In weeks 2-11 go against favorites that played as road dogs in overtime last week and scored 22-26 points in that game. system record 20-0 ats. system says to go against the jets -> the play is miami
-This came from---WinAllSports
I can see that being credible as that just says how big of an emotional loss it was. Not sure how the 22-26 pts come into play though. Good stuff
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Quote Originally Posted by cardifkill:
In weeks 2-11 go against favorites that played as road dogs in overtime last week and scored 22-26 points in that game. system record 20-0 ats. system says to go against the jets -> the play is miami
-This came from---WinAllSports
I can see that being credible as that just says how big of an emotional loss it was. Not sure how the 22-26 pts come into play though. Good stuff
If DAL loses to the Panthers by 15 or beats the panthers by 15, the most the spread will change is by half a point i promise you that. This is a divisional game where DAL already won the first one in NY. Only chance DAL has of being an underdog next week is if Tony Romo gets hurt. Them losing to the Panthers by 20 even, won't cut it.
I know this doesn't apply to this thread and your Miami play... If I had the chance to bet early lines I'd be hitting at a ridiculously wealthy rate. I also think you knew that Dallas would be the dog this week but since those early lines were posted somewhere in internet land you wanted to post that good looking trend to help your cause. Either way, I don't mind, I just knew that trend didn't apply and it was misleading to the forum. Skins covered regardless, water under the bridge.
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
If DAL loses to the Panthers by 15 or beats the panthers by 15, the most the spread will change is by half a point i promise you that. This is a divisional game where DAL already won the first one in NY. Only chance DAL has of being an underdog next week is if Tony Romo gets hurt. Them losing to the Panthers by 20 even, won't cut it.
I know this doesn't apply to this thread and your Miami play... If I had the chance to bet early lines I'd be hitting at a ridiculously wealthy rate. I also think you knew that Dallas would be the dog this week but since those early lines were posted somewhere in internet land you wanted to post that good looking trend to help your cause. Either way, I don't mind, I just knew that trend didn't apply and it was misleading to the forum. Skins covered regardless, water under the bridge.
I know this doesn't apply to this thread and your Miami play... If I had the chance to bet early lines I'd be hitting at a ridiculously wealthy rate. I also think you knew that Dallas would be the dog this week but since those early lines were posted somewhere in internet land you wanted to post that good looking trend to help your cause. Either way, I don't mind, I just knew that trend didn't apply and it was misleading to the forum. Skins covered regardless, water under the bridge.
I did think DAL would still open a favorite seeing how public of a team they are but I guess all the recent wins for the Giants has swayed oddsmakers to make them the favorite as there getting tons of public bets nowadays too. No matter how close to losing they are they always seem to find a way to win the game. But as you said, only water under the bridge now
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Quote Originally Posted by FadeOnly:
I know this doesn't apply to this thread and your Miami play... If I had the chance to bet early lines I'd be hitting at a ridiculously wealthy rate. I also think you knew that Dallas would be the dog this week but since those early lines were posted somewhere in internet land you wanted to post that good looking trend to help your cause. Either way, I don't mind, I just knew that trend didn't apply and it was misleading to the forum. Skins covered regardless, water under the bridge.
I did think DAL would still open a favorite seeing how public of a team they are but I guess all the recent wins for the Giants has swayed oddsmakers to make them the favorite as there getting tons of public bets nowadays too. No matter how close to losing they are they always seem to find a way to win the game. But as you said, only water under the bridge now
I'm on the Giants and the Jets ha. I don't see the Giants losing to Dallas twice, even though its sketchy b/c Dallas is home. But it does seem Giants play better away.
However, I just think the Jets are turning a corner here and there run game is much improved since week 3. Jets/Dolphins games IMO over the past 3 years have been hitting over so the unders in these games are scary. I think Dolphins keep it close, but as a PK, I have a feeling the JETS CAN DO THIS WOOOOHH
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I'm on the Giants and the Jets ha. I don't see the Giants losing to Dallas twice, even though its sketchy b/c Dallas is home. But it does seem Giants play better away.
However, I just think the Jets are turning a corner here and there run game is much improved since week 3. Jets/Dolphins games IMO over the past 3 years have been hitting over so the unders in these games are scary. I think Dolphins keep it close, but as a PK, I have a feeling the JETS CAN DO THIS WOOOOHH
I'm on the Giants and the Jets ha. I don't see the Giants losing to Dallas twice, even though its sketchy b/c Dallas is home. But it does seem Giants play better away.
However, I just think the Jets are turning a corner here and there run game is much improved since week 3. Jets/Dolphins games IMO over the past 3 years have been hitting over so the unders in these games are scary. I think Dolphins keep it close, but as a PK, I have a feeling the JETS CAN DO THIS WOOOOHH
These teams already played a month ago. Jets got 85 yards on 29 carries (2.93 YPC). Jets rush offense is no different than it was back then. The only offense the Jets had that game was Santonio Holmes (9 REC for 147 yards) who will be out this game.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mkuhi:
I'm on the Giants and the Jets ha. I don't see the Giants losing to Dallas twice, even though its sketchy b/c Dallas is home. But it does seem Giants play better away.
However, I just think the Jets are turning a corner here and there run game is much improved since week 3. Jets/Dolphins games IMO over the past 3 years have been hitting over so the unders in these games are scary. I think Dolphins keep it close, but as a PK, I have a feeling the JETS CAN DO THIS WOOOOHH
These teams already played a month ago. Jets got 85 yards on 29 carries (2.93 YPC). Jets rush offense is no different than it was back then. The only offense the Jets had that game was Santonio Holmes (9 REC for 147 yards) who will be out this game.
League, I believe in your argument. Dolphins having a bye week and Jets going into the Bye week is a great argument for Dolphins. Also, the Dolphins are an underrated team on both sides of the field. Your solid arguments makes me want to hedge because of what you said. However, on this one I just have a feeling your outsmarting yourself.
IMO I just believe that this Jets team changed after being handed their beat down by the Niners Week 4.
After that they played the Texans well, beat up the Colts, and with some Heroics stayed with the Patriots. Being at home and the fact that the Dolphins really haven't put any teams away, makes me side with Sanchez and the Jets over Tannenhill and the Dolphins. The Dolphins are legit and perhaps if the line was plus 3-4.5 I'd have jumped on them. I just feel that there will be some pressure for the Jets in a Divisional Game to go into their bye week above .500
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League, I believe in your argument. Dolphins having a bye week and Jets going into the Bye week is a great argument for Dolphins. Also, the Dolphins are an underrated team on both sides of the field. Your solid arguments makes me want to hedge because of what you said. However, on this one I just have a feeling your outsmarting yourself.
IMO I just believe that this Jets team changed after being handed their beat down by the Niners Week 4.
After that they played the Texans well, beat up the Colts, and with some Heroics stayed with the Patriots. Being at home and the fact that the Dolphins really haven't put any teams away, makes me side with Sanchez and the Jets over Tannenhill and the Dolphins. The Dolphins are legit and perhaps if the line was plus 3-4.5 I'd have jumped on them. I just feel that there will be some pressure for the Jets in a Divisional Game to go into their bye week above .500
League, I believe in your argument. Dolphins having a bye week and Jets going into the Bye week is a great argument for Dolphins. Also, the Dolphins are an underrated team on both sides of the field. Your solid arguments makes me want to hedge because of what you said. However, on this one I just have a feeling your outsmarting yourself.
IMO I just believe that this Jets team changed after being handed their beat down by the Niners Week 4.
After that they played the Texans well, beat up the Colts, and with some Heroics stayed with the Patriots. Being at home and the fact that the Dolphins really haven't put any teams away, makes me side with Sanchez and the Jets over Tannenhill and the Dolphins. The Dolphins are legit and perhaps if the line was plus 3-4.5 I'd have jumped on them. I just feel that there will be some pressure for the Jets in a Divisional Game to go into their bye week above .500
Respect your thoughts. Guess we'll have to wait and see
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Quote Originally Posted by Mkuhi:
League, I believe in your argument. Dolphins having a bye week and Jets going into the Bye week is a great argument for Dolphins. Also, the Dolphins are an underrated team on both sides of the field. Your solid arguments makes me want to hedge because of what you said. However, on this one I just have a feeling your outsmarting yourself.
IMO I just believe that this Jets team changed after being handed their beat down by the Niners Week 4.
After that they played the Texans well, beat up the Colts, and with some Heroics stayed with the Patriots. Being at home and the fact that the Dolphins really haven't put any teams away, makes me side with Sanchez and the Jets over Tannenhill and the Dolphins. The Dolphins are legit and perhaps if the line was plus 3-4.5 I'd have jumped on them. I just feel that there will be some pressure for the Jets in a Divisional Game to go into their bye week above .500
Respect your thoughts. Guess we'll have to wait and see
These teams already played a month ago. Jets got 85 yards on 29 carries (2.93 YPC). Jets rush offense is no different than it was back then. The only offense the Jets had that game was Santonio Holmes (9 REC for 147 yards) who will be out this game.
again league I'm not trying to be a prick or a dick....just at work bored as hell so prowling the forums, but Greene, who scored three touchdowns and totaled a career-high of 161 yards against the Colts. I think there is a difference haha
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
These teams already played a month ago. Jets got 85 yards on 29 carries (2.93 YPC). Jets rush offense is no different than it was back then. The only offense the Jets had that game was Santonio Holmes (9 REC for 147 yards) who will be out this game.
again league I'm not trying to be a prick or a dick....just at work bored as hell so prowling the forums, but Greene, who scored three touchdowns and totaled a career-high of 161 yards against the Colts. I think there is a difference haha
again league I'm not trying to be a prick or a dick....just at work bored as hell so prowling the forums, but Greene, who scored three touchdowns and totaled a career-high of 161 yards against the Colts. I think there is a difference haha
Colts are terrible against the run, one of the worst. Greene did good against the Patriots solid rush defense but Belichick's gameplan was to play the pass a bit more because of how bad their secondary has been playing, leaving them susceptible to the run. Miami's run defense is only second to the Bucaneers, Greene will have a tough outing this week.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mkuhi:
again league I'm not trying to be a prick or a dick....just at work bored as hell so prowling the forums, but Greene, who scored three touchdowns and totaled a career-high of 161 yards against the Colts. I think there is a difference haha
Colts are terrible against the run, one of the worst. Greene did good against the Patriots solid rush defense but Belichick's gameplan was to play the pass a bit more because of how bad their secondary has been playing, leaving them susceptible to the run. Miami's run defense is only second to the Bucaneers, Greene will have a tough outing this week.
yehhhhh...if the jets can't run the ball the my pick will be scrizzzewed, but I have faith haha.
I mean I believe you are on the "smart" side. B/c its gambling can't say if its the correct side, but if I was to strengthen your argument i'd say the line opening is a great window to the possible outcome.
My book opened jets -1 at (-125)...those sneaky bastards juice the favorite usually when the dog has the better chance of winning.
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yehhhhh...if the jets can't run the ball the my pick will be scrizzzewed, but I have faith haha.
I mean I believe you are on the "smart" side. B/c its gambling can't say if its the correct side, but if I was to strengthen your argument i'd say the line opening is a great window to the possible outcome.
My book opened jets -1 at (-125)...those sneaky bastards juice the favorite usually when the dog has the better chance of winning.
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