W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3u W +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5u W+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10 u = 3 - 1 -11.5u
W +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3u
Pending:
1st LIVE BET, early 1stQ opening drive, KC ball: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3u 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5u 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u
1
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15:
W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3u W +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5u W+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10 u = 3 - 1 -11.5u
W +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3u
Pending:
1st LIVE BET, early 1stQ opening drive, KC ball: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3u 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5u 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u
As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years.
Packers as a roadie: Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched
Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams: 1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @Detroit Packers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp! They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score. They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!!
K'BOYS as a HOMIE Season: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched
K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB: 4 - 0 +50 pt. diff. -- win 20 - 19 vs Lions -- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles -- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks -- win 43 - 20 vs Rams
Another point: Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is Q PACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson.
Irrelevent stat: How these teams fared against each other in previous years.
Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close.
My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
2
GB @DALLAS
Key stats:
As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years.
Packers as a roadie: Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched
Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams: 1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @Detroit Packers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp! They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score. They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!!
K'BOYS as a HOMIE Season: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched
K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB: 4 - 0 +50 pt. diff. -- win 20 - 19 vs Lions -- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles -- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks -- win 43 - 20 vs Rams
Another point: Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is Q PACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson.
Irrelevent stat: How these teams fared against each other in previous years.
Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close.
W+3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3u W+3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5u W+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10u W+3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3u W+3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3u W+5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5u W+5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u
= 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
2
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15:
W+3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3u W+3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5u W+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10u W+3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3u W+3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3u W+5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5u W+5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u
As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years.
Packers as a roadie: Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched
Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams: 1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @Detroit Packers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp! They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score. They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!!
K'BOYS as a HOMIE Season: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched
K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB: 4 - 0 +50 pt. diff. -- win 20 - 19 vs Lions -- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles -- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks -- win 43 - 20 vs Rams
Another point: Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is Q PACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson.
Irrelevent stat: How these teams fared against each other in previous years.
Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close.
My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
2
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
GB @DALLAS
Key stats:
As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years.
Packers as a roadie: Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched
Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams: 1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @Detroit Packers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp! They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score. They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!!
K'BOYS as a HOMIE Season: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched
K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB: 4 - 0 +50 pt. diff. -- win 20 - 19 vs Lions -- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles -- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks -- win 43 - 20 vs Rams
Another point: Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is Q PACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson.
Irrelevent stat: How these teams fared against each other in previous years.
Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close.
My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to the PACKERS with an INT at Dallas 19
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS! That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to the PACKERS with an INT at Dallas 19
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB @DALLAS Key stats: As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years. Packers as a roadie:Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams:1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @DetroitPackers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp!They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score.They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!! K'BOYS as a HOMIESeason: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB:4 - 0 +50 pt. diff.-- win 20 - 19 vs Lions-- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles-- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks-- win 43 - 20 vs Rams Another point:Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to the PACKERS with an INT at Dallas 19
Packers lead 14 - 0 early 2Q...LIVE BET: Packers win 1h -695 *BB 3u
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB @DALLAS Key stats: As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years. Packers as a roadie:Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams:1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @DetroitPackers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp!They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score.They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!! K'BOYS as a HOMIESeason: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB:4 - 0 +50 pt. diff.-- win 20 - 19 vs Lions-- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles-- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks-- win 43 - 20 vs Rams Another point:Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB First BIG LUCKY BREAK goes to the PACKERS with an INT at Dallas 19
Packers lead 14 - 0 early 2Q...LIVE BET: Packers win 1h -695 *BB 3u
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
great start to playoffs !
"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
great start to playoffs !
"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!)
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!) great start to playoffs !
GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u
0
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!) great start to playoffs !
GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!) great start to playoffs !GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u
GB now leads 34 - 10. LUCK got them the huge lead but now that they have it I don't think they give up more than 2 TDs at worst...
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: WILDCARDS Jan 13-15: W +3.0 TEXANS +8.5 -400 *BB 3uW +3.0 HOUSTON +7.5 -350 3u L -27.50 BOTH TEAMS to score 20+? YES -550 5uW+10.0 LIVE BET hedge: Houston -30.5 -110 10uW +3.0 LIVE BET mid 1stQ; Dolphins to cover 1stQ +7.5 -370 *BB 3uW +3.0 1st LIVE BET,1stQ opening drive: CHIEFS -300 *BB 3uW +5.0 2nd LIVE BET: CHIEFS -350 5uW +5.0 3rd LIVE BET very late 1stQ: CHIEFS -565 *BB 5u = 7 - 1 (4 - 0 *Best Bets!) great start to playoffs !GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u
GB now leads 34 - 10. LUCK got them the huge lead but now that they have it I don't think they give up more than 2 TDs at worst...
GB Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su.
Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day.But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
GB lead now 41 - 16 late 3rd Q after yet another HUGE break!....no chance for Dallas comeback....they are bounced in the most unlikely fashion similar to what I suggested could happen above....
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
GB Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su.
Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day.But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB
GB lead now 41 - 16 late 3rd Q after yet another HUGE break!....no chance for Dallas comeback....they are bounced in the most unlikely fashion similar to what I suggested could happen above....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB @DALLAS Key stats: As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years. Packers as a roadie:Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams:1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @DetroitPackers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp!They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score.They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!! K'BOYS as a HOMIESeason: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB:4 - 0 +50 pt. diff.-- win 20 - 19 vs Lions-- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles-- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks-- win 43 - 20 vs Rams Another point:Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
3 BIG FAT LOSERS for -9.0 units
Worst playoff loss in Cowboy history.......and as a -7 home fav no less!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB @DALLAS Key stats: As I always say in this thread: "venue matters!" and this understanding is a key part of my handicapping success across all sports for nearly 30 years. Packers as a roadie:Season: 5 - 4 for +38 pt. diff, v. mediocre/weak sched Packers as a roadie v. playoff teams:1 - 0 for +7 pt. diff. @DetroitPackers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp!They benefitted from +3 net turnovers, one for a LUCKY scoop & score.They got another when the dumbass Lions tried an ill-advised fake punt from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!! K'BOYS as a HOMIESeason: 8 - 0 for +172 pt. diff v. mediocre sched K'BOYS as a HOMIE vs opps at least as good as GB:4 - 0 +50 pt. diff.-- win 20 - 19 vs Lions-- win 33 - 13 vs Eagles-- win 41 - 35 vs Seahawks-- win 43 - 20 vs Rams Another point:Packers recent 3 games might be misleading here. Consider who they faced! A combined record of just 16 - 35 narrowly beating weakass Carolina and Chicago. Prior to that they lost the weakass NYG and got embarrassed by Tampa in Green Bay! None of those 5 opps are impressive and neither was the Packers play. Their lone ROAD win v. a good opp (Detroit) was all LUCKY BREAKS!That's precisely what they need to defeat the very tough K'BOYS in Dallas. Without it they lose su. Or it is possible Dallas might experience a "one off" of incredible brainfarts and bad execution, while GB plays above their head. Unlikely but always a possibility. The line is right where it should be. Dallas is the superior team IN THIS VENUE. Key matchup likely to be whomever is trying to cover NFL leader CeeDee Lamb, as GB corner is QPACKERS expected to be without solid RB Dillon and may not have their top receiver Watson. Irrelevent stat:How these teams fared against each other in previous years. Caveat: Anything can happen on any given day. But I believe even if GB gain one net lucky break that won't be enough to get a win but might be enough to keep it close. My bets: K'BOYS -2.5 -280 *BB Adding K'BOYS -2.0 -300 *BB and K'BOYS -1.5 -320 *BB
3 BIG FAT LOSERS for -9.0 units
Worst playoff loss in Cowboy history.......and as a -7 home fav no less!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u WINNER #2! for +3 unitsGame 2, mid 1stQ, Detroit lead 7 - 0, Rams ball... LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 15+? Yes -450 2u
LIVE BET with FGA pending.... 1stQ UNDER 10.5 -135 2u
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u WINNER #2! for +3 unitsGame 2, mid 1stQ, Detroit lead 7 - 0, Rams ball... LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 15+? Yes -450 2u
LIVE BET with FGA pending.... 1stQ UNDER 10.5 -135 2u
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u WINNER #2! for +3 unitsGame 2, mid 1stQ, Detroit lead 7 - 0, Rams ball... LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 15+? Yes -450 2u
LIVE BET with FGA pending.... 1stQ UNDER 10.5 -135 2u
BIG FAT LOSER in like 1 minute -2.7u
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GB lead 27 - 7 early 3rdQ LIVE BET: Dallas +16.5 -250 *BB 3u WINNER #2! for +3 unitsGame 2, mid 1stQ, Detroit lead 7 - 0, Rams ball... LIVE BET: BOTH teams to score 15+? Yes -450 2u
LIVE BET with FGA pending.... 1stQ UNDER 10.5 -135 2u
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Packers got bigtime LUCKY in their only ROAD game v. a top quality opp!
from their own 23 and failed. Definitely not an impressive win whatsoever! Without those fortuitous lucky breaks, Packers would not even be in the playoffs!!!!
for +3 units
for +3 units
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