Big letdown spot for Buffalo?

Bills blew out the Jets then lost a heartbreaker to Philly; then back to back victories over two of the best in KC and Dallas with the most recent being a 21 point win.. Now on the road across the country vs a Chargers team that lost by 40+. Betting on teams off 40+ points blowout loss is an angle in itself as well as home primetime dogs.  

Also double digit road faves are 8-16-1 ATS in the past 3 seasons. 

Thoughts?

I think it should definitely be a let down spot.

How seriously can the Bills be prepping for a bad team who just fired their coach?

On the flip side, all those players on the Chargers(a lot of good players) should be out to prove that "hey it wasn't us, it was Brandon Staley"

Only play worthy in this game is BUF ML being included in a parlay. 

I'm a Homer, but I think this team is aware they have to pretty much win out and can lose to anyone.

So while they can lose, I dont think it'll be motivation, effort, or taking a team lightly.

@KyleBowler

Grab 12 point for a gift.

GL

Including a -800 pick in a parlay is a foolish bet.  Telling someone else that it is the only play worth making only serves to highlight your idiocy.

@KyleBowler

You make some valid points for taking the Chargers, but with so much at stake for the resurgent Bills, I'd stay away. The Chargers weak rushing game is likely to keep their defense on the field for a long time. They seem tailor made for the Bills.

a) yes. a big letdown spot

b) Do the Chargers give AF? they got their coach fired so that's good.  most of those guys have either mailed it in for the season or they are fighting for a job next year.  i say look at whether Keenan Allen plays.  If so, Chargers give effort and rebound from the shit kicking against LV.  If not, they are tanking for a high draft spot and a good fade the final 3 weeks

DD road faves 2-11-1 last 3 years out of division.  both covers by Dallas (half point at Tenny last year and big win at Carolina earlier this year)

@undermysac

 Huge letdown spot. Seems like the kind of game where they just barely slip by.  Line is slightly inflated due to the last few buffalo games 

i mean the letdown spot is obvious along with the bad travel spot.

You pull up buffalos schedule you'll see 4 losses straight up. one win in by a fg.... 

The only convicing road win that covers this number was the commanders. 

@Jimmy_Cats

 yeah thats just silly, a -800 road fav with several unfavorable situational angles. One that really would add much to your parlay payout, that could do 10x more harm then help

Are the Chargers the worst team in the NFL? Some power rankings list them at #32. 

I think Chargers give Bills a run for it's money, some angles to consider as new interim coach to the team, embarrassing loss last week, tough to get embarrassed again at home turf with home crowds in national TV. Chargers may still end up with double digit loss but not without a tough fight.   

@Europa

 "win one for the Giff'er"  

https://www.chargers.com/news/giff-smith-chargers-interim-head-coach-player-reaction

@kcblitzkrieg

Who wants to take an alternate spread of Bolts +3.5 with me?

Look what the Titans did to the Dolphins 2 short weeks ago.

must win game, bills by a td.

Different spots though...Dolphins were due for a letdown spot vs a bad team...They have been destroying bad/average teams all season...Every good team has a bad loss on the season as NFL is week to week...Buffalo lost their fair share off games that they were suppose to win..IE Patriots and Jets on the road....now they are on a roll in a must win spot...No way they lose...and I would lean towards the Bills to cover if I had to choose.  

Chargers looked so bad but letdown spot would make sense in the wacky world of the NFL. Of course that would only apply to Chargers somehow covering the spread.

Bills are a mission and will not lose this game.

Bills still outside the playoff picture and it's week 16.  Let down spot?  Maybe if they were sitting top of the division...  If Buffalo shows up (which I feel they will), they'll win by 30.

Allen basically had the night off vs Dallas. 

I get the angles here (DD road faves, teams playing right after coaches fired are 58% ATS, etc) but Buffalo has been a different team since Dorsey got canned.

Taking the Chargers is an analytic play IMO.  How can one put down their hard earned money on a guy named Stick?  Seriously...

Bills are fighting for the playoffs still, otherwise I would agree a let down spot and new coach bump for the Chargers would have me leaning that way.

Exactly.  You can blow the parlay for an extra 12.5%.

@Jimmy_Cats

 
Anyway, it adds $30 to my Thurs-Sat parlay. $30 for free value (Bills S/U are a lock) is ever a bad thing, especially if you’re trying to make money (which should be the point of a betting site) ???????

Rams, Bengals, Bills ML parlay

$100 to win $296