NYJETS +8 1/2 ** BIG PLAY** 20 UNITS
NYJ ML +370 **BIG PLAY ** 10 UNITS / 37 UNITS
Sorry guys, couldnt post the early game.Family situation...kids
Thats okay you guys know who im on...Farve. Dallas wrong side
The later game is the game Ive been waiting for. Same ole story differnt team. Sanchez is a rookie, who is going to come back down to earth and throw all sorts of interceptions....and that will be the end of it. SanDiego advances. Not going to happen. Ive seen this type of situation many times before in the playoffs throughout my handicapping career.
Sanchez is 100 times better than Pennington was when they faced SanDeigo in a playoff back in 2001 with Drew Brees. This years Def and rushing offense is leaps and bounds better also.Those are some excellent key ingredients for advancement.Not wheather the QB could throw for 350 yards, but manage the game. I went back into my data base and viewed the stat math model of that matchup and compared it with the stat math model of this matchup.The numbers are almost identical. However, its this years defensive play by the Jets together with their power running game that stands out the most.
Yes, SanDeigo has an offense .However during thier last 4 to 5 homes games where this game is taking place.They have never faced a defese like this. Cinn was close..and they almost lost that game. Before that they played KC and bet em up pretty bad. 43 -14 However, if you really look into that game and disect every play, they scored 30 points off KC's miscues.So there offenesive pure(raw) points pg was a measly 13.If Cassel hadnt made the mistakes he made.KC could have been the victor 14-13.But the offesive mistakes left thier defense on the field to many times.
The game before that they played Philly. Philly really never had a defense this year lets face it . They were a fraud also. SD ended up scoring 31 pure points in that game .However they gave up 23.The game prior to the Philly game was a div game with Oakland. Again another QB in Russel that made to many mistakes and SD capitalized on them. scoring several points off Oaklands miscues, giving SD a 17 pureppg offensive rating. Holding Oakland to 16 defensive pppg.
Now lets take a long hard look at all these opponents of SD in their last 4 @ home series: Cinn/KC/Philly/Oak. SD's average opponent power rating of those 4 teams is a 17.Hardly a jagguarnant of opposition. SD's pppg offense through out those 4 games was a 18pppg, very average to say the least Minnys for example at home is a 32 and im sure you just got through watching that game, Now thats a solid pure points per game offense not an 18 as SD,
SanDeigo defensivly. only has a 19 pppg defesne. 19 is avearge. Anything below 18 is solid defensivly.Jets hold a 13, which is in the top 5 in my defensive pppg rankings.Jets offense is average also afew points behind SD at 16pppg. The problem for SD is simple. Their 18-19 pppg offense going up against a 13 def in the Jets spells disaster and I belive that sanchez and the Jets will be able to expose SD's 19 and run the ball down SD's 4.5 ypc defense.Its going to be a tight game. Howver IMO Jets come out with thew W.
Jets last 4 road opponents are no better or worse than SD's 4 home ( Cinn /TBay / BUff / NEng) but its the running game and the Jets defese that shines
Jets
1.1st ranked defense in total yards
2.1st ranked pass defesne
3.1st ranked rushing offense at 4.5 ypc
Sandeigo is not going to be able to stop these guys because of one thing, They cant stop the run....and their run of 11 straight games ends here the run
4.8th ranked run defense at 3.8 ypc
Nice job Jets.!!!!
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