below or above their averages are expected to return (barring any drastic change that would account for the higher or lower averages [which I don't think Lopez is])... so I have a good feeling PHX wants to get their stats back up just as much as their over backers... so play the OVER and don't pound anything. 
 
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Posted: #58
If you remember the last time the Suns played the Warriors at Oracle Arena in March - then you would agree with me that the total should be at least 260 - with Suns playing this same situation again B2B, it warrants the high total.


 
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Posted: #59

Vegas knows this is going to be out of control and can't set the line high enough...

I know this isn't hockey but when they set a high total of 6.5 in hockey (basically the highest they set), it's gone over 14 out of 15.

Vegas knows this is going way over and want to sucker people to the under

Should be fun to watch and I like the fact the Suns shot horribly yesterday for the over tonite.

 
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Posted: #60

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Is no one concerned that of the three games these teams have played this year, only one went over this total?

Previous games hit 215 (at PHO on 1/23), 259 (at GSW on 12/26), and 224 (at PHO on 10/30). Phoenix has shown an increased focus on defense with the insertion of Lopez into the starting lineup and they are coming off a back to back having to travel from home.




Yeah, Phoenix also plays a little defense this year

 
Legend
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Posted: #61
BUT Mikado, that game was played back in December when the Suns were still starting Frye. The insertion of Lopez into the starting line-up on January 18 has resulted in 12 overs and 17 unders for PHO since the change.
 
Legend
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Posted: #62
For anyone looking at the 1H total, Bookmaker has it at 124. The totals for the 1H in previous games were 115, 141, and 113.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #63
Why are you morons constantly thinking Vegas is trying to trick anyone into backing anything.
They aren't morons they don't gamble, the bookies get so much action that they just have to move the money against the action that's all they have to do, they don't trick they don't gamble, just set a line they feel gets the best action on both sides.
 
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Posted: #64
And most importantly they don't care abolut the result, nor do they need a specific result to win.
They win on each game, regardless.
 
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Posted: #65

Quote Originally Posted by fiire:

And most importantly they don't care abolut the result, nor do they need a specific result to win.
They win on each game, regardless.

no, they don't win on each game.........that is false

 
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Posted: #66
Agreed. A book will often let the action get out of hand on one side... especially if it's late public money. 
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

BUT Mikado, that game was played back in December when the Suns were still starting Frye. The insertion of Lopez into the starting line-up on January 18 has resulted in 12 overs and 17 unders for PHO since the change.


I'm talking last year in MARCH at ORACLE!!!

154-130?!?!  You don't remember!?!

This is one of those game where EXPERIENCE will win you the and thinking like a rookie or hobby handicapper and taking the UNDER based solely on the number will get you very badly.

Be careful is all I'm saying.  The people who have been burned before in this situation know what's up now when GSW and PHX play at Oracle at the end of the regular season.

 
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Posted: #68
I don't care about any stats from years past.  The public is obviously pounding this game over.  I am with smokin 376.  Phoenix played a very physical game last night with Portland.  I am taking Phoenix team total under 126.5.  I don't see them pushing the tempo with the Warriors.  They may score 280 who knows, but I look this situation for the under.  Hey Smokin, maybe we can cash that under and pound that fat vagina.
 
Legend
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Posted: #69
Mikado -- I don't understand how you can rely on stats/games from last year when anyone who has watched the Suns over the last month knows that their style of play has changed a little bit. Gone is the full tempo run and gun all the time type of play. Placing Lopez in the line-up was done solely for defensive reasons and since they put him in, they are at 12 overs and 17 unders. That has to be more relevant to this game then what happened last year. I mean, you are also ignoring the other two games they played this year that went way under this projected total?
 
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Posted: #70
Mikado -- also, a play based on EXPERIENCE of last March's game in Oracle would have led an experienced capper such as yourself to 1 win and 2 losses so far based on this number.


 
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Posted: #71

We have a "system" here with the NBA....Old-timers have been using this for years.....

FOLLOW THE LINESMAKERS.......

Take the OVER with the highest total send-out and take the UNDER with the lowest total send-out

Take a 2-team parlay, hit your plays for over 50% and you have a winning season.

Boring..........no thought to it whatsoever....but PROFITABLE

 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by VegasGourmet:

We have a "system" here with the NBA....Old-timers have been using this for years.....

FOLLOW THE LINESMAKERS.......

Take the OVER with the highest total send-out and take the UNDER with the lowest total send-out

Take a 2-team parlay, hit your plays for over 50% and you have a winning season.

Boring..........no thought to it whatsoever....but PROFITABLE

I'm curious if there is reliable data to what that parlay "REALLY" hits.  I guess simply looking at TOTALS archives this year in NBA would be easy enough to see....
FASCINATING STUFF, I'll take a look and see what that parlay % has hit for this year (2 team parlay)..
 
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Posted: #73
are you saying take the Under in Mia/NJ and the Over for GS/phx?  These were actually my leans anyhow.
 
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Posted: #74
243 now
 
 
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Posted: #75
243.5 ...
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