Posted:
#26
Quote Originally Posted by dcp1985:
A lot of good commentary in this thread. So many people get wrapped up in these false ideas of certainty, and black and white situations...it's just more easy to process I guess. But the fact is it's such a world of grey area.
A lot of good commentary in this thread. So many people get wrapped up in these false ideas of certainty, and black and white situations...it's just more easy to process I guess. But the fact is it's such a world of grey area.
It's like if a single person tried to sue a corporation...they just bury you with all kinds of things because the corporation has no bounds on time or money in comparison to the single person and you would waste your whole life away trying to fight back. Somewhat similar principle with Vegas...it's like they have an infinite supply of money so they can afford to take hits sometimes but still keep playing the percentages with extreme discipline in the long-run.
They DON'T fix games so that they NEVER lose, but like some have said, I believe they have such an extensive database of info (more so than any single bettor) that they do take certain positions on games where they believe to have an advantage. It doesn't mean they win every single time they do this but again, if it works 6 times out of 10 they can more than afford to take the hit the other 4.
All that said I'm on Vikings ML because I got a ridiculous line at -155 and thought it was good value, no messing around with points. It's since gone to -208 where I can see.
gotcha, my friend.....and, i belive, reverse line movements are about 65-70% correct. So, its not a SURE thing by any means. good luck
0
a lot of overthinking....Bradford not very good....with a good D...Bears have cutler who is just returning back...I say just stay away anything can happen...total disaster just my opinion"
Interesting Write-up
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