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+9 INDY at home! ABSOLUTELY INSANE value if Luck plays.

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Posted: #1
How do you go from a Super Bowl contender to a +9 home dog on Sunday Night football week 6?  This line is completely inflated...Dallas was 8.5 with Weeden for eff sakes.......Luck +9????

What am I missing here? 

I know that everyone is using the Brady is pissed, game has been circled on the calendar for month storyline, but c'mon don't you think Indy has circled this game as well. They're probably more pissed that the Patriots got away with another one.  

I believe Luck could've played last week, they just held him out for the extra ten days so he can be 100 percent for this game.  Very- Very important game for indy and your getting 9 points to boot.


Indy +9  (if luck plays)

Small play on money line for the upset of the week. 


Also Like San Fran as a Home dog 

They should've won last week. Baltimore coming off an over time game, without Smith, flying across the country.  I'm really not sure who San Fran isn't -3 here.  


San Fran +2





 
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Posted: #2
Granted, it is an absolutely insane line.  But no way I am touching it.  Pats will be pushing for another blowout to prove the balls had nothing to do with the win in the playoffs.  
Something wrong with this Colts team to boot.
Brady pissed??? No thanks.

Best of "Luck" buddy 

 
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Posted: #3
go pats
 
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Posted: #4
You're over thinking this.  Doesn't matter if colts were a preseason favorite, they have stunk it up so far, lucky to be 3-2.  Luck has been nearly as bad as kapernick this year.  By that logic you should bet the 1-4 ravens to win because sports illustrated said they would win the sb.  This could be a worse beating then the afc championship game.
 
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Posted: #5
Yeah,

all this "pats are pissed" and whatever is a non-factor once the game starts. The players aren't thinking about that. It's exactly how Tony Dungy described in last week after the SNF game. In the end, NE just wants to destroy every team so that they can get home field over the Broncos and other AFC teams. They don't care if they're playing JAX or SEA, they just want to win. 

Only thing is that they want to ensure a win and so they drive the ball and try to score points, every single chance they get. Watch Brady mic'ed up from the beginning of the season. They were up so big against BUF every time they didn't score, even when they were up, he was PISSED. He even said, "I hate sitting on the bench", and was like "I can't wait till we get the ball back", implying he felt like he left points out on the field. It's that kind of mentality that makes me feel comfortable being on the PATS. That, and well, Luck's offensive line has been horrible and he hasn't been making the best decisions either. 

Pats LARGE. Quit overthinking it and throwing away your $
 
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Posted: #6
I don't know where you see value,considering the pats have beaten the colts by a avg of 21ppg the last four times.and they were  better  teams the colts had.
 
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Posted: #7
PATS ML

IM ALL IN
 
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Posted: #8
Brady has all the tools around him to succeed. Luck does not.
 
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Posted: #9
luck played and the jets beat them at by 13 . Brady is playing with absolute fire this year and especially tomorrow night on national tv sunday night facing all this deflategate mess. I dont see much value in theh colts even with 9 points but you never know about a backdoor cover

I like pats/packers 6 point teaser I get pats -3 in that teaser.  much more +even wager than hoping the colts dont get blown out
 
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Posted: #10
Brady

Luck

Hasselbeck....  OK... love the guy

NE is a wrecking crew.  How can you bet against them destroying objects in front of them.  Spread is high but warranted.  Vegas doesn't want you to play this game so the spread is high.  Indy was initially thought of as a SB contenders but have shown nothing.   With all the other games going on this weekend, I suggest staying away from this one or going NE.  I picked KC in game 1 MLB and paired it up with NE straight up cause it was a Canadian proline thing of having to pick two games. 

Good luck all.
 
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Posted: #11
jets beat them at home with luck by 13 points is what I meant to type 
 
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Posted: #12
packers ml /pats ml is free money , it seems to be at least, but around -205/-210 odds. 

I like it, win or lose you wont be sweating  a backdoor cover. the moose!
 
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Posted: #13
Luck sucks if you haven't realized. Also, no offensive line or defense
 
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Posted: #14
It would seem they do not like your value pick

That could be a good sign however 
 
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Posted: #15
unless they somehow rig this game, i see Brady once again beating Luck by double digits, maybe not a 20 pt blowout but close. 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #16
I've changed my mind.  I won't be betting  Indy anymore even if Luck plays..  I've been convinced.


I'm switching my pick to the over and leaning towards Arizona.

However, I will be taking Indy in my pro picks ticket, but i'll obviously box it with the Patriots.


 
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Posted: #17
Huge Pats fan, value is on Indy, this is week 6 not week 19 pats 31-27
 
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Posted: #18
Brady and Bellichick will do everything possible to run up the score
 
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Posted: #19
All over NE forget luck and Indy they are not a good football team right now. This will get ugly NE playing at a much higher level. Oh and Kucj hasn't played in three weeks
 
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Posted: #20
Luck
 
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Posted: #21
always hate betting against Brady and Manning!!
 
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Posted: #22
[Quote: Originally Posted by tootskie] How do you go from a Super Bowl contender to a +9 home dog on Sunday Night football week 6?  This line is completely inflated...Dallas was 8.5 with Weeden for eff sakes.......Luck +9????

What am I missing here? 

I know that everyone is using the Brady is pissed, game has been circled on the calendar for month storyline, but c'mon don't you think Indy has circled this game as well. They're probably more pissed that the Patriots got away with another one.  

I believe Luck could've played last week, they just held him out for the extra ten days so he can be 100 percent for this game.  Very- Very important game for indy and your getting 9 points to boot.


Indy +9  (if luck plays)     

Small play on money line for the upset of the week. 


Also Like San Fran as a Home dog 

They should've won last week. Baltimore coming off an over time game, without Smith, flying across the country.  I'm really not sure who San Fran isn't -3 here.  


San Fran +2     





I did the over instead of Indy after you guys scared me in here.  I'm glad they both worked out.  All-in-all good day. Would have been better if I didn't do the last minute Zona bet.
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Ih8coldweather:

Yeah,

. 

Only thing is that they want to ensure a win and so they drive the ball and try to score points, every single chance they get. Watch Brady mic'ed up from the beginning of the season. They were up so big against BUF every time they didn't score, even when they were up, he was PISSED. He even said, "I hate sitting on the bench", and was like "I can't wait till we get the ball back", implying he felt like he left points out on the field. It's that kind of mentality that makes me feel comfortable being on the PATS. That, and well, Luck's offensive line has been horrible and he hasn't been making the best decisions either. 


Highlighted cause I agree with you 100%.  Which makes it even more peculiar when Brady DOESN'T try, several times in fact, in the fourth.  He even took a delay of game penalty when they are a couple yards away from a first down and icing the game.  That fire just completely gone and instead, he seems to can't give the ball back fast enough so that Indy can back door Pats backers.  
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by naesiy:


Highlighted cause I agree with you 100%.  Which makes it even more peculiar when Brady DOESN'T try, several times in fact, in the fourth.  He even took a delay of game penalty when they are a couple yards away from a first down and icing the game.  That fire just completely gone and instead, he seems to can't give the ball back fast enough so that Indy can back door Pats backers.  

You aren't kidding......the majority of the money was on the Pat's so Vegas gave them a little call and said.....bend over and let the Colts stay within 7, especially when the line dropped right before game time to -7.5 for the Patriots.  Vegas screwed me last night too bud,....sometimes watching the NFL is horse crap.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Yes, the patriots are now working with Las Vegas Nevada. One scandal is over, they're ready fur the next challenge.

C'mon guys. Lets grow up.
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