Fellow DeGens,
Well...The "COVID" has taken the prop slate down a bit.
Playing more props than usual this week just because I'm up, so taking more chances FYI
KEY: ADV - refers to PFF matchup advantage over DB/LB/S coverage
BETS IN
Calvin Ridley OVER 78.5 Rec Yards
-YES, seems like alot of yards But he has thrived with no Jones
-Posted a BIG goose egg last game and "bounce back factor"
-BEST STAT: with jones out here is target share 24%(overall targets), 50% (deep targets)
-PFF 33% Matchup ADV over CB Donte Jackson
Tyreek Hill OVER 70.5 Rec Yards
-Has been on fire lately and thinking one past gets 40+ here
-Projections have him crushing yards in this spot
-BEST STAT: PFF 51% ADV over CB Joyner
Darren Waller OVER 59.5 Rec Yards
-Going back to the Waller well, dont like doing it 2 weeks in a row BUT a juicy gameflow type play
-TARGET MONSTER: Last week lead the team with 12
-BEST STAT: In 2019 had no problem against KC 6-63 & 7-100
Joe Mixon OVER 21.5 Rec Yards - WARNING TAKING A SHOT HERE
-Gameflow type play and will be sweating this one
-Has surpassed this total by a mile twice this year (30,40)
-Think earlier in the year, they kept him back to block more as burrow got comfortable
George Kittle OVER 5.5 Receptions Yards (did pay -145 for this, not normal but love the play)
-TARGET MONSTER: Kittle caught all of his 15 targets last week
-With current injuries offense has to play small ball
-BEST STAT:48% ADV over S Eric Rowe
HAVE MORE AND WILL UPDATE AS THEY COME OUT