5* Cleveland/GB under 34
These two teams kicked-off their '09 pre-season campaign against each other. The Pack won 17-0. The under is 8-1 in the 1st game of the pre-season for the Packers (including last year vs the Browns). Granted after game 1, The pre-season Pack has cashed the Over 75% of their pre-season games. There's a good reason for the under coming in on Week 1. Cuts have to be made, so the lesser talent gets more play time as they battle for a job. The under is the solid play.
2* Hou/Az under 33'
Similar situation from above apply's here but these teams have been known to cash a majority of overs in pre-season - just not in Week 1. We also have a non-conference Away Fave that has seen the under come in over two-thirds of the time. Not as much value as we're getting in Cleve/GB, but enough for a small play.
2* Minnesota +3 -120
Public is jumping all over St Louis tonight as they factor that the starters - including the young QB getting a lot of reps. Still, top to bottom, Minny is a much better team with more depth. Both teams went 3-1 in pre-season last year but the Vikes are 6-2 on the road under Childress. Have to buy the half point and back the much better team.
2* Chicago Bears +3
3* CHI/S.D. OVER 33'
Have plays on both the side and total here. Believe it or not the last 5 Chicago pre-season openers have gone over the total. San Diego has some roster moves and the game plan of both coaches working the talent gives us some good value on a contrarian play here and take the over. As far as the side play, The Bears are 5-3 ATS on the road in pre-season. Under Turner, the Chargers are 5-10 ATS as home faves. Bears pus the points and the over are the two plays.
Went 2-0 last night; winning our 4 star Jag play and 3-star Atlanta play. Currently, 3-1 +8.8 units in the pre-season.
Thanks and Good Investing
gl
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