Brian Johnson going to his playbook in Utah. It’s working they might do this all game. I might take some more at half on minn for a late back door cover
@bct-utah
Hope you did!!!
In my capping for next week I will likely evaluate the strengths of the teams in this game as DEAD EVEN, but obviously swung toward EAGLES because of the lucky breaks. This is regardless how much they win by. Vikes are still outplaying Eagles offensively with a significant margin in ypp, but the lucky breaks gave the Eagles extra drives and thus more yards and points. The final score is very unlikely to be indicative of the play - minus the lucky breaks!
Take away the unfortunate breaks and the Vikes O is still a serious threat to force a backdoor cover!
Brian Johnson going to his playbook in Utah. It’s working they might do this all game. I might take some more at half on minn for a late back door cover
@bct-utah
Hope you did!!!
In my capping for next week I will likely evaluate the strengths of the teams in this game as DEAD EVEN, but obviously swung toward EAGLES because of the lucky breaks. This is regardless how much they win by. Vikes are still outplaying Eagles offensively with a significant margin in ypp, but the lucky breaks gave the Eagles extra drives and thus more yards and points. The final score is very unlikely to be indicative of the play - minus the lucky breaks!
Take away the unfortunate breaks and the Vikes O is still a serious threat to force a backdoor cover!
Star defensive tackle for CHIEFS, Jones is back and eager to leave his mark in Jackxonville. I EXPECT very inspired play from him, since he knows he's let the team down by being a holdout. They gave him what he wanted for his side of the deal, now HE MUST RETURN THE FAVOR......
He should be a difference maker to some degree, but of course this assumes he doesn't get injured......
Star defensive tackle for CHIEFS, Jones is back and eager to leave his mark in Jackxonville. I EXPECT very inspired play from him, since he knows he's let the team down by being a holdout. They gave him what he wanted for his side of the deal, now HE MUST RETURN THE FAVOR......
He should be a difference maker to some degree, but of course this assumes he doesn't get injured......
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Leans I am investigating pending injury status.... Falcons Raiders Bengals Lions Bucs With my style of handicapping I find the first two weeks to be basically a crap shoot.... Week 1 is totally unknown. No performances on which to assess. Just guessing. Then in week 2 is the difficulty of assessing whether their week 1 performances were a/ indicative, or b/ a "one-off" .....which also comes down to guesswork with extremely limited facts.
My week 2 "leans" are based on assuming everything we saw last week was all completely "indicative" (ie, their true and expected level of performance against that quality of opp and in that particular venue)
But are they all?
Were some good performances (or bad performances) a "one-off" or an "illusion" that's going to bite us hard if we dare to think the team really is THAT good (or THAT bad) ????
Packers offense looked very mediocre last week to me, but their defense looked great! Mind you they were facing daaaaa Bears - who looked awful much of the time....
Which one is the illusion? And how objective can we be with only ONE GAME performance?
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Leans I am investigating pending injury status.... Falcons Raiders Bengals Lions Bucs With my style of handicapping I find the first two weeks to be basically a crap shoot.... Week 1 is totally unknown. No performances on which to assess. Just guessing. Then in week 2 is the difficulty of assessing whether their week 1 performances were a/ indicative, or b/ a "one-off" .....which also comes down to guesswork with extremely limited facts.
My week 2 "leans" are based on assuming everything we saw last week was all completely "indicative" (ie, their true and expected level of performance against that quality of opp and in that particular venue)
But are they all?
Were some good performances (or bad performances) a "one-off" or an "illusion" that's going to bite us hard if we dare to think the team really is THAT good (or THAT bad) ????
Packers offense looked very mediocre last week to me, but their defense looked great! Mind you they were facing daaaaa Bears - who looked awful much of the time....
Which one is the illusion? And how objective can we be with only ONE GAME performance?
Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur.
My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen.
The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB!
Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity.....
Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that.
Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur.
My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen.
The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB!
Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity.....
Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur. My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen. The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB! Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity..... Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that.
My bet: duh Raaayyyyduhs to cover +8 -120 (note: not a *Best bet)
And in less than 3 mins, duh Raaaayyyyduhs quickly march downfield and score an EARNED TD....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur. My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen. The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB! Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity..... Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that.
My bet: duh Raaayyyyduhs to cover +8 -120 (note: not a *Best bet)
And in less than 3 mins, duh Raaaayyyyduhs quickly march downfield and score an EARNED TD....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur. My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen. The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB! Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity..... Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that. My bet: duh Raaayyyyduhs to cover +8 -120 (note: not a *Best bet) And in less than 3 mins, duh Raaaayyyyduhs quickly march downfield and score an EARNED TD....
BILLS gain a very lucky tipped ball INT at the 28......any score here will be UNearned.....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Dog bettors won the day in week 1, and that seems logical to recur. My best guess at being objective (no biases) is that the BILLS are definitely NOT as bad as we all witnessed last MNF. No way. They will turn it around for sure, but WHEN? and by HOW MUCH? remains to be seen. The Raiders otoh looked decent on the road last week in Denver. They were dogs and not only covered but WON outright, despite one net turnover against them. Garoppolo looked good and that is not out of sync for him. He's a very decent QB! Josh Allen and the BILLS **will** reduce mistakes and play better, but 8 pts is a LOT to cover in a league of such parity..... Bills win more than likely, but no way I would risk laying -350 ML after just one performance and a BAD one at that. My bet: duh Raaayyyyduhs to cover +8 -120 (note: not a *Best bet) And in less than 3 mins, duh Raaaayyyyduhs quickly march downfield and score an EARNED TD....
BILLS gain a very lucky tipped ball INT at the 28......any score here will be UNearned.....
Tampa was fortunate to win in Minnesota last week, new QB and all. But I think they know that too. They need to improve and with a new QB we can expect that every week, albeit in small doses is likely. Bears were exposed by a very aggressive Packer front 7. Tampa has the tapes..... Bears not a good team.........Bucs aren't maybe much better but likely slightly better and at home. BUCS -135 Lions -215
BUCS vastly outplaying Bears in 13 - 10 BUCS lead at HT
292 yds to 114 albeit one extra drive
7.5 ypp vs just 5.4 ypp
Mayfield outperforming Fields
Blocked FG stopped BUCS from being up 6, as the performances indicate
Tampa was fortunate to win in Minnesota last week, new QB and all. But I think they know that too. They need to improve and with a new QB we can expect that every week, albeit in small doses is likely. Bears were exposed by a very aggressive Packer front 7. Tampa has the tapes..... Bears not a good team.........Bucs aren't maybe much better but likely slightly better and at home. BUCS -135 Lions -215
BUCS vastly outplaying Bears in 13 - 10 BUCS lead at HT
292 yds to 114 albeit one extra drive
7.5 ypp vs just 5.4 ypp
Mayfield outperforming Fields
Blocked FG stopped BUCS from being up 6, as the performances indicate
In Detroit, the LIONS have EARNED a 14 - 7 lead, by outplaying the Seahawks. DESPITE A LOST FUMBLE.... Lions a whopping 8.2 ypp vs 5.6 ypp and LIONS 230 yds to only 184
HOLY SHT!! First play after the KO and LIONS fumble at 20.......LUCKY Seahawks.........unearned TD to tie it.....
In Detroit, the LIONS have EARNED a 14 - 7 lead, by outplaying the Seahawks. DESPITE A LOST FUMBLE.... Lions a whopping 8.2 ypp vs 5.6 ypp and LIONS 230 yds to only 184
HOLY SHT!! First play after the KO and LIONS fumble at 20.......LUCKY Seahawks.........unearned TD to tie it.....
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