Betting is kinda hard (NFL week 9)

I do decent in the NFL, I’ll start tracking my plays. 1 unit = $1000

0-0 YTD

Chargers -1.5........1.1 to win 1

8 point teaser (FanDuel) +100

Patriots +4.5, Browns +10.5, Rams +1

........1 unit to win 1.

The Chargers have been brought back down to earth the last two games, I think this is a good spot for them to get back to form. Herbert > Hurts and Eckeler, Allen, Williams, Bosa are better playmakers than the Eagles have.

Eagles coming off an easy shellacking they put on the Jags last week, good let down spot.

Browns revenge game against Bengals this week, should stay close.

Darnold always sees ghosts against BB and the Patriots, Panthers are not playing great right now and Patriots are over-achieving based off their roster.

good luck!

They beat the Lions last week

I would use Panthers instead of Patriots in your teaser.  Panthers have three players returning from injuries, including McCaffrey even though the number of his plays may be limited.  One of the Panthers' cornerbacks was cut by Patriots earlier this year.  He did not like the way he was cut.  Even Darnold may play if he gets cleared from concussion issues.

The eagles have three wins are in second in their division and are in the wild card hunt. Not much of a chance but a chance. How do you figure they’re due for a let down game when they’re barely winning? I never understand that claim as they’re high paid actors that play one game a week. The chargers got destroyed in Baltimore then lost at home to NE who’s not bad but struggled to beat Houston.   After all that they are still the odds on favorite to win the AFC west?? I feel they should be able to beat the eagles but I’m not willing to put any money on them after these last two displays.   I also picked NE early before the news that Carolina may get some players back this week and they’re right in the wild card race as well. I’m leaning more towards Carolina now. 

@Kpcinco

 I agree, there is always a chance and I imagine it will be a close game. I think Lhilly can be a sneaky team when they are clicking and have their moments. I just like the Chargers in this spot and a big fan of Herbert.

@CoreyPaus

 I feel comfortable taking the Patriots and giving them more than a field goal on points. Panthers are getting McCaffery back, but Bellichick knows how to take away a teams best player.

kudos on the best title to a thread.

i have to agree with your assessment that betting is indeed kind of hard.

@Ascetic

 Betting is easily done, it's winning that can on occasion be "challenging."

@Ascetic

 Cheers and success this week!

@mrusso

 Great point, but that’s too much to type for the title 

So you guys know why betting is hard?

I live in the Indy area and Im a Colts fan. I took the colts for my week 9 survivor pick, and had two units on -10, plus about 3 other units total teased down with other teasers.

I knew the colts would easily handle the Jets and this was a must win game, plus prime time which can be rare for the Colts. 

Then the back door cover almost happened. You can be on the right side of a game and everything go your way and pick the right side of the spread, and still easily lose the bet in the last few minutes.

......however if those two teams were to play again next Thursday in the same place and situation, I would take the Colts -10 again. A glutton for punishment I guess.

@ryboy2222

 You will win games that maybe you should have lost and conversely lose games you should have won. Accept it, you only need win 6 out of 10 if your bets are consistent. Colts were the right play and would be again even if White doesn't get hurt. Jets defense lost the game, and they will do it again.... Be careful of teaser overload, they look enticing for a reason

I can't put $ on LAC, but GL with them. Line is fishy, and seems to be the public favorite play of the week. 

GL, and thanks for the call on UNC yeterday. 

One more teaser for today. 

8 point teaser +100 1 unit 

Denver +17.5, Philly +9 Minnesota +15