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10 Game Parlay to win 10K

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I-Got-5-On-It

Covers Rehab

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 22274

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 11:59 AM ET #26

@vanzack

an_shake

clover Jasondemz

Keep Calm and Bet 10 Play Over Parlays

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jasondemz

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 110

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 12:24 PM ET #27

@Dental

I incorporated the 1pm parlay and the 4pm parlay as er below to win $12500

Bengals ML and under 37

Vikings +3.5 and under 46

Jets +1.5

Tenn/Jax over 41.5

GB/Chicago under 45

Denver+3

KC/LAC under 35.5

Dallas/Wash over 46.5

Philly/NYG over 42

I did not parlay all 1pm recommendations into 1 parlay but my analysis says they are the suggested plays. 4pm as well.

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54288

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 12:29 PM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by Ravensfan2k3: Quote Originally Posted by KeyMaster: Vanzack is right, Play staright games, build a bankroll. If you feel the need to play arlays, play them with House money (your winnings only) Most of the people that come into this forum are just trying to pick more single game winners than losers let only parlays. Parlays are for suckers, you may hit a few and feel the exhilaration of hitting that Parlay but in the longrun playing parlays will grind you down and you will lose money. You need to hit 52.4% picking straight play winners to overcome the 10% standard vig in Football. You need to be perfect in your parlay. No disrespect intended, just speaking from 46 years of Sports Gambling experience. I do hope you hit it today!i agree overall, but the statement “10 team parlays are lottery tickets for grandmothers who want to pick their teams by using colors or mascots” was pretty disrespectful. Parlays are not impossible and I speak from personal experience. Parlays paid off my college tuition and bought me a new car as well as paid for vacations. Straight plays should definitely be the basis, but I wouldn’t downplay parlays like he did. OK, how about this.... 10 team parlays are for long term losers who don't understand probability and the difference between one time payouts and long term success. The OP seemed like a guy who puts time and effort in to this. I was trying to encourage him to not be a loser. But if you all insist, keep at it.

I think this is accurate in most regards. However, I think as long as you are well aware of the odds and are under no delusions of grandeur, then parlays have a place in one's betting arsenal. If sports betting isn't your main source of income, which is likely nearly 100% of bettors, then maintaining a bankroll for continued betting is goal #1.....making sure you can bet tomorrow.....If you find yourself needing to "go all in", thats a red flag .....this isn't poker and not a tournament.....Me, myself and I tend to use parlays like penny stocks....especially my UDMLPs.....I of course like action, but am not going to wager on 6 underdog MLs the same as a spread or total.....so I slice the bet way down and throw them together and round robin them....as long as the risk is minimal and the reward is substantial, I'm ok living with making a very unlikely to win wager....The worst stretches I've had in sports betting involved me not enjoying the process....So if you want to play parlays for the excitement and can still maintain a bankroll....and still have another source of income.....I dont think that makes you a loser....probably just slightly increases the odds of you being unprofitable long term.....which was already the most likely outcome.

peace_5

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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by Ravensfan2k3: Quote Originally Posted by KeyMaster: Vanzack is right, Play staright games, build a bankroll. If you feel the need to play arlays, play them with House money (your winnings only) Most of the people that come into this forum are just trying to pick more single game winners than losers let only parlays. Parlays are for suckers, you may hit a few and feel the exhilaration of hitting that Parlay but in the longrun playing parlays will grind you down and you will lose money. You need to hit 52.4% picking straight play winners to overcome the 10% standard vig in Football. You need to be perfect in your parlay. No disrespect intended, just speaking from 46 years of Sports Gambling experience. I do hope you hit it today!i agree overall, but the statement “10 team parlays are lottery tickets for grandmothers who want to pick their teams by using colors or mascots” was pretty disrespectful. Parlays are not impossible and I speak from personal experience. Parlays paid off my college tuition and bought me a new car as well as paid for vacations. Straight plays should definitely be the basis, but I wouldn’t downplay parlays like he did. OK, how about this.... 10 team parlays are for long term losers who don't understand probability and the difference between one time payouts and long term success. The OP seemed like a guy who puts time and effort in to this. I was trying to encourage him to not be a loser. But if you all insist, keep at it.

I think this is accurate in most regards. However, I think as long as you are well aware of the odds and are under no delusions of grandeur, then parlays have a place in one's betting arsenal. If sports betting isn't your main source of income, which is likely nearly 100% of bettors, then maintaining a bankroll for continued betting is goal #1.....making sure you can bet tomorrow.....If you find yourself needing to "go all in", thats a red flag .....this isn't poker and not a tournament.....Me, myself and I tend to use parlays like penny stocks....especially my UDMLPs.....I of course like action, but am not going to wager on 6 underdog MLs the same as a spread or total.....so I slice the bet way down and throw them together and round robin them....as long as the risk is minimal and the reward is substantial, I'm ok living with making a very unlikely to win wager....The worst stretches I've had in sports betting involved me not enjoying the process....So if you want to play parlays for the excitement and can still maintain a bankroll....and still have another source of income.....I dont think that makes you a loser....probably just slightly increases the odds of you being unprofitable long term.....which was already the most likely outcome.

peace_5

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 59683

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 12:42 PM ET #29

@TRAIN69

Ever know someone with potential that you encourage to stop doing self destructive behavior?

Thats all I was doing.

Jeesh.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

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TRAIN69

Legend

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 54288

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 1:01 PM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

@TRAIN69 Ever know someone with potential that you encourage to stop doing self destructive behavior? Thats all I was doing. Jeesh.

I know good sir. That post wasn't directed at you, but moreso at those that are going to do parlays regardless of good advice. peace_5

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otisxiii

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2021

Posts: 29

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 2:30 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

parlays have a place in one's betting arsenal.

Parlay lovers (who I curse every time I go to kiosks at a decent hour) want to portray 10 leg parlays as the same as any other, fine...how many posters here have hit a 10+ leg parlay? I don't even remember ever getting 10 straight bet wins (or losses) in a row.

Nothing unwise about 2 or 3 -110 legs if you're consistentlyish hitting 53+% with many picks, but you'll get raped by variance trying to win 4+ legs even if the legs hit 60%. You'd have to make like 800 4 leg parlays to overcome variance and get the full ~72.7% ROI you deserve by hitting 104 of those, but no one is going to hit on 60% of 3200 picks, are they. Wiser to try to hit the 30-50% ROI from 2-3 leg parlays, you think? If you're really that good and are hitting 60%. Or is increasing your roll by 30-50% every week unacceptable?

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Inblood

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2002

Posts: 2469

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 4:09 PM ET #32

Half way there an_blowhorn

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vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 59683

Posted: Jan. 7, 2024 - 7:36 PM ET #33

6-4

Pretty good day.

an_cheers

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

1

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10 Game Parlay to win 10K

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