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2H betting system - 10/12/2008

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Covers Rehab
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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by HeaVin-Cent:


I agree with you but playing a Monday morning QB is part of adjusting the system. Obviously we all believe that there is something to this system but we have to continue to make a better. There is always room for corrections for this to hit at a higher rate. 

i fully agree with you...if you check out the other thread started by porky you will see i have some suggestions to tweak it and the numbers prove that the win rate spikes up

i tried to explain to porky but he got very defensive of his system and wanted to hear nothing about tweaking it...so i would be weary of suggesting to make it better around here

also im wondering where is the data to prove the middle doesn't hit?

 
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Posted: #77
Rounders550, I did read the other thread and it might have just been one of those days.  I thought you had some good thoughts and Porky may be on to something here.  The bottom line is we all need to get that green paper and if you have an idea to put the odds in our favor then by all means I'll listen.
 
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Posted: #78
Where is Porky's thread.  I do not see it......  Can you give me a link.  I will take a look at your suggestion.
 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

Where is Porky's thread.  I do not see it......  Can you give me a link.  I will take a look at your suggestion.

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=100251133

 
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Posted: #80
Improvements are always welcome by me... I would just warn against trying to "over-tweak" based on a small sample of data.  (Like just 1 or 2 weeks.)

Once a system gets too complicated, it can get very difficult to manage.  If a simple system hits 60% over a long period of time, that's better to me than a complicated system that takes forever to manage and hits 65% of the time.  Just a thought.

I'll keep posting the old way, but if anybody has ideas for tweaking, I'll be listening and watching closely. 

4:00 games coming up soon!
 
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Posted: #81
Bigdawg, any truth to playing the over when the middle is over 10?  Also, does the larger the middle have any more impact on the outcome?  I'm asking becasue I damn sure don't know.
 
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Posted: #82
Man, this NFL thing is confusing me.  They already have JAX/Denver 2H line posted before the half is even over... while Denver is still driving?

And how is that different from in-game betting? 
 
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Posted: #83
I mean JAX is driving. 
 
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Posted: #84
Dallas / Arizona UNDA 2H
 
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Posted: #85
Rak, the over isn't automatically the play... just whichever side will miss the middle.  Unders have won as plays, too.  From what I've seen so far, a larger middle doesn't necessarily favor one side or the other, nor does it necessarily create a higher "confidence" level, as long as it meets the initial criteria for being a play to begin with.

That's just how I see it, though.


 
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Posted: #86
What's the line?
 
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Posted: #87
Assuming nobody scores in teh last 0:14, here's the Den/JAX game

Jacksonville @ Denver - Line Denver -3.5/48.5
Half Score: JAX 10-7
2H Line: Denver -3/23.5
Middle: 3 spread, 8 total
Play: NO PLAYS
 
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Posted: #88
No scores before half... no plays on that game. 
 
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Posted: #89
Looks like Dallas/AZ will have a total play... we'll see, though.
 
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Posted: #90
can u explain the system again? whats the middle? and how do u determine that?
 
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Posted: #91
Green Bay @ Seattle - Line SEA -1/44
Half Score: 10-10
2H Line: GB -1/20.5
Middle: 2 spread, 3 total
Play: NO PLAYS
 
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Posted: #92
what is the line in green bay/seattle 2h
 
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Posted: #93
System schmystem.. I'm going to take JAX and GB lock it.
 
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Posted: #94
taking Jax +3 2H
 
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by dominican capper:

what is the line in green bay/seattle 2h
 
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Posted: #96
Dallas @ Ariona - Line Dallas -4.5/53
Half Score: 7-7
2H Line: DAL -3/24.5
Middle: 1 spread, 14 total
Play: no spread, 2H under 24.5
 
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Posted: #97
Philadelphia @ San Francisco - Line Philly -4.5/41.5
Half Score: PHI 17-16
2H Line: PHI -3/20.5
Middle: 0 spread, 12 total
Play: no spread, 2H over 20.5
 
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Posted: #98
good luck guys. I need MUCHO points in this AZ/DAL game.  I really needed that fumble return for a TD.    THAT was bull shit it was a TONY person FUMBLE
 
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Posted: #99
Updated Card:

  • Oak/NO 2H under 22.5
  • Det/Minn 2H under 20
  • Chi/Atl 2H under 20.5
  • Tampa Bay +0.5 2H
  • Indy +2.5 2H
  • DAL/AZ 2H under 24.5
  • PHI/SF 2H over 20.5

 
 
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Posted: #100
Big Dawg, No middle on the spread of Philly/SF?
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