When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins: Week 11: 7 - 1 su Week 12: 6 - 3 su Week 13: 10 - 1 su Week 14: 7 - 1 su Week 15: 9 - 1 su Week 16: 6 - 2 su
>>>>> = 45 - 9 su ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )
I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame.
This week my handicapping sheets have the following "circled" as having MASSIVE edges over their weaker opponent towards a SU win:
WIN su Chargers (already won Saturday)
WIN su Bills
Failure Colts
WIN su Eagles
WIN su Bucs
WIN su Commandos
WIN su Lions
>>>>> = 51 - 10 su and 37 - 21 - 2 ATS!
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When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins: Week 11: 7 - 1 su Week 12: 6 - 3 su Week 13: 10 - 1 su Week 14: 7 - 1 su Week 15: 9 - 1 su Week 16: 6 - 2 su
>>>>> = 45 - 9 su ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )
I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame.
This week my handicapping sheets have the following "circled" as having MASSIVE edges over their weaker opponent towards a SU win:
It sure seems to me the books are either trying to fish S.F plays with this .5 deal like will that make a difference?
I'm doubting it because yes Detroit has already clinched a playoff berth this game has revenge on it? How much will Campbell push really? They have a bug game coming up next.
It's looking like a over 49.5 with a Lions -3.5 all night long but no way in heck are the books going to get swept out on this one? Looks like everyone on Detroit here and rightfully so and lots of scoring?
If S.F pulls it out the books will be bank bigtime? It's a Lions win all over it. JMO
@Trustme99
Good calls!
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Quote Originally Posted by Trustme99:
It sure seems to me the books are either trying to fish S.F plays with this .5 deal like will that make a difference?
I'm doubting it because yes Detroit has already clinched a playoff berth this game has revenge on it? How much will Campbell push really? They have a bug game coming up next.
It's looking like a over 49.5 with a Lions -3.5 all night long but no way in heck are the books going to get swept out on this one? Looks like everyone on Detroit here and rightfully so and lots of scoring?
If S.F pulls it out the books will be bank bigtime? It's a Lions win all over it. JMO
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: How motivated will the 49ers be now.... ? Tough to judge. Guessing doesn't help... Dan Campbell put his staters playing a meaningless game for entire 60 minutes, granted he kept his words on playing with his starting squad. But he is risking his key players' injury and fatigue. Also his team is coming back from the west coast with a short week to face Vikings with an extra day of rest in next week's showdown. It doesn't look very clever to me,
what's your take on the next MIN/DET game?
@Europa
Yeah, he took a risk for sure when the game that matters most is next Sunday night.
As for the marquee matchup of the week next Sunday night, I may be leaning LIONS since they seem to have escaped injury (luckily!) and are getting a bit healthier....They'll be on HOME TURF, which is key, as the stadium will be packed (indoors) Fans that night likely to play a roll for lions.
VIKES are 1 - 1 ON THE ROAD @ teams with at least 10 wins and 2 - 2 overall.
LIONS are 2 - 1 on HOMEFIELD vs teams with at least 10 wins and 4 - 1 overall.
*LIONS are +200 pt differential
*VIKES are +122 pt differential
To achieve those pt diff stats which favor the LIONS:
LIONS have played 8 true road games
while VIKES have only played 7 true road games
and
VIKES have faced 6 teams with winning records.
but LIONS had to face 8 teams with winning records!
and
VIKES pt. differential ON THE ROAD is +35 (7 true road; facing only 3 winning teams)
LIONS pt. differential at HOME is +99 (8 home; facing 5 winning teams!! )
Fair edge to LIONS.....Should be -4.5 favs!
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Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: How motivated will the 49ers be now.... ? Tough to judge. Guessing doesn't help... Dan Campbell put his staters playing a meaningless game for entire 60 minutes, granted he kept his words on playing with his starting squad. But he is risking his key players' injury and fatigue. Also his team is coming back from the west coast with a short week to face Vikings with an extra day of rest in next week's showdown. It doesn't look very clever to me,
what's your take on the next MIN/DET game?
@Europa
Yeah, he took a risk for sure when the game that matters most is next Sunday night.
As for the marquee matchup of the week next Sunday night, I may be leaning LIONS since they seem to have escaped injury (luckily!) and are getting a bit healthier....They'll be on HOME TURF, which is key, as the stadium will be packed (indoors) Fans that night likely to play a roll for lions.
VIKES are 1 - 1 ON THE ROAD @ teams with at least 10 wins and 2 - 2 overall.
LIONS are 2 - 1 on HOMEFIELD vs teams with at least 10 wins and 4 - 1 overall.
*LIONS are +200 pt differential
*VIKES are +122 pt differential
To achieve those pt diff stats which favor the LIONS:
LIONS have played 8 true road games
while VIKES have only played 7 true road games
and
VIKES have faced 6 teams with winning records.
but LIONS had to face 8 teams with winning records!
and
VIKES pt. differential ON THE ROAD is +35 (7 true road; facing only 3 winning teams)
LIONS pt. differential at HOME is +99 (8 home; facing 5 winning teams!! )
ESPN - FRISCO, Texas -- Ezekiel Elliott's return to the Dallas Cowboys is over with one game left to play.
The Cowboys made the move now to give Elliott, 29, a chance to join a playoff contender if he clears waivers.
"Out of respect and appreciation for Zeke and wanting to provide him with an opportunity to pursue any potential playoff participation possible, we are releasing him from the Cowboys roster today," Cowboys owner and general manager Jerry Jones said in a statement. "As I have said many times previously, Zeke's impact as one of the greatest to ever play with the Star on their helmet will never change and is etched in our record books and history forever. We thank him, love him and wish him the absolute best."
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Class move!
ESPN - FRISCO, Texas -- Ezekiel Elliott's return to the Dallas Cowboys is over with one game left to play.
The Cowboys made the move now to give Elliott, 29, a chance to join a playoff contender if he clears waivers.
"Out of respect and appreciation for Zeke and wanting to provide him with an opportunity to pursue any potential playoff participation possible, we are releasing him from the Cowboys roster today," Cowboys owner and general manager Jerry Jones said in a statement. "As I have said many times previously, Zeke's impact as one of the greatest to ever play with the Star on their helmet will never change and is etched in our record books and history forever. We thank him, love him and wish him the absolute best."
RAVENS will win of course..... and they are quite capable of winning by 3 TDs......we all know this.
But will they?
I mean, once they get up HUGE in the game - with the playoffs next week - wouldn't they sit most of their starters and cost the 2nd half or at least the 4th Q -- thus leaving it open for a backdoor cover which would be meaningless to them....
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RAVENS will win of course..... and they are quite capable of winning by 3 TDs......we all know this.
But will they?
I mean, once they get up HUGE in the game - with the playoffs next week - wouldn't they sit most of their starters and cost the 2nd half or at least the 4th Q -- thus leaving it open for a backdoor cover which would be meaningless to them....
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This week my handicapping sheets have the following "circled" as having MASSIVE edges over their weaker opponent towards a SU win:
and 37 - 21 - 2 ATS!
Fair edge to LIONS.....Should be -4.5 favs!
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