Jets scored 10 points late to beat the Dolphins in overtime in week 3. I like the dolphins with there very underrated rush defense to put the clamps on the Jets offense this week.
The Jets hate the Patriots more than any team in the league. After putting forth 110% effort last week, embarking a big 4th Q comeback to force overtime only to lose the game, makes this bet even better. The Jets will be flat coming off that OT loss to their most hated rival. Yes, this is still a divisional game for the Jets but the Dolphins have the better defense, the revenge angle, and are coming off a bye week giving them two weeks to prepare for a big divisional game.
Meanwhile, the Jets are going into their bye week, which has been a huge downswing for home teams this year.
Home teams going into their bye week with a spread of 0 to -6 this year are 0-8 ATS and 15-43 (25.8%) ATS the past 14 years. Week 3 - Colts lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Lions lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Buccaneers lose at home as 2 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Cowboys lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 5 - Panthers lose at home as 2 point favorites going into their bye. Week 6 - Eagles lose at home as 4 point favorites going into their bye. Week 6 - Chargers lose at home as 1 point favorites going into their bye. Week 7 - Bills lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye.
-Teams are 1-13 ATS the week after playing an overtime game this year. -Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York. -Road team is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +2½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 232 New York Jets Under 21½ -110*vs Miami Dolphins
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins Over 19½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +2½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +113*vs New York Jets
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
Jets scored 10 points late to beat the Dolphins in overtime in week 3. I like the dolphins with there very underrated rush defense to put the clamps on the Jets offense this week.
The Jets hate the Patriots more than any team in the league. After putting forth 110% effort last week, embarking a big 4th Q comeback to force overtime only to lose the game, makes this bet even better. The Jets will be flat coming off that OT loss to their most hated rival. Yes, this is still a divisional game for the Jets but the Dolphins have the better defense, the revenge angle, and are coming off a bye week giving them two weeks to prepare for a big divisional game.
Meanwhile, the Jets are going into their bye week, which has been a huge downswing for home teams this year.
Home teams going into their bye week with a spread of 0 to -6 this year are 0-8 ATS and 15-43 (25.8%) ATS the past 14 years. Week 3 - Colts lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Lions lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Buccaneers lose at home as 2 point favorites going into their bye. Week 4 - Cowboys lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye. Week 5 - Panthers lose at home as 2 point favorites going into their bye. Week 6 - Eagles lose at home as 4 point favorites going into their bye. Week 6 - Chargers lose at home as 1 point favorites going into their bye. Week 7 - Bills lose at home as 3 point favorites going into their bye.
-Teams are 1-13 ATS the week after playing an overtime game this year. -Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York. -Road team is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +2½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 232 New York Jets Under 21½ -110*vs Miami Dolphins
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins Over 19½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +2½ -110*vs New York Jets
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10/28/12 1:00pm NFL Football 231 Miami Dolphins +113*vs New York Jets
Perfect. I really like 3 teams this week, and this was my main one. Was already going big on it, probably add another unit or two now. Jets going into bye week AND Jets coming off a bye.
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Perfect. I really like 3 teams this week, and this was my main one. Was already going big on it, probably add another unit or two now. Jets going into bye week AND Jets coming off a bye.
The match-up isn't likely to warrant that kind of score. Sanchez will be forced to throw and I like the Dolphins run game getting their change of pace RB Daniel Thomas back. These Dolphins ran for 185 yards (4.3 YPC) in the first meeting and Daniel Thomas had a lot of success.
Think the Jets score 17, seems more likely. Don't forget the Dolphins should have beat the Jets earlier in the season if not for a missed FG and a pick 6. That line was Dolphins +3 which implies Dolphins +9 in NYJ correct? Think the books are trying to fool the public here following the NE performance. Who knows.
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Quote Originally Posted by Money2BMade:
Not so fast my friend,
Miami is 0-5-1 ATS after a bye.
Jets 24
Miami 10
BOL to ya though.
The match-up isn't likely to warrant that kind of score. Sanchez will be forced to throw and I like the Dolphins run game getting their change of pace RB Daniel Thomas back. These Dolphins ran for 185 yards (4.3 YPC) in the first meeting and Daniel Thomas had a lot of success.
Think the Jets score 17, seems more likely. Don't forget the Dolphins should have beat the Jets earlier in the season if not for a missed FG and a pick 6. That line was Dolphins +3 which implies Dolphins +9 in NYJ correct? Think the books are trying to fool the public here following the NE performance. Who knows.
The Dolphins run D held the Jets to 2.9 YPC in their last meeting. This forced Sanchez to throw 45 times, his highest total of the year. That led Sanchez to complete 46.7% of his passes, throw 2 picks, and a 33% 3rd down conversion rate.
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The Dolphins run D held the Jets to 2.9 YPC in their last meeting. This forced Sanchez to throw 45 times, his highest total of the year. That led Sanchez to complete 46.7% of his passes, throw 2 picks, and a 33% 3rd down conversion rate.
You know as much as I do that how teams perform after a bye week is mainly dependent on the coach, how they gameplan, and how they get their team ready for the game.
In other words, you can change that stat to Tony Sparano is 0-5 ATS after a bye.
New coach so it doesn't apply.
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Quote Originally Posted by Money2BMade:
Not so fast my friend,
Miami is 0-5-1 ATS after a bye.
Jets 24
Miami 10
BOL to ya though.
You know as much as I do that how teams perform after a bye week is mainly dependent on the coach, how they gameplan, and how they get their team ready for the game.
In other words, you can change that stat to Tony Sparano is 0-5 ATS after a bye.
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