Neither of these teams punt very often, meanwhile they're defensive stats benefit from both playing some of the NFLs worst offenses the Giants Cardinals Jets. I could see this being an OVER with one team getting high 20s, the other low. 27-20 is an over i think something around there.
@mrusso
@kcblitzkrieg
@packersbackers
@ramco
@wmi799
@NutinButtLove
Thanks, fellas. I appreciate all the advice and well wishes. Going through a rough patch right now, and this place is my only solace. Using gambling as a substitute for therapy is terrible idea, except when it beats therapy. 
In their last 10 games as underdogs, the Cowboys are 7-3 ats, 6-4 su. The latest game goes back to 2020, that's how infrequently the Cowboys are the underdog. 2020 was Mccarthy's first year coaching in Dallas(they went 6-10).
In the Niners last 30 games as favorites of 3 or more points, they are 17-13 ats, 21-9 su. The 2 latest games were in 2020. So the same time period as the Cowboys trend.
Point being, the Cowboys are really good under dogs, and the Niners are really good favorites.
Here's a useless but interesting thing about this matchup. SOS according to dvoa says the Niners have faced the 32nd schedule(aka easiest). Dallas has faced the 30th schedule.
How good are these good teams? Guess we'll find out this Sunday.
How are you, my old friend?! You haven’t posted on covers since 2020, when my Niners pick fell apart after halftime. I hope I don’t disappoint this time, or we won’t see you for a decade:) Wishing you and yours the best.
There is always some dd favorite that loses in the NFL, and I’m just not willing to do that here. I still don’t fully trust Campbell as a big face. I did look at the Dolphins, and might have included them but the line value wasn’t worth it. If the Giants had played or won on Monday and were not such huge dogs, I would have included the dolphins.
Love love the strategy begginerboy. Rarely will you ever see a bettor increase a wager when winning. Too many increase it when losing until they bust or worst have more than they can afford to lose.
Martingale when losing can lead to huge losses.
But the same is also true when winning. Can lead to massive winnings.
Just doing some math stuff to see if you are getting value in your ML play BB. Using the current ML's listed for this game at Betonline, SF -175, Dallas +155.
At 21-9 su, the Niners would net $525.
At 6-4 su, the Cowboys would net $530.
You can see how good the books are at pegging these lines.
This stuff isn't apples to apples exactly, but I think you get the gist.
I see this as a statement game for the Niners. I may be totally off, but this is possibly the best position they will be in all year, health wise and rest wise (3rd straight game at home and 4th straight if you count their game against the Rams!) to show out on national TV against a Dallas team that believes they are equal to the Niners based on a couple of close playoff results. Remember, McCaffrey got hurt early in that playoff game against Dallas last year and was basically playing on one leg. The Niners know that Dallas is coming in for revenge, and I think they’ll be ready for them, and then some. But because I’m going all in, I’m not taking a chance with the spread.
@warrenator
Thanks, buddy. Niners are my team but I’ve on a heater of late. I do a lot of research on these games. Today I had a 1$ left in my account after putting everything on the niners and did this ten team parlay. I got 9 out of 10. Only needed a Giants FG.
1524657710 Team Parlay
$ 1.00 wagered to win $ 500.00
at 10/07/2023 12:28
Odds : 500.00 to 1
Via Mobile Device
Status: Parlay
LOSE 10/08/2023 10:30
NFL JACKSONVILLE to Win +5.5(-109)
JACKSONVILLE 25 BUFFALO 20
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL ATLANTA to Win -1.5(-109)
HOUSTON 19 ATLANTA 21
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL INDIANAPOLIS to Win +2.5(-109)
TENNESSEE 16 INDIANAPOLIS 23
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL NY GIANTS to Win +12.5(-109)
NY GIANTS 16 MIAMI 31
Status: LOSE 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL DETROIT to Win -9.5(-109)
CAROLINA 24 DETROIT 42
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 17:05
NFL CINCINNATI to Win -3(-109)
CINCINNATI 34 ARIZONA 20
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 17:05
NFL PHILADELPHIA to Win -4(-109)
PHILADELPHIA 23 LA RAMS 14
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 17:25
NFL NY JETS to Win +2.5(-109)
NY JETS 31 DENVER 21
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL NEW ORLEANS to Win +1(-109)
NEW ORLEANS 34 NEW ENGLAND 0
Status: WIN 10/08/2023 14:00
NFL PITTSBURGH to Win +4.5(-109)
BALTIMORE 10 PITTSBURGH 17
Status: WIN
@begginerboy
I had to do a password reset to respond to your post!
Things are good brother—happily married 8 years now, have a 1 year old girl. Teach PT at the local college and get to be an impact dad 
Great call dude what a delicious beating! We will enjoy this. With my Twins smacking Houston, it’s a perfect night!
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