BEST of HEALTH,WEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL!!
Strongly believe investing in season long and weekly player props is "much easier" than beating the sharp oddsmakers against the spread or game total....
In this thread I will post all my skill player statistical forecasts along with season long player prop futures investments....
Please keep in mind the forecasts will change throughout the preseason leading up to week 1 kickoff ...
My fantasy football drafts are August 28th and September 2nd ...Both Leagues are full PPR , 12 owners ...The 2nd draft features 2 starters at flex ....This thread will include my rankings , strategies, and complete draft results
Please feel free to ask or discuss any player here in this thread
Anyways
Enough RAMBLING
Let's get to GAMBLING
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
What's up FAMILY
BEST of HEALTH,WEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL!!
Strongly believe investing in season long and weekly player props is "much easier" than beating the sharp oddsmakers against the spread or game total....
In this thread I will post all my skill player statistical forecasts along with season long player prop futures investments....
Please keep in mind the forecasts will change throughout the preseason leading up to week 1 kickoff ...
My fantasy football drafts are August 28th and September 2nd ...Both Leagues are full PPR , 12 owners ...The 2nd draft features 2 starters at flex ....This thread will include my rankings , strategies, and complete draft results
Please feel free to ask or discuss any player here in this thread
GABE DAVIS BUFFALO BILLS OVER 799.5 RECIEVING YARDS -125 ( BetMGM) *must play week 1 for wager to be valid
$1000/$800. ( To WIN 4 Units)
Nice value wirh several other books having Davis at OVER 875.5 ....
This is currently my favorite player prop on the board ..
Gabe AKA Mr. Perimeter is fresh off one of the greatest recieving playoff games in NFL history ( 8 catches 201 yards 4 TD ) ...With Manny Sanders and Beasley gone DAVIS should catch at least 20+ more passes than he did last year ...My current predictions are anywhere from 55-70+ catches for 885-1120+ yards....Davis comes into camp In the best shape of his life, bulking up with 10+ lbs of added muscle ....Never underestimate a young WR playing for a mega contract in a great passing offense. ( This will be Gabe's 3rd NFL season )
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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GABE DAVIS BUFFALO BILLS OVER 799.5 RECIEVING YARDS -125 ( BetMGM) *must play week 1 for wager to be valid
$1000/$800. ( To WIN 4 Units)
Nice value wirh several other books having Davis at OVER 875.5 ....
This is currently my favorite player prop on the board ..
Gabe AKA Mr. Perimeter is fresh off one of the greatest recieving playoff games in NFL history ( 8 catches 201 yards 4 TD ) ...With Manny Sanders and Beasley gone DAVIS should catch at least 20+ more passes than he did last year ...My current predictions are anywhere from 55-70+ catches for 885-1120+ yards....Davis comes into camp In the best shape of his life, bulking up with 10+ lbs of added muscle ....Never underestimate a young WR playing for a mega contract in a great passing offense. ( This will be Gabe's 3rd NFL season )
AJ DILLION TO LEAD LEAGUE IN RUSHING TD +4000. ( Fun longshot wager )
$50/2000
Aaron Jones should be heavily involved in the passing game ( he sure was when D Adams was out of the lineup last year ) , would imagine Dillion will see a steady increase in carries as the season goes on ...Dillon is a monster and should recieve most of the touches inside the 5 yard line ...
Don't laugh but MADDEN 22 had Dillion scoring 9+ TDS in 2023 in 62%+ of the franchise simulations ....
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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AJ DILLON OVER 5.5 RUSHING TD -120
$420/350. 1.75 UNITS
AJ DILLION TO LEAD LEAGUE IN RUSHING TD +4000. ( Fun longshot wager )
$50/2000
Aaron Jones should be heavily involved in the passing game ( he sure was when D Adams was out of the lineup last year ) , would imagine Dillion will see a steady increase in carries as the season goes on ...Dillon is a monster and should recieve most of the touches inside the 5 yard line ...
Don't laugh but MADDEN 22 had Dillion scoring 9+ TDS in 2023 in 62%+ of the franchise simulations ....
NEVER , NEVER , NEVER , NEVER SELECT a QB in the FIRST 2 ROUNDS ( Even drafting a QB in the 3rd round is possibly a stretch..
..........Currently based on Average Draft position, and the 47+ mock drafts I've already done,,QB 1 is JOSH ALLEN who has been selected from picks 13-22 overall ( 2nd round
..MAHOMES and HERBERT are usually 3rd rounders.....While all 3 should have very good seasons , I'd much rather Draft FLEX( RB/WR/TE) players early.....If anyone besides those 3 goes before the 4th round someone messed up IMO ...
TIPS
TIP #1 = HOLD OFF on a QB as LONG as you can!!!
KEEP IN MIND AARON RODGERS is currently being drafted as QB# 11 TOM BRADY is QB #10 ...Both usually go in the 7th-9th rounds ......Why rush on QB ???? So many solid ones all the way down the board past the half way point of the draft ..
TIP #2 . If you wait until the 10th+ round to take a QB , taking 3 of them is a good idea ( Rounds 10-13) .Odds are at least one of them will end up being a TOP 10 QB ... Obviously You'll already be deep at RB and WR ( Hopefully have a solid TE as well ) ....
TIP #3. If you take a QB in rounds 3-6 I'd recommend you hold off until rounds 12-15 to take your 2nd one....Only need 2 in this scenario....
TIP 4. If you can package your backup qb in a 2 for 1 trade during the season for a decent flex player who you might start , do it immediately!!! You'll be able to find another spot starter through free agency.
* average Draft position and my current rankings to follow
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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QUARTERBACKS. ( Fantasy Football )
RULE #1
NEVER , NEVER , NEVER , NEVER SELECT a QB in the FIRST 2 ROUNDS ( Even drafting a QB in the 3rd round is possibly a stretch..
..........Currently based on Average Draft position, and the 47+ mock drafts I've already done,,QB 1 is JOSH ALLEN who has been selected from picks 13-22 overall ( 2nd round
..MAHOMES and HERBERT are usually 3rd rounders.....While all 3 should have very good seasons , I'd much rather Draft FLEX( RB/WR/TE) players early.....If anyone besides those 3 goes before the 4th round someone messed up IMO ...
TIPS
TIP #1 = HOLD OFF on a QB as LONG as you can!!!
KEEP IN MIND AARON RODGERS is currently being drafted as QB# 11 TOM BRADY is QB #10 ...Both usually go in the 7th-9th rounds ......Why rush on QB ???? So many solid ones all the way down the board past the half way point of the draft ..
TIP #2 . If you wait until the 10th+ round to take a QB , taking 3 of them is a good idea ( Rounds 10-13) .Odds are at least one of them will end up being a TOP 10 QB ... Obviously You'll already be deep at RB and WR ( Hopefully have a solid TE as well ) ....
TIP #3. If you take a QB in rounds 3-6 I'd recommend you hold off until rounds 12-15 to take your 2nd one....Only need 2 in this scenario....
TIP 4. If you can package your backup qb in a 2 for 1 trade during the season for a decent flex player who you might start , do it immediately!!! You'll be able to find another spot starter through free agency.
* average Draft position and my current rankings to follow
Exactly!! 2 separate drafts. Like I said, last year was my first year ever doing fantasy football. I followed much of your advice with a second place finish. Should have been first…
Watching football on Sunday is so much more fun being in a fantasy league!!
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@DoubleUp4Life
Exactly!! 2 separate drafts. Like I said, last year was my first year ever doing fantasy football. I followed much of your advice with a second place finish. Should have been first…
Watching football on Sunday is so much more fun being in a fantasy league!!
I've done roughly 500 money league drafts so far. Everything from micro stakes to nose bleeds and in between. I'm not drafting too many qb's early. Hard fading Murray and Lance. Trying to get some ownership among the rest. At the highest levels the top 10 qb order at the moment.
1. Allen
2. Herbert
3. Jackson
4. Mahomes
5. Murray
6. Hurts
7. Burrow
8. Lance
9. Wilson
10. Brady
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I've done roughly 500 money league drafts so far. Everything from micro stakes to nose bleeds and in between. I'm not drafting too many qb's early. Hard fading Murray and Lance. Trying to get some ownership among the rest. At the highest levels the top 10 qb order at the moment.
@CaseyMcGehee Really appreciate you posting above ...Shocked Lance is going before Wilson, Brady , or even Rodgers .... Do you have any pay leagues you can recommend online?? Looking for another full season league , not into daily fantasy ...
For best ball Underdog Fantasy is best. Relatively low rake, deposit bonus but its a low limit. Great for low risk high return type of lineups. They also had some high roller ones but don't have any up at the moment. Agree Lance shouldn't be going above any of those guys. I have him at qb 12-13 so I can't justify drafting him. You get a good amount of casuals on there too.
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Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
@CaseyMcGehee Really appreciate you posting above ...Shocked Lance is going before Wilson, Brady , or even Rodgers .... Do you have any pay leagues you can recommend online?? Looking for another full season league , not into daily fantasy ...
For best ball Underdog Fantasy is best. Relatively low rake, deposit bonus but its a low limit. Great for low risk high return type of lineups. They also had some high roller ones but don't have any up at the moment. Agree Lance shouldn't be going above any of those guys. I have him at qb 12-13 so I can't justify drafting him. You get a good amount of casuals on there too.
Appreciate the tip on the best ball site...Was looking for something low risk , sounds perfect...Already spending a bunch on 4 teams in 2 drafts ( my son and I) ...
I'm often wrong on young qbs , Lance will probably out perform his ADP and prove me wrong ....
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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@CaseyMcGehee
Appreciate the tip on the best ball site...Was looking for something low risk , sounds perfect...Already spending a bunch on 4 teams in 2 drafts ( my son and I) ...
I'm often wrong on young qbs , Lance will probably out perform his ADP and prove me wrong ....
GABE DAVIS BUFFALO BILLS OVER 799.5 RECIEVING YARDS -125 ( BetMGM) *must play week 1 for wager to be valid $1000/$800. ( To WIN 4 Units) Nice value wirh several other books having Davis at OVER 875.5 .... This is currently my favorite player prop on the board .. Gabe AKA Mr. Perimeter is fresh off one of the greatest recieving playoff games in NFL history ( 8 catches 201 yards 4 TD ) ...With Manny Sanders and Beasley gone DAVIS should catch at least 20+ more passes than he did last year ...My current predictions are anywhere from 55-70+ catches for 885-1120+ yards....Davis comes into camp In the best shape of his life, bulking up with 10+ lbs of added muscle ....Never underestimate a young WR playing for a mega contract in a great passing offense. ( This will be Gabe's 3rd NFL season )
Adding another $1000 to win $800 on GABE DAVIS over 799.5 ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:
GABE DAVIS BUFFALO BILLS OVER 799.5 RECIEVING YARDS -125 ( BetMGM) *must play week 1 for wager to be valid $1000/$800. ( To WIN 4 Units) Nice value wirh several other books having Davis at OVER 875.5 .... This is currently my favorite player prop on the board .. Gabe AKA Mr. Perimeter is fresh off one of the greatest recieving playoff games in NFL history ( 8 catches 201 yards 4 TD ) ...With Manny Sanders and Beasley gone DAVIS should catch at least 20+ more passes than he did last year ...My current predictions are anywhere from 55-70+ catches for 885-1120+ yards....Davis comes into camp In the best shape of his life, bulking up with 10+ lbs of added muscle ....Never underestimate a young WR playing for a mega contract in a great passing offense. ( This will be Gabe's 3rd NFL season )
Adding another $1000 to win $800 on GABE DAVIS over 799.5 ...
He'll likely be a backup to Isaiah McKenzie in the slot ..McKenzie had a fantastic camp , Allen and rhe staff have commented that McKenzie had the best camp of any of the wrs ....Crowder played yesterday with all the 2nd stringers in the preseason game while all the starters sat the game out ..
..Diggs and Davis will start on the outside....
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by demboyz88:
@DoubleUp4Life what about crowder
He'll likely be a backup to Isaiah McKenzie in the slot ..McKenzie had a fantastic camp , Allen and rhe staff have commented that McKenzie had the best camp of any of the wrs ....Crowder played yesterday with all the 2nd stringers in the preseason game while all the starters sat the game out ..
I’ve won several big money fantasy leagues ($1000) entry.. never take a WB before 5 th round and mostly 8-9 th round.. one year I got Russell Wilson ( the year he ran for 800 yards) that late.. RB’s in first few rounds.. maybe a reliable WR…
Main thing is look forward not backward and what teams have great offenses, bad defenses
If anyone has an opening in a high dollar league let me know.
I think you’re underestimating Cousins.. O’Connell’s going to open it up
Lance is being way over drafted also
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I’ve won several big money fantasy leagues ($1000) entry.. never take a WB before 5 th round and mostly 8-9 th round.. one year I got Russell Wilson ( the year he ran for 800 yards) that late.. RB’s in first few rounds.. maybe a reliable WR…
Main thing is look forward not backward and what teams have great offenses, bad defenses
If anyone has an opening in a high dollar league let me know.
I think you’re underestimating Cousins.. O’Connell’s going to open it up
@DoubleUp4Life I like that bet! are you going to go after him hard in the draft?
Probably not since half the owners in my leagues are Buffalo Homers who will likely draft him way earlier than he should go ...
I'm interested in MCKENZIE in the later rounds , think he is a big upgrade in quickness over Beasley In the slot....He was lethal in that 2nd Patriots game when the BILLS featured him.....
Sorry for the delay posting my RB/WR/TE rankings ...Should have RB'S up by Tuesday.( working on them daily )
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by LoveCFB1_:
@DoubleUp4Life I like that bet! are you going to go after him hard in the draft?
Probably not since half the owners in my leagues are Buffalo Homers who will likely draft him way earlier than he should go ...
I'm interested in MCKENZIE in the later rounds , think he is a big upgrade in quickness over Beasley In the slot....He was lethal in that 2nd Patriots game when the BILLS featured him.....
Sorry for the delay posting my RB/WR/TE rankings ...Should have RB'S up by Tuesday.( working on them daily )
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is "much easier" than beating the sharp oddsmakers against the spread or game total....
along with season long player prop futures investments....
but MADDEN 22 had Dillion scoring 9+ TDS in 2023 in 62%+ of the franchise simulations ....
mock drafts
( 2nd round
Have another great season DU4L
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