Arrows for your handicapping quiver going forward

This one should show a nice profit this year.

....season>=2024 and n:day=Thursday and H and p:L and line>-8..............(2-10) ATS   and  (10-3)  OU

...season>=2024 and n:day=Monday and p:W and line>-9 and total<56.5.............(11-2) ATS

teams off a win heading into a MNF game less than 9 pt favs with a total of less than 56.5.............MONEY!

...season>=2024 and n:day=Monday and p:W and line>-9 and total<56.5 and H

adding the Home filter makes the trend undefeated (7-0)

...season>=2023 and n:day=Monday and p:W and line>-9 and total<56.5 and H

Going back to 2023 this beauty is (14-2) ATS and (14-5) OU

It will be high on my priority list ;-)

....season>=2024 and on:day=Monday and op:W and p:L and line<9.....WOW (0-8) losing to the spread by a whopping 9.1 points

Been a good morning scraping this database today!

...season>=2024 and on:day=Thursday and op:L and week>3 and -10.5<line<8....(11-2) ATS  and (11-3) OU

VERY STRONG

.....season>=2024 and day=Monday and D and p:W and op:W.....(0-3) ATS  and (3-0) OU

I include this one as the OVER covers the line by more than 25 points

....season>=2024 and n:day=Thursday and D and total>38.......(9-2) Over

....season>=2024 and n:day=Thursday and D and total>38 and p:L...........adding p:L you get (7-1) Over

this trend covered the total by 11.1 points,very much +EV

....season>=2024 and p:day=Monday and p:HF and op:W and line<3 and 17>week>2..............UNDEFEATED (7-0) covering the line by 10.7

....season>=2024 and op:day=Monday and n:D and p:L and op:W and week<16...........(7-0) over

Some nice one's but most seem to only be good for last the last couple seasons # 210 I went back to 2018 and is 21-9 so i added the following (and A,H and D,F) also depends on what site you look at, nice job buddy, I'm on to the CFL soon.

season>=2018 and p:day=Monday and p:HF and op:W and line<3 and 17>week>2 and A,H and D,F

One extra parameter:

season>=2018 and p:day=Monday and p:HF and op:W and line<3 and 17>week>2 and o:INT < 1.5

ATS:  18-6 (4.2,75.0%)

After I added the INT parameter, I should have rechecked the weeklies before posting.  This is an improvement:

season>=2018 and p:day=Monday and p:HF and op:W and line < 2.7 and o:INT < 1.5 and 3.5 < week < 13.5

ATS:  16-3 (5.3,84.2%)

More improvements generated a sample size of over 400 games - hooray!

season > 1999 and p:day=Sunday and p:HF and op:W and line < 2.7 and o:INT = 0 and week > 2.5

ATS:  276-158-10 (4.9,63.6%)

Thanks for the inspiration, hoody.

I screwed up.  Reject this BS - o:INT = 0 is a CURRENT parameter.  I made a rookie mistake; shame on me.

Reject the query in Post #214 for the same reason.

That's my problem as well,only I make it all the time...lol

On a side note, last year in general was piss poor for the members here. My regression anchor teasers were over the top. I have noticed in review that

last years' outcomes may have been an outlier, in which case my model could regress, however if instead we are into a new emerging trend line then I am in early.

We saw in 2024 that the overs represented 53.5% of the games which drastically changed from the 46.5% average of the previous 4 years.

Imo the AWAY FAVORITE outcome is responsible for the piss poor ROI of the serious cappers here. That represents a 32% increase over the average of the 4

previous seasons..OUCH!!

Again, it will be profitable determining if these are unsustainable outliers or profitable emerging new trends.I prefer to put the most weight on the most recent year

results. I have benefited from avoiding recency bias with respect to teams BUT when it applies to league wide stats then that is different. We shall see!

....season=2024 and op:day=Monday and p:L and n:D and op:W............(7-1) Over

....season=2024 and op:day=Thursday and p:W and HF and total<51.5.....(4-0) ATS

....season=2024 and op:day=Thursday and op:L and 41<total<48.5.....11-2   over...:-)

...season=2024 and op:DIV and op:W and F and n:F and line>-7.5............(14-2) ATS

Hall of fame query!

....season=2024 and p:DIV and p:L and F and op:W and week<18 and day!=Thursday and total>40..............(7-2) ATS

...season=2024 and op:DIV and op:W and p:L and D and total<49.5 and week<18...........(5-18)ATS

LOVE THIS ONE!!!

Covers the line by -8.6 pts , that is huge and 23 plays last year....yum yum

....season=2024 and op:DIV and op:W and p:L and D and total<49.5 and week<18 and line>1

adding line>1 makes this (4-18) covering the ATS line by -9.2 pts....WOW!!!

....season=2024 and n:DIV and p:L and D and n:D and 4<week<16 and op:W.....(1-15) ATS......Gold level query